The limits of human predictions of recidivism
Open Access
- 14 February 2020
- journal article
- research article
- Published by American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) in Science Advances
- Vol. 6 (7) , eaaz0652
Abstract
Statistical algorithms can outperform human predictions of recidivism.Keywords
This publication has 24 references indexed in Scilit:
- The accuracy of recidivism risk assessments for sexual offenders: A meta-analysis of 118 prediction studies.Psychological Assessment, 2009
- The Meta-Analysis of Clinical Judgment Project: Fifty-Six Years of Accumulated Research on Clinical Versus Statistical PredictionThe Counseling Psychologist, 2006
- The Recent Past and Near Future of Risk and/or Need AssessmentCrime & Delinquency, 2006
- Clinical versus mechanical prediction: A meta-analysis.Psychological Assessment, 2000
- Clinical versus mechanical prediction: A meta-analysis.Psychological Assessment, 2000
- The likelihood of violent behaviour: Predictions, postdictions, and hindsight bias.Canadian Journal of Behavioural Science / Revue canadienne des sciences du comportement, 1995
- Clinical Versus Actuarial JudgmentScience, 1989
- On the psychology of prediction.Psychological Review, 1973
- VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITYMonthly Weather Review, 1950
- Vox PopuliNature, 1907