Analysis of Determinants and Development of a Predictive Model for Postoperative Cognitive Dysfunction in Patients Undergoing Hepatectomy

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Abstract
Purpose: This retrospective study aimed to identify factors associated with postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) in patients undergoing hepatectomy, with particular attention to liver disease-related characteristics and perioperative variables. A secondary aim was to develop a clinically applicable nomogram for individualized risk estimation in this population. Patients and Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in 314 consecutive patients who underwent hepatectomy at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University Medical School between January 2023 and December 2024. Patients were included if they had complete clinical data and underwent preoperative and postoperative cognitive assessment. Exclusion criteria included preoperative cognitive impairment (Montreal Cognitive Assessment [MoCA] score < 26), preexisting neurological or psychiatric disorders, and in-hospital death within 72 h after surgery. POCD was defined as a decline of ≥3 points in the MoCA score from baseline to postoperative day 5. Clinical, surgical, nutritional, and perioperative variables were analyzed, and a nomogram was constructed based on the final multivariable logistic regression model. Results: The overall incidence of POCD was 27.4% (86/314). The final multivariable model included sarcopenia, preoperative hemoglobin < 120 g/L, Child–Pugh classification, alcohol consumption, operative duration, and pain score on postoperative day 1. The nomogram incorporating these variables showed good discriminative ability, with an area under the curve of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83–0.92). Conclusions: In this retrospective cohort of patients undergoing hepatectomy, several perioperative clinical factors were associated with POCD. The proposed nomogram may serve as a practical tool for perioperative risk estimation and support more individualized management in higher-risk patients.

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