Operator Learning with Branch–Trunk Factorization for Macroscopic Short-Term Speed Forecasting
Preprint
- 17 October 2025
- preprint
- Published by MDPI AG in Preprints.org
Abstract
Logistics has become an integral part of economic activity, with new formats such as front warehouses and hourly delivery demanding real-time visibility and rapid response. Minute-level road speed prediction is essential for platoon control, routing, and signal optimization, yet remains challenging due to heterogeneous and noisy data sources, highly coupled spatio-temporal interactions, and frequent distribution shifts. This paper proposes a Deep Operator Network–based framework that links logistics demand with traffic states. Warehouse and customer data are projected onto a five-kilometer subnetwork, generating six scenarios and about 1.2 million link–time samples. The proposed model decouples historical speeds in the branch from exogenous states in the trunk, allowing boundary changes to be incorporated as functional inputs rather than requiring retraining. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms both classical regression and deep learning baselines, while ablation analyses verify robustness and interpretability. These findings establish operator learning as a promising direction for adaptive logistics forecasting.Keywords
All Related Versions
- Version 1, 2025-10-17, Preprints
- Published version: Data, 10 (12), 207.
This publication has 15 references indexed in Scilit:
- Calibration of SUMO Microscopic Simulation for Heterogeneous Traffic Condition: The Case of the City of Khulna, BangladeshTransportation Engineering, 2024
- Self-evaluation of automated vehicles based on physics, state-of-the-art motion prediction and user experienceScientific Reports, 2023
- Short‐term traffic flow prediction based on AST‐MTL‐CNN‐GRUIET Intelligent Transport Systems, 2023
- Learning nonlinear operators via DeepONet based on the universal approximation theorem of operatorsNature Machine Intelligence, 2021
- Vehicle routing: Review of benchmark datasetsJournal of the Operational Research Society, 2021
- Time-series forecasting with deep learning: a surveyPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2021
- A Survey of Traffic Prediction: from Spatio-Temporal Data to Intelligent TransportationData Science and Engineering, 2021
- Short-Term Traffic Speed Prediction of Urban Road With Multi-Source DataIEEE Access, 2020
- Short-term traffic forecasting: Where we are and where we’re goingTransportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2014
- Application of machine learning techniques for supply chain demand forecastingEuropean Journal of Operational Research, 2008