Bernadette Modell

To demonstrate a method for using genetic epidemiological data to assess the needs for equitable and cost-effective services for the treatment and prevention of haemoglobin disorders. We obtained data on demographics and prevalence of gene variants responsible for haemoglobin disorders from online databases, reference resources, and published articles. A global epidemiological database for haemoglobin disorders by country was established, including five practical service indicators to express the needs for care (indicator 1) and prevention (indicators 2–5).

As a result of global population movements, haemoglobin disorders (thalassaemias and sickle cell disorders) are increasingly common in the formerly non-indigenous countries of Northern and Western Europe and in the indigenous countries of Southern Europe. This article presents an overview of the changing picture and a method for assessing service needs. Data on country of birth or ethnic origin of residents are adjusted to obtain the estimated proportions of residents and births in non-indigenous groups at risk for haemoglobin disorders in European countries. The results are combined with prevalence data in each country of origin to obtain country prevalence estimates. Service indicators (annual tests or other interventions required to ensure equitable delivery of treatment and prevention) are then derived by country. Haemoglobin disorders now occur at comparable frequency throughout Northern, Western and Southern Europe. Annually, there are more affected conceptions in Northern and Western than in Southern Europe, and sickle cell disorders are more common than thalassaemias. There is growing need for health policy-makers to support motivated professionals working to develop optimal patient care, carrier diagnosis, genetic counselling and access to prenatal diagnosis throughout the Region. There is a strong case for pan-European collaboration on haemoglobin disorders to share policies, standards and the instruments required to support them. These include methods for needs assessment, service standards, education and information strategies and materials, and methods for evaluating service delivery.

Iran's experience shows that genetic screening can be successful in lower resource countries and also provides some lessons for high resource nations Progress in controlling communicable diseases increases the relative importance of non-communicable diseases, including genetic disorders.1 In Iran, the development of primary health care over the past 20 years has greatly reduced infant mortality and crude birth rate. Accordingly, in 1991 prevention of non-communicable diseases was added to the primary healthcare programme, and a department for the control of non-communicable disease, including a genetics office, was established within the Ministry of Health and Medical Education. β Thalassaemia, which is an important health problem in Iran,2 was chosen to test the feasibility of preventing non-communicable disease in primary care. We describe how the programme has been implemented. Iran has a five level primary healthcare network covering the entire population of 60 million, in 28 provinces (figure).3 Responsibility for health and medical education are merged throughout the system. Each medical university has a vice chancellor responsible for primary health care. There were 14 826 rural health houses at the start of the thalassaemia project. These are staffed by trained health workers (behvarz) supported by a system of continuing education. As well as premarital health education and blood tests, the responsibilities of primary care staff include an annual census of the population covered, health education, family health (prenatal and postnatal care, children, family planning, immunisation), disease control (tuberculosis, malaria, leprosy, etc), simple treatments, environmental health, and collection, recording, and storage of health information. Organisation of the Iranian primary healthcare system Continuing education for primary care workers is particularly important in developing countries, where the rapid evolution of health priorities requires a flexible response. In Iran, when a new programme is developed, provincial health workers attend an initial meeting …

Many concerned scientists believe that developments in the medical application of genomics will widen the gap between the developed and the developing world. We argue that most developing countries now urgently need to incorporate genetic approaches (including DNA diagnosis) into their health services, and that many are able to do so. DNA diagnosis is relatively inexpensive, helps to develop skills in molecular biology and provides a basis for developing national expertise in genomics.

Consanguineous marriage is customary in many societies, but leads to an increased birth prevalence of infants with severe recessive disorders. It is therefore often proposed that consanguineous marriage should be discouraged on medical grounds. However, several expert groups have pointed out that this proposal is inconsistent with the ethical principles of genetic counselling, overlooks the social importance of consanguineous marriage and is ineffective. Instead, they suggest that the custom increases the possibilities for effective genetic counselling, and recommend a concerted effort to identify families at increased risk, and to provide them with risk information and carrier testing when feasible.

To demonstrate the value of a national register for surveillance of services for an inherited disorder. Data from the United Kingdom Thalassaemia Register and the United Kingdom Register of Prenatal Diagnosis for Haemoglobin Disorders were combined in a database; these registers include all fetuses known to have been diagnosed with beta thalassaemia major, beta thalassaemia intermedia, or haemoglobin E/beta thalassaemia in the United Kingdom. Data were extracted to show outcomes (selective abortion or live birth) of all fetuses and the status of those born with a disorder (alive, dead, successful bone marrow transplant, or lost to follow-up) by parents' region of residence and ethnicity. At the end of 1999 the register included 1074 patients, 807 of whom were alive and residing in the United Kingdom. A successful bone marrow transplant has been performed for 117 out of 581 (20%) patients born since 1975. Residents of Pakistani origin are now the main group at risk in the United Kingdom, replacing residents of Cypriot origin. This has led to a marked shift in the need for services from the south-east of England to the Midlands and the north of England. Despite the acceptability of prenatal diagnosis, the proportion of affected births remains 50% higher than would be expected, reflecting a widespread failure to deliver timely screening and counselling to carriers. Even though effective treatment is available the annual number of deaths is rising, indicating that better tolerated treatments are needed. A national diagnosis register is a powerful instrument for monitoring the treatment and prevention of inherited disorders and for highlighting correctable shortcomings. In view of the increasing possibilities for genetic screening there is a strong case for central funding for such databases within modern health services.

We have reviewed the accuracy of prenatal diagnosis for the thalassaemias and sickle cell disorders performed for UK residents since the service began in 1974. Prenatal diagnosis has been performed in 3254 pregnancies: 517 by fetal blood analysis, 681 by Southern blotting and 2056 by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) methods, the majority using the amplification refractory mutation system (ARMS). The number of homozygotes diagnosed was 808 (24.8%). Twenty-five diagnostic errors have been recorded, ten arising from non-laboratory errors (0.31%) and 15 due to technical problems associated with the diagnostic techniques. The latter group consisted of eight misdiagnoses by globin chain synthesis (1.55%), five by Southern blot analysis (0.73%) and two by PCR methods (0. 10%). The data show that the accuracy of prenatal diagnosis has improved with each development of diagnostic technique, and confirms that prenatal diagnosis of beta-thalassaemia and sickle cell disorders by ARMS-PCR is very accurate and reliable. The overall error rate for prenatal diagnosis by PCR methods in the UK is now 0. 41%.

A service for prenatal diagnosis of beta-thalassaemia was introduced in Pakistan in May 1994. Two renowned Islamic scholars, consulted before the service was introduced, ruled that a pregnancy can be terminated if the fetus is affected by a serious genetic disorder, and if termination is before 120 days (17 weeks) of gestation. During the first 3(1/2) years of the service 300 couples requested the test. Almost all the couples had been informed by their treating doctors. Most diagnoses were made between 10 and 16 weeks of gestation, and only 15 (5%) were reached after the 16th week. DNA analysis was by the amplification refractory mutation system (ARMS). A multiplex ARMS was developed in which three primer combinations identified the mutations in 91.5% of the couples. In 13 couples (4. 3%) linkage analysis was required for the fetal diagnosis. In 47/53 (88.7%) women carrying an affected fetus the pregnancy was terminated. In six cases it was declined principally on religious grounds. Postnatal confirmation of the prenatal diagnosis was possible in 117 unaffected children. One year after the start of the service, interviews with 141 couples with an affected child showed that 72% knew of the availability of prenatal diagnosis. Thirty-two of the informed couples had had a pregnancy, but only 18 (56%) used prenatal diagnosis. The main reasons for non-utilization of prenatal diagnosis were the cost of the test and fear of undergoing the test, though some gave no clear explanation. This study demonstrates that prenatal diagnosis is feasible and acceptable in a Muslim country such as Pakistan.