Combining Seismotectonic and Catalog-Based 3D Models for Advanced Smoothed Seismicity Computations
- 12 July 2023
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA) in Seismological Research Letters
- Vol. 95 (1) , 10-20
Abstract
The new generation seismic hazard maps use 3D seismotectonic fault models, which are more consistent with the actual nature of faults, whereas the classical models based on earthquake catalogs only utilize a 2D representation of the seismicity. Although the former provides more reliable information on seismogenic structures, the latter can deliver trustworthy seismicity rates easily. Therefore, it is necessary to combine both the approaches to create a high-quality seismic hazard assessment model. This study proposes an innovative approach using smoothed seismicity methods that can be advantageous in all contexts with available 3D fault models and high-quality seismic catalogs. We applied our method on the Adriatic Basal Thrust (ABT) in eastern central Italy—a lithospheric-scale active contractional structure with a well-constrained 3D geometric–kinematic reconstruction and a related high-quality catalog. Our new 3D algorithm was applied to smooth the ABT seismicity on the grid, resulting in a 3D earthquake rate model that also provides rupture parameters such as strike, dip, rake, and seismogenic thickness. Our approach is particularly useful for complex seismotectonic settings, such as in cases of lithospheric shear zones, subduction planes, and overlapping multidepth seismogenic volumes.Keywords
This publication has 41 references indexed in Scilit:
- Ground-Motion Prediction Equations of Intermediate-Depth Earthquakes in the Hellenic Arc, Southern Aegean Subduction AreaBulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2013
- High-resolution Time-independent Grid-based Forecast for M >= 5 Earthquakes in CaliforniaSeismological Research Letters, 2007
- Layered Seismogenic Source Model and Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analyses in Central ItalyBulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2006
- Assessing the Quality of Earthquake Catalogues: Estimating the Magnitude of Completeness and Its UncertaintyBulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2005
- Empirical Ground-Motion Relations for Subduction-Zone Earthquakes and Their Application to Cascadia and Other RegionsBulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2003
- A lithospheric-scale seismogenic thrust in central ItalyJournal of Geodynamics, 2003
- A New Seismic Hazard Model for New ZealandBulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2002
- Adaptive Kernel Estimation and Continuous Probability Representation of Historical Earthquake CatalogsBulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2002
- A Software Package to Analyze Seismicity: ZMAPSeismological Research Letters, 2001
- Long‐term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakesJournal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 1994