Enhancing Academic Outcomes through an Adaptive Learning Framework Utilizing a Novel Machine Learning-Based Performance Prediction Method

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Abstract
Introduction:E landscapes have been transformed by technological advancements, enabling adaptive and flexible learning through AI-based and decision-oriented adaptive learning systems. The increasing importance of this solutions is underscored by the pivotal role of the learner model, representing the core of the teaching-learning dynamic. This model, encompassing qualities, knowledge, abilities, behaviors, preferences, and unique distinctions, plays a crucial role in customizing the learning experience. It influences decisions related to learning materials, teaching strategies, and presentation styles. Objective: This study meets the need for applying AI-driven adaptive learning in education, implementing a novel method that uses self-esteem (ES), emotional intelligence (EQ), and demographic data to predict student performance and adjust the learning process. Methods: Our study involved collecting and processing data, constructing a predictive machine learning model, implementing it as an online solution, and conducting an experimental study with 146 high school students in computer science and French as foreign language. The aim was to tailor the teaching-learning process to the learners' performance. Results: significant correlations were observed between self-esteem, emotional intelligence, demographic data, and final grades. The predictive model demonstrated a 90 % accuracy rate. In the experimental group, the results indicated higher scores, with an average of 15,78/20 compared to the control group's 12,53/20 in computer science. Similarly, in French as a foreign language, the experimental group achieved an average of 13,78/20, surpassing the control group's 10,47/20. Conclusion: the achieved results motivate the creation of a multifactorial AI-driven adaptive learning platform. Recognizing the necessity for improvement, we aim to refine the predicted performance score through the incorporation of a diagnostic evaluation, ensuring an optimal grouping of learners

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