Sequential simulation-based inference for extreme mass ratio inspirals
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Open Access
- 16 March 2026
- journal article
- Published by American Physical Society (APS) in Physical Review D
- Vol. 113 (6)
Abstract
Extreme mass-ratio inspirals pose a difficult challenge in terms of both search and parameter estimation for upcoming space-based gravitational-wave detectors such as LISA. Their signals are long and of complex morphology, meaning they carry a large amount of information about their source, but their waveforms are expensive to compute and they occupy a vast and multimodal parameter space. We explore how sequential simulation-based inference methods, specifically truncated marginal neural ratio estimation, could offer solutions to some of the challenges surrounding extreme-mass-ratio inspiral data analysis. We show that this method can efficiently narrow down the volume of the complex 11-dimensional search parameter space by a factor of 10 6 – 10 7 and provide one-dimensional marginal proposal distributions for nonspinning extreme-mass-ratio inspirals. We discuss the current limitations of this approach and place it in the broader context of a global strategy for future space-based gravitational-wave data analysis.Keywords
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Funding Information
- European Research Council (945155)
- Fondazione Cariplo (2021-0555)
- Ministero dell'Università e della Ricerca (2022-Z9X4XS)
- Ministero dell'Università e della Ricerca (SOE2024-0000125)
- NextGenerationEU
- H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (101064542)
- H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (101149270)
- Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (864035)
- Italian Research Center on High-Performance Computing, Big Data, and Quantum Computing
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