Neutrophil–Lymphocyte–Platelet Ratio for Predicting Bacteremia in Immunosuppressed Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Diagnostic Accuracy Study

Authors:
Open Access
Publisher website
Google Scholar
Abstract
Background: Early identification of bacteremia in immunosuppressed cancer patients remains difficult, especially in neutropenia. This study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of NLR, PLR, and NLPR for identifying bacteremia and sepsis in patients undergoing blood culture episode. Methods: We conducted a retrospective diagnostic accuracy study at a tertiary oncology center between January 2023 and December 2024. All bacteremia identified were included as cases. Culture-negative episodes were subsequently sampled as controls using a frequency-matching strategy. Hematological parameters were obtained within ±24 h of first blood culture episode. Diagnostic performance was assessed using ROC curve analysis and multivariable logistic regression. Results: Of 369 screened episodes, 337 from 323 unique patients were included after excluding 31 records. NLPR showed the highest accuracy for bacteremia (AUC 0.730; 95% CI 0.671–0.788). The optimal cut-off was 0.038 (sensitivity 69.2%, specificity 72.3%) and remained consistent after excluding episodes with antibiotic therapy (AUC 0.768), corticosteroids (AUC 0.708), or growth factor use (AUC 0.718). In severe neutropenia, NLPR showed the highest accuracy (AUC 0.887; 95% CI 0.797–0.978). In multivariable analysis (n = 304), NLPR remained independently associated with bacteremia (p < 0.001), with good model discrimination (AUC 0.815; 95% CI 0.763–0.866). Diagnostic performance for sepsis was lower and not statistically significant. Conclusions: These findings suggest that NLPR may represent a simple, inexpensive, widely accessible adjunctive biomarker to support early bacteremia risk stratification in immunosuppressed cancer patients, particularly in patients with severe neutropenia. Although its overall discrimination was comparable to isolated lymphocyte count, NLPR may provide clinically relevant contextual information by integrating multiple dimensions of immune dysregulation. Further prospective multicenter validation is warranted.

This publication has 24 references indexed in Scilit: