WMO Global Energy Resilience Atlas—Climate Risk Indices for Hydropower

The importance of energy transition was underlined at COP28 in Dubai, where governments committed to tripling renewables capacities and doubling the rate of energy efficiency by 2030. However, the power generated by climate-dependent energy sources exhibits greater vulnerability to potential climate changes in the long term. Therefore, climate models play a pivotal role in estimating the effects of climate change on renewables in the context of strategic planning for the development and operation of new renewable power plants. In this context, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) developed a Global Energy Resilience Atlas aimed at providing insights into the climate change risks for the hydropower sector, the largest renewable electricity source for most countries, generating over 4300 TWh globally. This study focuses on defining four Hydro Climate Risk indices ($\mathrm{H}\mathrm{C}\mathrm{R}\mathrm{I}\mathrm{s}$) using historical and climate projection precipitation data for three climate scenarios. The final product is a freely available and interactive tool. The developed methodology and tool address how climate changes have historically affected hydropower generation and how they will impact the future at national scales. The final product also addresses the needs of policymakers at national, regional, and global levels in crafting long-term planning for a more secure energy sector, accelerating the energy transition to more sustainable and reliable energies.