ALL THINGS CONSIDERED, TAXES DRIVE THE JANUARY EFFECT
Authors:
- Honghui ChenHCHonghui Chen
- Vijay SingalVSVijay Singal
- 21 July 2004
- journal article
- Published by Wiley in Journal of Financial Research
- Vol. 27 (3) , 351-372
Abstract
The multitude of explanations for the January effect leaves the reader confused about its primary cause(s): is it tax‐loss selling, window dressing, information, bid‐ask bounce, or a combination of these causes? The confusion arises, in part, because evidence has generally been presented in support of a particular hypothesis though the same evidence may be consistent with another hypothesis. Furthermore, prior work does not adequately control for the bid‐ask bounce. In this article we try to disentangle different explanations of the January effect and identify its primary cause. We find that tax‐related selling is the most important cause, overshadowing other explanations.Keywords
This publication has 24 references indexed in Scilit:
- Return predictability following large price changes and information releasesJournal of Banking & Finance, 2001
- Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic RiskThe Journal of Finance, 2001
- Capital Gains Tax Rules, Tax‐loss Trading, and Turn‐of‐the‐year ReturnsThe Journal of Finance, 2001
- Trading Volume: Definitions, Data Analysis, and Implications of Portfolio TheoryThe Review of Financial Studies, 2000
- Investment analysis and price formation in securities marketsJournal of Financial Economics, 1995
- Problems in measuring portfolio performance An application to contrarian investment strategiesJournal of Financial Economics, 1995
- Trading patterns, bid-ask spreads, and estimated security returnsJournal of Financial Economics, 1989
- Differential information and the small firm effectJournal of Financial Economics, 1984
- Optimal stock trading with personal taxesJournal of Financial Economics, 1984
- Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonalityJournal of Financial Economics, 1983