Overall Survival Among Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated With External Beam Radiation Therapy: Individual Patient Data Outcomes From a Multinational Cohort
Open Access
- 1 July 2026
- journal article
- Published by American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) in Journal of Clinical Oncology
- Vol. 44 (19) , 1784-1797
Abstract
PURPOSE: External beam radiation therapy (EBRT) has gained delayed acceptance as a recommended first-line treatment modality for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), given limited evidence that it improves overall survival (OS). We analyzed individual patient data (IPD) from an international cohort to assess OS among patients with HCC treated with EBRT. METHODS: We performed a systematic review of publications that assessed EBRT, met prespecified technical standards for HCC, and reported OS (search date December 15, 2022). Corresponding authors were invited to submit IPD for the study. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival analyses to determine OS and restricted mean survival time (RMST) stratified by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage and treatment status (ie, treatment-naïve and experienced). We performed random effects Cox proportional hazards modeling to assess clinical characteristics associated with OS. RESULTS: Data were provided on 4,913 patients treated with EBRT with a median follow-up time of 5.0 years. The median OS was 6.8 years (95% CI, 5.7 to 8.7) for BCLC-0 and 4.6 years (95% CI, 4.1 to 5.1) for BCLC-A. Among treatment-naïve patients, the median OS was not reached (95% CI, 8.6 to not reached) for BCLC-0 and was 5.4 years (95% CI, 4.5 to 6.7) for BCLC-A. In multivariable models, more advanced BCLC stage, higher tumor burden, worse performance status, and Child-Pugh class B or C were associated with a higher risk of mortality. Ablative radiation dose and more recent year of treatment were associated with a reduced risk of death. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this study represents the largest multinational cohort of patients with HCC treated with EBRT. OS outcomes with EBRT for very early- and early-stage HCC appear to be comparable with resection, thermal ablation, and other ablative locoregional therapies. These data support the inclusion of EBRT in the BCLC HCC clinical decision-making process.Keywords
This publication has 23 references indexed in Scilit:
- BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendations: The 2026 updateJournal of Hepatology, 2025
- Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy vs Sorafenib Alone in Hepatocellular CarcinomaJAMA Oncology, 2025
- EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinomaJournal of Hepatology, 2024
- Transarterial Chemoembolization With Drug-Eluting Beads Versus Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Outcomes From a Multicenter, Randomized, Phase 2 Trial (the TRENDY Trial)International Journal of Radiation Oncology - Biology - Physics (IJROBP), 2023
- BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 updateJournal of Hepatology, 2021
- A Phase 2 Study of Image-Guided Proton Therapy for Operable or Ablation-Treatable Primary Hepatocellular CarcinomaInternational Journal of Radiation Oncology - Biology - Physics (IJROBP), 2021
- Proton beam radiotherapy vs. radiofrequency ablation for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: A randomized phase III trialJournal of Hepatology, 2021
- Stereotactic body radiation therapy vs. radiofrequency ablation in Asian patients with hepatocellular carcinomaJournal of Hepatology, 2020
- Protons versus Photons for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Liver Decompensation and Overall SurvivalInternational Journal of Radiation Oncology - Biology - Physics (IJROBP), 2019
- Randomized Clinical Trial Comparing Proton Beam Radiation Therapy with Transarterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Results of an Interim AnalysisInternational Journal of Radiation Oncology - Biology - Physics (IJROBP), 2016