Geological Suitability Evaluation and Favorable Area Optimization for Underground Coal Gasification Using TOPSIS: A Case Study of the No. 15 Coal Seam, Yushe–Wuxiang Block, Qinshui Basin

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Abstract
Underground coal gasification (UCG) requires rigorous geological suitability evaluation to reduce project risks, and scientific site selection is critical for success. Taking the No. 15 coal seam in the Yushe–Wuxiang Block (Qinshui Basin) as the focus, this study evaluates the feasibility of deep UCG using a multi-criteria decision-making framework. A hierarchical evaluation model comprising four primary and 10 secondary geological indicators (e.g., coal thickness, parting coefficient, fault fractal dimension, roof lithology) was constructed. Subjective weights were derived from the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and combined with objective weights from the coefficient of variation method. The TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) method was then applied to rank seven development units. Results indicate that the No. 15 coal seam has reasonable potential for UCG implementation. The most favorable areas (Blocks II and VII) are characterized by thick coal seams (>5 m), low parting coefficients (<8%), simple fault networks (fractal dimension ≤0.5–1.05), and competent mudstone roofs. Blocks III, V, and VI are moderately favorable, while Blocks I and IV are marginally favorable. These findings provide a prioritized roadmap for pilot-scale UCG testing in the Yushe–Wuxiang Block.

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