The Validity of Using Technical Indicators When forecasting Stock Prices Using Deep Learning Models: Empirical Evidence Using Saudi Stocks
Author:
- 4 December 2022
- conference paper
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
- p. 520-524
Abstract
Many researchers use deep learning and technical indicators to forecast future stock prices. There are several hundred technical indicators and each one of them has a number of parameters. Finding the optimal combination of indicators with their optimal parameter values is very challenging. The aim of this work is to study if there is any benefit of feeding deep learning models with technical indicators instead of only feeding them with price and volume. After all, technical indicators are just functions of price and volume. Empirical studies done in this work using Saudi stocks show that deep learning models can benefit from technical indicators only if the right combination of technical indicators together with their right parameter values are used. The experimental results show that the right combination of technical indicators can improve the forecasting accuracy of deep learning modules. They also showed that using the wrong combination of indicators is worse than using no indicator even if they were assigned the best parameter values.Keywords
Funding Information
- King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals (KFUPM)
This publication has 12 references indexed in Scilit:
- Impact of Hyperparameter Tuning on Machine Learning Models in Stock Price ForecastingIEEE Access, 2021
- Predicting Stock Closing Prices in Emerging Markets with Transformer Neural Networks: The Saudi Stock Exchange CaseInternational Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 2021
- FORECASTING THE PERFORMANCE OF TADAWUL ALL SHARE INDEX (TASI) USING GEOMETRIC BROWNIAN MOTION AND GEOMETRIC FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTIONAdvances and Applications in Statistics, 2020
- A Recurrent Neural Network and a Discrete Wavelet Transform to Predict the Saudi Stock Price TrendsInternational Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 2019
- Forecasting Volatility: Evidence from the Saudi Stock MarketJournal of Risk and Financial Management, 2018
- What drives Tadawul All Stock Index of the Saudi Stock MarketArchives of Business Research, 2018
- Saudi Arabia Stock Market Prediction Using Neural NetworkInternational Journal on Computer Science and Engineering, 2018
- Forecasting the Saudi Arabia Stock Prices Based on Artificial Neural Networks ModelInternational Journal of Intelligent Information Systems, 2013
- Surveying stock market forecasting techniques – Part II: Soft computing methodsExpert Systems with Applications, 2009
- Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical WorkThe Journal of Finance, 1970