Predictors of survival and time to progression following operative management of intramedullary spinal cord astrocytomas

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Abstract
Purpose Surgical resection is considered standard of care for primary intramedullary astrocytomas, but the infiltrative nature of these lesions often precludes complete resection without causing new post-operative neurologic deficits. Radiotherapy and chemotherapy serve as potential adjuvants, but high-quality data evaluating their efficacy are limited. Here we analyze the experience at a single comprehensive cancer center to identify independent predictors of postoperative overall and progression-free survival. Methods Data was collected on patient demographics, tumor characteristics, pre-operative presentation, resection extent, long-term survival, and tumor progression/recurrence. Kaplan–Meier curves modeled overall and progression-free survival. Univariable and multivariable accelerated failure time regressions were used to compute time ratios (TR) to determine predictors of survival. Results 94 patients were included, of which 58 (62%) were alive at last follow-up. On multivariable analysis, older age (TR = 0.98; p = 0.03), higher tumor grade (TR = 0.12; p < 0.01), preoperative back pain (TR = 0.45; p < 0.01), biopsy [vs GTR] (TR = 0.18; p = 0.02), and chemotherapy (TR = 0.34; p = 0.02) were significantly associated with poorer survival. Higher tumor grade (TR = 0.34; p = 0.02) and preoperative bowel dysfunction (TR = 0.31; p = 0.02) were significant predictors of shorter time to detection of tumor growth. Conclusion Tumor grade and chemotherapy were associated with poorer survival and progression-free survival. Chemotherapy regimens were highly heterogeneous, and randomized trials are needed to determine if any optimal regimens exist. Additionally, GTR was associated with improved survival, and patients should be counseled about the benefits and risks of resection extent.

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