The presence of small joint contractures is a risk factor for survival in 439 patients with systemic sclerosis.

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  • 31 August 2017
    • journal article
Abstract
Analysis of risk factors and mortality of 439 patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in a tertiary care centre. The mean follow up time was 8.4±5.6 years. Lost to follow up rate was 6.4%. Female to male ratio was 366 to 73. Two hundred sixty patients had limited and 179 diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc). A standard protocol including musculoskeletal examinations was used for the assessment of patients. By Kaplan-Meier analysis the overall 5-, 10- and 15 year survival were 88.2%, 79.9% and 73.6%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that dcSSc, male gender, presence of small joint contractures, pulmonary interstitial, cardiac, oesophageal involvement, scleroderma renal crisis, arterial hypertension, anti-topoisomerase antibody, anemia, hypalbuminemia, coexistent malignancies and elevated erythrocyte sedimentation were associated with poor survival. Lack of giant capillaries, avascular zones or neo-angiogenesis on capillaroscopy, and presence of anti-centromere antibodies were associated with favourable outcome. Multivariate regression analysis showed presence of small joint contractures, history of arterial hypertension, male gender, diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide 40 mmHg on echocardiography, less than 50% ejection fraction, anti-topoisomerase I positivity, anemia, and serum albumin concentration < 35 g/l as well as current or history of coexistent malignancy were independent poor prognostic factors. In addition to well-known factors predicting poor outcome in SSc, the presence of small joint contractures was a newly identi ed independent risk factor of mortality. Our data also confirmed a recent finding showing that history of arterial hypertension was also a poor prognostic factor.