Event attribution for quantifying the role of climate change in internal displacement: The case of Somalia

Authors:
Preprint
Publisher website
Google Scholar
Abstract
The science of event attribution is relatively nascent. While its body of knowledge is growing fast, numerous gaps remain, including on the appropriate statistical methods and the proper consideration of various degrees of vulnerabilities and exposure. We show that attributing climate change to internal displacement requires a focus on the interplay between climate and non-climate drivers of impacts via a feasibility study of the 2020 floods in Somalia. Using detailed internal displacement flow data, we describe the socio-spatial characteristics associated with the flooding event. We show that climate change has a limited role in revealing displacement impacts and magnitude following the extreme event.

This publication has 54 references indexed in Scilit: