The impact of synoptic meteorology on observed surface heat fluxes over the Southern Ocean
Preprint
- 15 August 2025
- preprint
- Published by Copernicus GmbH in EGUsphere
- Vol. 2025, 1-22
Abstract
A 14-year climatology of the bulk sensible and latent heat fluxes (SHF and LHF) made from the Southern Ocean Flux Station (SOFS) is analyzed with respect to the synoptic meteorology and mesoscale cellular convection (MCC). A K-means clustering algorithm identified five synoptic regimes: High Pressure/Ridging (HPR), Tasman Blocking High (TBH), Zonal, Frontal, and Cold Air Advection (CAA). Among these, CAA showed the strongest air-sea coupling, with mean SHF of -40.4 W/m² and LHF of -131.0 W/m², which are 3.5 and 2 times greater than the overall mean, respectively. This striking increase in fluxes during CAA is associated with a high marine cold-air outbreak index (M-index) and weak inversion coupled with cold and dry air transport towards SOFS by the strong south-westerly wind. The SOFS measurements are also employed to evaluate ERA5 fluxes, finding that ERA5 accurately represents the observed bulk SHF and LHF, with a mean bias of 1.6 W/m² for SHF and -6.2 W/m² for LHF, along with significant correlation coefficients of r=0.9 and 0.92, respectively. Turning to open and closed MCC, relatively weak differences in the fluxes are observed between these two states, suggesting that the SHF and LHF are not the primary drivers in the transition between open and closed MCC. In open MCC, SHF and LHF show a strong correlation with the M-index, while closed MCC is associated with a stable atmosphere with a strong inversion, where the M-index relationship with surface fluxes is weak.Keywords
All Related Versions
- Published version: Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6 (4), 1797.
Funding Information
- Australian Research Council (SRI200100005)
This publication has 53 references indexed in Scilit:
- Southern Ocean precipitation: Toward a process‐level understandingWires Climate Change, 2022
- Influences of surface heat flux on twin cyclone structure during their explosive development over the East Asian marginal seas on 23 January 2008Weather and Climate Extremes, 2019
- Characteristics of the Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer Over the Southern Ocean in Response to the Synoptic ForcingJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2018
- Identifying Meteorological Controls on Open and Closed Mesoscale Cellular Convection Associated with Marine Cold Air OutbreaksJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2017
- An assessment of air–sea heat fluxes from ocean and coupled reanalysesClimate Dynamics, 2015
- Assessment of Southern Ocean water mass circulation and characteristics in CMIP5 models: Historical bias and forcing responseJournal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2013
- First air‐sea flux mooring measurements in the Southern OceanGeophysical Research Letters, 2012
- The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation systemQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2011
- Air–sea interaction over ocean fronts and eddiesDynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 2008
- Marine cold-air outbreaks in the future: an assessment of IPCC AR4 model results for the Northern HemisphereClimate Dynamics, 2007