Differential Analysis of Age, Gender, Race, Sentiment, and Emotion in Substance Use Discourse on Twitter During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Natural Language Processing Approach (Preprint)

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Abstract
BACKGROUND User demographics are often hidden in social media data due to privacy concerns. However, demographic information on substance use (SU) can provide valuable insights, allowing public health policy makers to focus on specific cohorts and develop efficient prevention strategies, especially during global crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to analyze SU trends at the user level across different demographic dimensions, such as age, gender, race, and ethnicity, with a focus on the COVID-19 pandemic. The study also establishes a baseline for SU trends using social media data. METHODS The study was conducted using large-scale English-language data from Twitter (now known as X) over a 3-year period (2019, 2020, and 2021), comprising 1.13 billion posts. Following preprocessing, the SU posts were identified using our custom-trained deep learning model (Robustly Optimized Bidirectional Encoder Representations From Transformers Pretraining Approach [RoBERTa]), which resulted in the identification of 9 million SU posts. Then, demographic attributes, such as user type, age, gender, race, and ethnicity, as well as sentiments and emotions associated with each post, were extracted via a collection of natural language processing modules. Finally, various qualitative analyses were performed to obtain insight into user behaviors based on demographics. RESULTS The highest level of user participation in SU discussions was observed in 2020, with a 22.18% increase compared to 2019 and a 25.24% increase compared to 2021. Throughout the study period, male users and teenagers increasingly dominated the SU discussions across all substance types. During the COVID-19 pandemic, user participation in prescription medication discussions was notably higher among female users compared to other substance types. In addition, alcohol use increased by 80% within 2 weeks after the global pandemic declaration in 2020. CONCLUSIONS This study presents a large-scale, fine-grained analysis of SU on social media data, examining trends by age, gender, race, and ethnicity before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings, contextualized with sociocultural and pandemic-specific factors, provide actionable insights for targeted public health interventions. This study establishes social media data (powered with artificial intelligence and natural language processing tools) as a valuable platform for real-time SU surveillance and prevention during crises.
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