Retrieval of Sea Ice Concentration and Thickness During the Arctic Freezing Period from Tianmu-1 Based on Machine Learning

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Abstract
Sea ice concentration (SIC) and thickness (SIT) are critical variables for polar research. In this study, the potential of Tianmu-1 GNSS-R observations for retrieving Arctic SIC and SIT is explored using machine learning algorithms. XGBoost demonstrated superior accuracy and efficiency in the comparison of the three methods. For SIC retrieval, 14 parameters from Tianmu-1 were employed directly, whereas SIT retrieval incorporated additional auxiliary parameters, including SIC, sea ice salinity (S), and temperature (T). Among the different GNSS systems, GLO achieved the lowest RMSE for SIC, at 7.750%, whereas GAL performed comparatively poorly, with an RMSE of 10.475%. In SIT retrieval, the GPS and BDS yielded the smallest RMSE values of 0.276 m and 0.278 m, respectively, while GLO resulted in a slightly higher RMSE of 0.309 m. Daily retrievals of both the SIC and SIT were conducted from 18 October 2023 to 12 April 2024, with consistently stable evaluation metrics throughout the freezing season. In high-concentration regions, the retrieved SIC and SIT closely matched the reference data, whereas larger errors occurred in marginal ice zones and coastal areas. This study reveals the potential of Tianmu-1 to complement existing satellite missions in Arctic sea ice monitoring during the freezing period.
Funding Information
  • National Key Research and Development Program of China (2024YFB3908000,2021YFC2803300 and 2022YFC2807003)

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