Temporal Multi-Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Flow Prediction
Top Cited Papers
- 21 May 2020
- journal article
- research article
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
- Vol. 22 (6) , 3337-3348
Abstract
Traffic flow prediction plays an important role in ITS (Intelligent Transportation System). This task is challenging due to the complex spatial and temporal correlations (e.g., the constraints of road network and the law of dynamic change with time). Existing work tried to solve this problem by exploiting a variety of spatiotemporal models. However, we observe that more semantic pair-wise correlations among possibly distant roads are also critical for traffic flow prediction. To jointly model the spatial, temporal, semantic correlations with various global features in the road network, this paper proposes T-MGCN (Temporal Multi-Graph Convolutional Network), a deep learning framework for traffic flow prediction. First, we identify several kinds of semantic correlations, and encode the non-Euclidean spatial correlations and heterogeneous semantic correlations among roads into multiple graphs. These correlations are then modeled by a multi-graph convolutional network. Second, a recurrent neural network is utilized to learn dynamic patterns of traffic flow to capture the temporal correlations. Third, a fully connected neural network is utilized to fuse the spatiotemporal correlations with global features. We evaluate T-MGCN on two real-world traffic datasets and observe improvement by approximately 3% to 6% as compared to the state-of-the-art baseline.Keywords
Funding Information
- Joint Funds of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U1936215)
- Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (LY18F020033)
This publication has 29 references indexed in Scilit:
- Using Data From the Web to Predict Public Transport Arrivals Under Special Events ScenariosJournal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2014
- Total unimodularity and decomposition method for large-scale air traffic cell transmission modelTransportation Research Part B: Methodological, 2013
- Experimental comparison of representation methods and distance measures for time series dataData Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 2012
- A Bayesian Network Approach to Traffic Flow ForecastingIEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2006
- Travel-Time Prediction With Support Vector RegressionIEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2004
- Modeling and Forecasting Vehicular Traffic Flow as a Seasonal ARIMA Process: Theoretical Basis and Empirical ResultsJournal of Transportation Engineering, 2003
- Forecasting Freeway Link Travel Times with a Multilayer Feedforward Neural NetworkComputer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 1999
- Application of Subset Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model for Short-Term Freeway Traffic Volume ForecastingTransportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1999
- Short-Term Prediction of Traffic Volume in Urban ArterialsJournal of Transportation Engineering, 1995
- Dynamic prediction of traffic volume through Kalman filtering theoryTransportation Research Part B: Methodological, 1984