Suitability Evaluation of CO2 Geological Storage in the Jianghan Basin Using Choquet Fuzzy Integral and Multi-Source Indices

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Abstract
Geological storage of carbon dioxide in faulted sedimentary basins requires suitability evaluation methods that can address uncertainty, indicator interaction, and limited data availability. This study develops an integrated evaluation framework that combines the Analytic Hierarchy Process, triangular fuzzy numbers, and the Choquet fuzzy integral to assess basin-scale geological carbon dioxide storage suitability. The framework enables structured weight determination, explicit representation of expert uncertainty, and non-additive aggregation of interacting indicators. The evaluation focuses on deep saline aquifers in the Jianghan Basin and is based on seventeen indicators covering geological, structural, hydrogeological, and socio-economic conditions. The assessment integrates seismic interpretation, geological mapping, logging data, and published datasets, and is conducted at the level of tectonic units to support basin-scale screening. The method is applied to the Jianghan Basin using seventeen geological, structural, hydrogeological, and socio-economic indicators. The results indicate that burial depth primarily acts as a threshold condition, whereas caprock sealing capacity, fault system development, and hydrogeological stability dominate suitability differentiation. Interaction analysis reveals pronounced substitution effects among geological indicators, indicating that strong performance in key safety-related factors can compensate for less favorable secondary constraints during early-stage screening. The Qianjiang Sag and Jiangling Sag are identified as the most suitable storage units. The proposed framework provides a transparent and robust tool for basin-scale screening in structurally complex, data-limited sedimentary basins.
Funding Information
  • Jingzhou Association for Science and Technology (JZCXZK2024021)

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