Unravelling the population structure and transmission patterns of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Mozambique, a high TB/HIV burden country

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Abstract
Genomic studies of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) might shed light on the dynamics of its transmission, especially in high-burden settings, where recent outbreaks are embedded in the complex natural history of the disease. We applied Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) to characterize the local population of MTBC, unravel potential transmission links and evaluate associations with host and pathogen factors. Methods: A one-year prospective study was conducted in Mozambique, a high HIV/TB burden country. WGS was applied to 295 positive cultures. We combined phylogenetic, geographical and clustering analysis, and investigated associations between risk factors of transmission. Findings: A significant high proportion of strains were in recent transmission (45.5%). We fully characterized MTBC isolates by using phylogenetic approaches and dating evaluation. We found two likely endemic clades, comprised of 67 strains, belonging to L1.2, dating from the late XIX century and associated with recent spread among PLHIV. Interpretation: Our results unveil the population structure of MTBC in our setting. The clustering analysis revealed an unexpected pattern of spread and high rates of progression, suggesting the failure of control measures. The long-term presence of local strains in Mozambique, which were responsible for large transmission among HIV/TB coinfected patients, hint at possible coevolution with sympatric host populations and challenge the role of HIV in TB transmission. Funding: Ministry of Enterprise and Knowledge (Government of Catalonia & European Social Fund, AGAUR fellowship); European Research Council (ERC) European Union’s Horizon 2020.
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