Pitfalls in estimating secular changes in incidence and prevalence of dementia from administrative datasets
Open Access
- 1 January 2026
- journal article
- Published by Wiley in Alzheimer's & Dementia: Diagnosis, Assessment & Disease Monitoring
- Vol. 18 (1)
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Administrative datasets can be used to calculate population incidence and prevalence of dementia. It is unclear how changes in data sources may affect these estimates. METHODS: We obtained linked administrative health data for individuals 60 years of age or older in Western Australia for 1989–2019 ( n = 893,243) including hospital admissions, emergency department, cause‐of‐death, aged care assessment (from April 2003), and mental health services. RESULTS: There was a marked increase in prevalence and incidence estimates over time. There appeared to be two phases: an initial increase attenuated by 1995–1999 and a rapid increase since 2000–2004 corresponding to inclusion of aged care assessments. There was a decrease in 2015–2019 coinciding with the unavailability of aged care assessment data. DISCUSSION: An apparent secular change in rates of dementia over 31 years may be a product of increased propensity to record dementia diagnosis and availability of additional aged care data. Consistent comprehensive data coverage is required.Keywords
Funding Information
- National Health and Medical Research Council (1171319)
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