Machine learning derived abdominal aortic calcification is associated with physical frailty in community-dwelling adults: the UK Biobank Imaging Study
Authors:
- Abadi K. GebreAGAbadi K. Gebre
- Marion MundtMMMarion Mundt
- Elsa DentEDElsa Dent
- James WebsterJWJames Webster
- Afsah SaleemASAfsah Saleem
- Syed Zulqarnain GilaniSGSyed Zulqarnain Gilani
- Yuandan ZhangYZYuandan Zhang
- Cassandra SmithCSCassandra Smith
- Parminder RainaPRParminder Raina
- John P. KempJKJohn P. Kemp
- William D. LeslieWLWilliam D. Leslie
- John T. SchousboeJSJohn T. Schousboe
Open Access
- 23 June 2026
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Springer Nature in GeroScience
- p. 1-12
Abstract
Clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) is often present in frail individuals. However, it remains unclear whether subclinical CVD, e.g., abdominal aortic calcification (AAC), is associated with frailty. This study investigated the cross-sectional relationship between AAC scored using a validated machine learning model (ML-AAC24) and physical frailty. 49,081 participants from the UK Biobank Imaging Study without atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) diagnosis were included. ML-AAC24 extent was categorised as low, moderate and high, based on established severity categories. Physical frailty was based on a modified Fried’s frailty phenotype comprising weak hand grip strength, slow walking speed, weight loss, exhaustion, and physical inactivity. Individuals with three or more deficits were considered frail, while one or two deficits was considered pre-frail. Multivariable-adjusted multinominal logistic regression models were used to test the associations between ML-AAC24 extent and frailty status. One in five individuals had moderate or high ML-AAC24. Compared to individuals with low ML-AAC24, those with moderate and high ML-AAC24 had greater odds of being pre-frail (ORs 1.06 95%CI 1.00–1.12 moderate; 1.14 95%CI 1.04–1.26 high) or frail (ORs 1.27 95%CI 1.12–1.44 moderate; 1.58 95%CI 1.31–1.91 high), adjusted for multiple covariates. When stratified by sex, similar results for frailty were recorded. In a population, those with moderate and high ML-AAC24 were more likely to present as pre-frail and frail. AAC identified from lateral spine images obtained during routine bone density testing, could serve as a useful marker for the early detection of frailty, highlighting the importance of multimodality care. Graphical AbstractKeywords
Funding Information
- National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (APP1183570)
- Medical Research Future Fund (MRF2024225)
- Western Australian Future Health and Innovation Fund, Government of Western Australia (G1008388)
- Raine Medical Research Foundation
- Royal Perth Hospital Medical Research Foundation (RPHRF CAF 00/21)
- National Heart Foundation of Australia (102817)
- National Heart Foundation of Australia (107323)
- National Heart Foundation of Australia (107194)
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche MédicaleNational Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (GNT1177938)
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche MédicaleNational Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (GNT1158758)
- Lions Medical Research Foundation
- Medical Research Council (MC_PC_21003)
- Medical Research Council (MC_PC_21001)
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR305844)
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR203319)
- Edith Cowan University
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