Multi-Modal Machine Learning to Predict the Energy Discharge Levels from a Multi-Cell Mechanical Draft Cooling Tower

An artificial neural network was developed to augment the accuracy of a physically based computer model in relating heat discharge to visible plume volume of a 12-cell mechanical draft cooling tower. In a previous study, Savannah River National Laboratory developed a 1D model to capture the average power plant discharge levels via analysis of a series of visual images but was unable to accurately predict individual cases, resulting in an overall average error of about $5\%$, but individual comparisons resulted in an $R^2$ of $0.36$. Three optimization algorithms were applied to better fit the entrainment coefficients, and the artificial neural network model was applied to 289 cases of a 12-cell mechanical draft cooling tower power generation facility. Two artificial neural networks configurations consisted of 10 and 47 nodes that used as input readily available plant data, observed cooling tower plume conditions, observed operational conditions, local and regional weather, and the predicted plume volume from the physical model; the individual predictions’ accuracy improved to $R^2>0.95$. This article concludes the sensitivities for the 1D model and additional actions to progress this field of study as well as applications for cooling tower monitoring. This strategy demonstrated an encouraging first step towards using multi-modal artificial neural network machine learning technology for information fusion to estimate power levels from external observations.