Importance of direct and indirect triggered seismicity in the ETAS model of seismicity
- 7 June 2003
- journal article
- Published by American Geophysical Union (AGU) in Geophysical Research Letters
- Vol. 30 (11)
Abstract
Using the simple ETAS branching model of seismicity, which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes, we quantify the role played by the cascade of triggered seismicity in controlling the rate of aftershock decay as well as the overall level of seismicity in the presence of a constant external seismicity source. We show that, in this model, the fraction of earthquakes in the population that are aftershocks is equal to the fraction of aftershocks that are indirectly triggered and is given by the average number of triggered events per earthquake. Previous observations that a significant fraction of earthquakes are triggered earthquakes therefore imply that most aftershocks are indirectly triggered by the mainshock.Keywords
All Related Versions
This publication has 15 references indexed in Scilit:
- Secondary Aftershocks and Their Importance for Aftershock ForecastingBulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2003
- Subcritical and supercritical regimes in epidemic models of earthquake aftershocksJournal of Geophysical Research, 2002
- Triggering of the 1999 MW 7.1 Hector Mine earthquake by aftershocks of the 1992 MW 7.3 Landers earthquakeJournal of Geophysical Research, 2002
- Renormalization of earthquake aftershocksGeophysical Research Letters, 1999
- Aftershock series of event February 18, 1996: An interpretation in terms of self‐organized criticalityJournal of Geophysical Research, 1997
- Aftershock identification: methods and new approachesGeophysical Journal International, 1992
- Likelihood analysis of earthquake cataloguesGeophysical Journal International, 1991
- Single‐link cluster analysis of earthquake aftershocks: Decay laws and regional variationsJournal of Geophysical Research, 1991
- Statistical Models for Earthquake Occurrences and Residual Analysis for Point ProcessesJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1988
- Second‐order moment of central California seismicity, 1969–1982Journal of Geophysical Research, 1985