Reply on RC2
Open Access
- 18 November 2024
- other
- Published by Copernicus GmbH
- Vol. 2024, 1-41
Abstract
Robust projections and predictions of climate variability and change, particularly at regional scales, rely on the driving processes being represented with fidelity in model simulations. Consequently, the role of enhanced horizontal resolution in improved process representation in all components of the climate system continues to be of great interest. Recent simulations suggest both the possibility of significant changes in large-scale aspects of the ocean and atmospheric circulations and the regional responses to climate change, as well as improvements in representations of small-scale processes and extremes, when resolution is enhanced. The first phase of HighResMIP (HighResMIP1) was successful in producing a baseline multi-model assessment of global simulations with model grid spacings of 25–50 km in the atmosphere and 10–25 km in the ocean, a significant increase when compared to models with standard resolutions of order 1-degree typically used as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) experiments. In addition to over 250 peer-reviewed manuscripts using the published HighResMIP1 datasets, the results were widely cited in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report and were the basis for a variety of derived datasets, including tracked cyclones (both tropical and extratropical), river discharge, storm surge, and others that were used for impact studies. There were also suggestions from the few ocean eddy-rich coupled simulations that aspects of climate variability and change might be significantly influenced by improved process representation in such models. The compromises that HighResMIP1 made should now be revisited, given the recent major advances in modelling and computing resources. Aspects that will be reconsidered include experimental design and simulation length, complexity, and resolution. In addition, larger ensemble sizes and a wider range of future scenarios would enhance the applicability of HighResMIP. Therefore, we propose an updated HighResMIP2 to improve and extend the previous work, to address new science questions, and to further advance our understanding of the role of horizontal resolution (and hence process representation) in state-of-the-art climate simulations. With further increases in high-performance computing resources and modelling advances along with the ability to take full advantage of these computational resources, an enhanced investigation of the drivers and consequences of variability and change in both large- and synoptic-scale weather and climate is now made possible. With the arrival of global cloud-resolving models (currently run for relatively short timescales), there is also an opportunity to improve links between such models and more traditional CMIP models, with HighResMIP providing a bridge to link understanding between these domains. HighResMIP also aims to link to other CMIP projects and international efforts such as the World Climate Research Program lighthouse activities and various Digital Twin initiatives, as well as having the potential to be used as training and validation data for the fast evolving Machine Learning climate models.Keywords
This publication has 116 references indexed in Scilit:
- An ensemble reconstruction of ocean temperature, salinity, and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation 1960–2021Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023
- Satellite signature of the instantaneous wind response to mesoscale oceanic thermal structuresQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023
- The ERA5 global reanalysisQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020
- Effective resolution in high resolution global atmospheric models for climate studiesAtmospheric Science Letters, 2020
- Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions?Atmospheric Science Letters, 2019
- Tropical cyclones in climate modelsWires Climate Change, 2015
- A new synoptic scale resolving global climate simulation using the Community Earth System ModelJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2014
- Characteristics of tropical cyclones in high‐resolution models in the present climateJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2014
- The effect of horizontal resolution on simulation quality in the Community Atmospheric Model, CAM5.1Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2014
- EN4: Quality controlled ocean temperature and salinity profiles and monthly objective analyses with uncertainty estimatesJournal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2013