A priori prediction of breast cancer response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy using quantitative ultrasound, texture derivative and molecular subtype

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Abstract
The purpose of this study was to investigate the performances of the tumor response prediction prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy based on quantitative ultrasound, tumour core-margin, texture derivative analyses, and molecular parameters in a large cohort of patients (n = 208) with locally advanced and earlier-stage breast cancer and combined them to best determine tumour responses with machine learning approach. Two multi-features response prediction algorithms using a k-nearest neighbour and support vector machine were developed with leave-one-out and hold-out cross-validation methods to evaluate the performance of the response prediction models. In a leave-one-out approach, the quantitative ultrasound-texture analysis based model attained good classification performance with 80% of accuracy and AUC of 0.83. Including molecular subtype in the model improved the performance to 83% of accuracy and 0.87 of AUC. Due to limited number of samples in the training process, a model developed with a hold-out approach exhibited a slightly higher bias error in classification performance. The most relevant features selected in predicting the response groups are core-to-margin, texture-derivative, and molecular subtype. These results imply that that baseline tumour-margin, texture derivative analysis methods combined with molecular subtype can potentially be used for the prediction of ultimate treatment response in patients prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy.
Funding Information
  • Terry Fox Research Institute (TFRI) /Lotte & John Hecht Memorial Foundation (1083, 1083, 1083, 1083, 1083, 1083, 1083)

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