Spatial Assessment of a Proxy-Based Urban Energy Intensity Index Using Remote Sensing and AHP-MCDA: A Case Study of Dhaka City

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Abstract
Rapid urbanization and unplanned land development have transformed Dhaka into one of the most densely built metropolitan areas in South Asia, leading to increased surface heat accumulation and growing pressure on urban energy systems. Numerous studies have reported a progressive rise in Dhaka’s Land Surface Temperature (LST), accompanied by a strong negative correlation between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and LST and a positive correlation between the Normalized Difference Built-Up Index (NDBI) and LST. However, spatially explicit assessments that integrate multiple geospatial proxies to characterize urban energy-intensity patterns remain limited, particularly in data-scarce cities where direct energy-consumption data are unavailable. The present study aims to develop and map a proxy-based Urban Energy Intensity Index (UEI) for Dhaka by integrating remote sensing, GIS, and AHP-MCDA techniques. Landsat 9 imagery and VIIRS nighttime light data were processed to derive NDVI, NDBI, and LST layers, while building footprints and road networks were extracted from OpenStreetMap to represent urban form. Eight environmental, built-environment, and anthropogenic indicators were standardized and weighted using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) before integration through a GIS-based weighted overlay approach. Results show that dense, impervious, and intensely illuminated built-up cores exhibit elevated LST and UEI values, while peri-urban and vegetated areas consistently display lower values, producing spatially distinct high-UEI clusters concentrated within Dhaka’s urban core. Because the index is derived from proxy indicators and was not validated against observed energy-consumption data, the findings should be interpreted as relative spatial patterns rather than direct measures of energy use or energy efficiency. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of integrating remotely sensed and geospatial indicators to capture intra-urban variability in proxy-based urban energy intensity. The study provides a scalable and data-efficient framework for identifying priority zones for urban planning interventions and supports targeted strategies such as urban greening, surface albedo enhancement, and sustainable land-use planning to mitigate thermal stress.

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