Unsuccessful external validation of the MAC-score for predicting increased MIB-1 index in patients with spinal meningiomas

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Abstract
Objective: Recently, the MAC-spinal meningioma score (MAC-score) was proposed to preoperatively identify spinal meningioma patients with high MIB-1 indices. Risk factors were age ≥ 65 years, a modified McCormick score (mMCs) ≥ 2, and absence of tumor calcification. The aim of this study was to externally validate the MAC-score in an independent cohort.Methods: Using the same inclusion and exclusion criteria as in the original study, we performed a retrospective, single-center, population-based, cohort study that included patients who had undergone surgical treatment for spinal meningiomas between 2005 – 2017. Data was collected from patient charts and radiographic images. Validation was performed by applying the MAC-score to our cohort and evaluating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).Results: In total, 108 patients were included. Baseline and outcome data were comparable to the original development study. An increased MIB-1 index (≥5%) was observed in 56 (52%) patients. AUC of the MAC-score in our validation cohort was 0.61 (95% CI: 0.51 – 0.71), which corresponds to a poor discriminative ability.Conclusion: The MAC-score showed poor discriminative ability for MIB-1 index prediction in patients with spinal meningiomas. Moreover, the MAC-score rests on a weak theoretical and statistical foundation. Consequently, we argue against its clinical implementation.

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