Impact of the Einstein Telescope’s duty cycle on the estimation of binary black hole parameters
Authors:
- Luca NegriLNLuca Negri
- Thomas C. K. NgTNThomas C. K. Ng
- Thibeau WoutersTWThibeau Wouters
- Tim J. KuhlbuschTKTim J. Kuhlbusch
- Robin ChanRCRobin Chan
- Kailib Ryan DoneyKDKailib Ryan Doney
- Francesco CiredduFCFrancesco Cireddu
- Isaac C. F. WongIWIsaac C. F. Wong
- Fabian GittinsFGFabian Gittins
- Peter T. H. PangPPPeter T. H. Pang
- Anuradha SamajdarASAnuradha Samajdar
- 13 October 2026
- journal article
- research article
- Published by American Physical Society (APS) in Physical Review D
- Vol. 114 (8) , 082003
Abstract
The geometry of the Einstein Telescope, the proposed next-generation European gravitational-wave observatory, is yet to be finalized. Two competing designs are under consideration: a nested triangular configuration (ET-$\mathrm{\ensuremath{\Delta}}$) and two separated $\mathsf{L}$-shaped detectors (ET-2L). Extensive prior comparisons of ET designs established the scientific landscape using the Fisher-information-matrix formalism and identified that duty-cycle-induced single-detector operation is precisely the regime where this approximation becomes less reliable, underscoring the need for a refined, principled treatment of the duty cycle. In this manuscript, we build on that foundation by revisiting the comparison with full Bayesian parameter estimation of gravitational-wave signals from binary black hole mergers, projected onto a simulated Einstein Telescope that incorporates a refined duty cycle modeled via continuous-time Markov chains and testing different detector maintenance strategies. We find that the redundancy inherent in the ET-$\mathrm{\ensuremath{\Delta}}$ design enables it to maintain at least two operational detectors for the majority of the observing time, whereas the ET-2L configuration is often limited to a single detector. Crucially, we show that, during partial network operation, ET-$\mathrm{\ensuremath{\Delta}}$ often outperforms ET-2L, and that the increased multidetector uptime translates into tighter constraints on the luminosity distance and source-frame component masses. Notably, this remains true even when gravitational-wave events have a lower signal-to-noise ratio in ET-$\mathrm{\ensuremath{\Delta}}$ than in ET-2L.
Keywords
Funding Information
- Universiteit Utrecht
- Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (OCENW.XL21.XL21.038)
- Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (VI.Veni.232.021)
- Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (G0A5E24N)
- Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (I000725N)
- Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (G086722N)
- Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (I002123N)
- H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (101151301)
- Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS
- Dutch National Institute for Subatomic Physics
- Royal Observatory of Belgium
- Dutch national e-infrastructure (EINF-12633)
- Dutch national e-infrastructure (EINF-15686)
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