The Physical Significance and Applications of F_TIDE in Nonstationary Tidal Analysis

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Abstract
F_TIDE has been proven to be effective in obtaining the time-varying harmonic parameters of nonstationary tidal signals, and the results near the two endpoints of the analyzed time series are more accurate than those obtained by S_TIDE, which provides good conditions for the prediction of future sea levels. In this paper, F_TIDE is used for the short-term prediction of nonstationary tides in Nome (Alaska) and South Beach (Oregon). The significance of each standard parameter of F_TIDE is quantified by calculating its signal-to-noise ratio to determine the appropriate parameters that can be used for prediction. F_TIDE performs well in forecasting the sea level for three weeks at the Nome gauge and one week at the South Beach gauge. F_TIDE causes 30.1% and 42.0% decreases in the mean absolute errors between the forecasts and the observations compared to T_TIDE. F_TIDE is applied to the original signal at the Nome gauge, and the results show a strong correlation between the variation in M2 amplitude and the variation in the mean sea level. A potential mechanism is speculated in that changes in tides are affected by the changes in water depth on different time scales, which the sea level pressure, wind, sea ice, and other marine motions may contribute to.
Funding Information
  • State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Coastal Ecosystem (202314, 42076011, 2022YFC3105003)
  • National Natural Science Foundation of China (202314, 42076011, 2022YFC3105003)
  • National Key Research and Development Project of China (202314, 42076011, 2022YFC3105003)

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