Representation and stability in testing and measuring rational expectations
- 1 November 1999
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Economic Methodology
- Vol. 6 (3) , 381-402
Abstract
There are at least two elements of theory completion necessary for measurement: (1) a measurement formula and (2) standardization of that representation. Standardization is based on the search for stability. The more stable the correlation which the measurement formula represents is, the less influence other circumstances have. Then, the interconnection between testing, mathematical representation and standardization is of a hierarchical order. By testing a model one tries to find out to what extent the model covers the data of the phenomenon, while to be a candidate for a measurement formula the model must represent the whole data range. And among the possible representations the standard model represents the most stable correlation under different circumstances. Lucas’ model of the Phillips curve has been used to investigate this interconnection between testing, representation and stability.Keywords
This publication has 5 references indexed in Scilit:
- Autonomy of Economic Relations (League of Nations Memorandum, 1938) and J. Tinbergen's reply (both unpublished)1995
- Ceteris Paribus Laws and Socio-Economic MachinesThe Monist, 1995
- Fechner's impact for measurement theoryBehavioral and Brain Sciences, 1993
- The Inexact and Separate Science of Economics1992
- How the Laws of Physics Lie1983