Fitting the SEIR model of seasonal influenza outbreak to the incidence data for Russian cities
Authors:
- Vasiliy N. LeonenkoVLVasiliy N. Leonenko
- Sergey V. IvanovSISergey V. Ivanov
- 1 January 2016
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH in Russian Journal of Numerical Analysis and Mathematical Modelling
- Vol. 31 (5) , 267-279
Abstract
In this paper we present a computational algorithm aimed at fitting a SEIR populational model to the influenza outbreaks incidence in Russian cities. The input data are derived from the long-term records on the incidence of acute respiratory diseases in Moscow, St. Petersburg, and Novosibirsk. It is shown that the classical SEIR model could provide a satisfactory fit for the majority of employed influenza outbreak incidence data sets (Keywords
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