Predicting Remaining Survival of Glioblastoma Patients with Radiomics Analysis Based on 18F-DOPA PET Images

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Abstract
Background: Post-treatment prognosis and monitoring are critical for determining the timing of salvage treatment in glioblastoma patients but has been challenging due to difficulties differentiating progression from treatment effects in conventional images. This exploratory study aimed to establish the correlation of radiomics image features from time series of amino acid tracer 18F-DOPA PET images, with outcomes, using machine learning and dimension reduction analysis. Methods: 18F-DOPA PET images were collected for a patient cohort with wild-type IDH and unmethylated MGMT who underwent dose-escalated radiation therapy. Quantitative features were derived from the high uptake region (T/N > 2.0) in pre- and post-radiation therapy follow-up 18F-DOPA PET images. A customized workflow was utilized for pre-selecting predictive features, followed by manifold learning. Machine learning algorithms were employed to establish associations between imaging features and remaining survival (RS), defined as the time between a follow-up scan and date of death. Results: The ML models exhibited 81–83% ROC_AUC in predicting RS evaluated on an independent test dataset. A RS map is proposed for monitoring tumor alterations through serial 18F-DOPA PET scans, demonstrating superior sensitivity and better correlation with survival compared to the RANO criteria. Conclusions: Our study demonstrates that ML models utilizing FU 18F-DOPA PET images have the potential to effectively predict future survival outcomes in patients with glioblastoma treated with dose-escalated radiation therapy. The capability to assess changes in tumor over time through imaging can potentially assist in patient stratification and the selection of salvage treatments, while also aiding in distinguishing treatment effects from genuine tumor progression.
Funding Information
  • National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health (R01CA178200)

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