Modelling the test, trace and quarantine strategy to control the COVID-19 epidemic in the state of São Paulo, Brazil

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Abstract
Testing for detecting the infection by SARS-CoV-2 is the bridge between the lockdown and the opening of society. In this paper we modelled and simulated a test-trace-and-quarantine strategy to control the COVID-19 outbreak in the State of São Paulo, Brasil. The State of São Paulo failed to adopt an effective social distancing strategy, reaching at most 59% in late March and started to relax the measures in late June, dropping to 41% in 08 August. Therefore, São Paulo relies heavily on a massive testing strategy in the attempt to control the epidemic.
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Funding Information
  • Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
  • Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (734584, LIM01-HFMUSP)
  • Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo

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