Modeling the Risk of Extreme Value Dependence in Chinese Regional Carbon Emission Markets
Open Access
- 24 September 2020
- journal article
- research article
- Published by MDPI AG in Sustainability
- Vol. 12 (19) , 7911
Abstract
In this study, we analyze the risk of extreme value dependence in Chinese regional carbon emission markets. After filtering the daily return data of six carbon markets in China using a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, we obtain the standardized residual series. Next, the dependence structures in the markets are captured by the Copula function and the Extreme Value theory (EVT). We report high peaks, heavy tails and fluctuation aggregation in the logarithm return series of the markets, as well as significant dependent structures. There are significant extreme value risks in Chinese regional carbon markets, but the risks can be mitigated through appropriate portfolio diversification.Keywords
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