Identification of plasma proteomic markers underlying polygenic risk of type 2 diabetes and related comorbidities

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Abstract
Introduction Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous disorder for which disease-causing pathways are incompletely understood. Here, we mapped genetic risk for T2D and its comorbidities to proteins, mechanistic pathways and clinical outcomes using proteogenomic data from a population-scale biobank and two randomized controlled trials. Methods We tested polygenic scores (PGS) for T2D and its cardiometabolic comorbidities, plus five partitioned T2D PGS (beta cell, lipodystrophy, liver lipid, obesity, and liver lipid), for association with 2,922 circulating proteins in 54,306 multi-ancestry participants (of which 42,452 were unrelated and without prevalent cardiometabolic disease) from the UK Biobank (UKB). Then, we tested the PGS-associated proteins for association with incident cardiometabolic complications in two cardiovascular outcome trials among T2D patients with proteogenomic data: EXSCEL (N=2,823) and DECLARE-TIMI 58 (N=915). We assessed causality using two-sample Mendelian randomization and mediation. Results We identified 839 unique proteins significantly associated with any T2D PGS and 1,005 proteins that were associated with at least one cardiometabolic PGS. Some PGS-associated proteins such as TFF3, EFEMP1, and MMP12 were in turn associated with renal and cardiovascular trial outcomes. PGS association patterns revealed shared pathways, e.g., complement cascade, cholesterol metabolism, IGF signaling. The proteins underlying these pathways, such as LPA, C1S, and IGFBP2, were consistently associated with clinical trial outcomes or identified via causal inference. Conclusions This proteogenomic study revealed proteins and mechanistic pathways underlying T2D and related comorbidities, advancing our understanding of T2D pathobiology and identifying putative biomarkers. All our results are available in an online data portal (https://public.cgr.astrazeneca.com/t2d-pgs/v1/).
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