Juan José Vinagre Díaz
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Previous Organizations / Institutes
The organizations / institutes from the scholar's other articles in the past ten years
Research Subjects
Juan José Vinagre Díaz has a total of 67 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Ana Belén Rodríguez González
Department of Mathematics Applied to Information and Communication Technologies, Universidad Politcnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
16 shared publications - Mark Richard Wilby
Department of Mathematics Applied to Information and Communication Technologies, Universidad Politcnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
14 shared publications - Rubén Fernández Pozo
Department of Mathematics Applied to Information and Communication Technologies, Universidad Politcnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
12 shared publications Mark Richard Wilby
Department of Mathematics Applied to Information and Communication Technologies, Universidad Politcnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
11 shared publicationsAna Belén Rodríguez González
9 shared publications- Antonio J. Caamano
Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Fuenlabrada, Spain
5 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 14 February 2024
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Big Data
- Vol. 10 (5) , 633-643
Using App Usage Data From Mobile Devices to Improve Activity-Based Travel Demand Models
In the last years we have seen several studies showing the potential of mobile network data to reconstruct activity and mobility patterns of the population. These data sources allow continuous monitoring of the population with a higher degree of spatial and temporal resolution and at a lower cost compared with traditional methods. However, for certain applications, the spatial resolution of these data sources is still not enough since it typically provides a spatial resolution of hundreds of meters in urban areas and of few kilometers in rural areas. In this work, we fill this gap by proposing a methodology that utilises GPS data from the usage of different applications in mobile devices. This approach improves the spatial precision in the location of activities, previously identified with the mobile network data.
- 14 February 2024
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Big Data
- Vol. 10 (5) , 633-643
Open AccessUsing App Usage Data From Mobile Devices to Improve Activity-Based Travel Demand Models
In the last years we have seen several studies showing the potential of mobile network data to reconstruct activity and mobility patterns of the population. These data sources allow continuous monitoring of the population with a higher degree of spatial and temporal resolution and at a lower cost compared with traditional methods. However, for certain applications, the spatial resolution of these data sources is still not enough since it typically provides a spatial resolution of hundreds of meters in urban areas and of few kilometers in rural areas. In this work, we fill this gap by proposing a methodology that utilises GPS data from the usage of different applications in mobile devices. This approach improves the spatial precision in the location of activities, previously identified with the mobile network data.
- 20 November 2023
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
- Vol. 25 (6) , 4987-4997
Time-Based Utilization Rate of the Fleet: Measuring Deep Inefficiencies in E-Scooter Services in Atlanta and Rome
E-scooter services have been deployed in cities worldwide, as a clean, flexible, and enjoyable mobility mode that contribute to reaching sustainable objectives. Given its recent advent, we still need to understand its actual operation and efficiency, and the corresponding result from users. This work contributes to this aim, providing a novel metric, the time-based utilization rate of the fleet, to measure the performance of e-scooter services. Its time-based nature implies a novel approach in the field, separating from traditional approaches that use the number of trips as the basic variable. We will mathematically demonstrate that these metrics are approximations of the exact value we provide as they intrinsically depend on the time interval they select for the calculation. In order to feed our method, we have retrieved e-scooter data from an operator (Helbiz) in Atlanta (USA) and Rome (Italy), corresponding to February 2021. These data include the state of each e-scooter in time, which allows us to precisely know whether they were used, out of service, or parked. Results show utilization rates of the fleet of $0.2021\,\%$ and $0.3310\,\%$ , respectively and high percentages of out of service vehicles that exceed $25\,\%$ . However, this inefficiency was not reflected in the profitability of the business. The economic analysis we conducted shows revenues close to $1$ million euros in Rome, which may detach profitability from efficiency.
- 20 November 2023
- Published by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
- Vol. 25 (6) , 4987-4997
Time-Based Utilization Rate of the Fleet: Measuring Deep Inefficiencies in E-Scooter Services in Atlanta and Rome
E-scooter services have been deployed in cities worldwide, as a clean, flexible, and enjoyable mobility mode that contribute to reaching sustainable objectives. Given its recent advent, we still need to understand its actual operation and efficiency, and the corresponding result from users. This work contributes to this aim, providing a novel metric, the time-based utilization rate of the fleet, to measure the performance of e-scooter services. Its time-based nature implies a novel approach in the field, separating from traditional approaches that use the number of trips as the basic variable. We will mathematically demonstrate that these metrics are approximations of the exact value we provide as they intrinsically depend on the time interval they select for the calculation. In order to feed our method, we have retrieved e-scooter data from an operator (Helbiz) in Atlanta (USA) and Rome (Italy), corresponding to February 2021. These data include the state of each e-scooter in time, which allows us to precisely know whether they were used, out of service, or parked. Results show utilization rates of the fleet of $0.2021\,\%$ and $0.3310\,\%$ , respectively and high percentages of out of service vehicles that exceed $25\,\%$ . However, this inefficiency was not reflected in the profitability of the business. The economic analysis we conducted shows revenues close to $1$ million euros in Rome, which may detach profitability from efficiency.
- Open Access
- 16 March 2023
- Published by Springer Nature in Transportation
- Vol. 51 (5) , 1679-1700
Blind classification of e-scooter trips according to their relationship with public transport
E-scooter services have multiplied worldwide as a form of urban transport. Their use has grown so quickly that policymakers and researchers still need to understand their interrelation with other transport modes. At present, e-scooter services are primarily seen as a first-and-last-mile solution for public transport. However, we demonstrate that $$50\,\%$$ of e-scooter trips are either substituting it or covering areas with little public transportation infrastructure. To this end, we have developed a novel data-driven methodology that autonomously classifies e-scooter trips according to their relation to public transit. Instead of predefined design criteria, the blind nature of our approach extracts the city’s intrinsic parameters from real data. We applied this methodology to Rome (Italy), and our findings reveal that e-scooters provide specific mobility solutions in areas with particular needs. Thus, we believe that the proposed methodology will contribute to the understanding of e-scooter services as part of shared urban mobility.- 16 March 2023
- Published by Springer Nature in Transportation
- Vol. 51 (5) , 1679-1700
Open AccessBlind classification of e-scooter trips according to their relationship with public transport
E-scooter services have multiplied worldwide as a form of urban transport. Their use has grown so quickly that policymakers and researchers still need to understand their interrelation with other transport modes. At present, e-scooter services are primarily seen as a first-and-last-mile solution for public transport. However, we demonstrate that $$50\,\%$$ of e-scooter trips are either substituting it or covering areas with little public transportation infrastructure. To this end, we have developed a novel data-driven methodology that autonomously classifies e-scooter trips according to their relation to public transit. Instead of predefined design criteria, the blind nature of our approach extracts the city’s intrinsic parameters from real data. We applied this methodology to Rome (Italy), and our findings reveal that e-scooters provide specific mobility solutions in areas with particular needs. Thus, we believe that the proposed methodology will contribute to the understanding of e-scooter services as part of shared urban mobility. - Open Access
- 10 November 2022
- Published by Springer Nature in Transportation
- Vol. 51 (3) , 791-822
Were ride-hailing fares affected by the COVID-19 pandemic? Empirical analyses in Atlanta and Boston
Ride-hailing services such as Lyft, Uber, and Cabify operate through smartphone apps and are a popular and growing mobility option in cities around the world. These companies can adjust their fares in real time using dynamic algorithms to balance the needs of drivers and riders, but it is still scarcely known how prices evolve at any given time. This research analyzes ride-hailing fares before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on applications of time series forecasting and machine learning models that may be useful for transport policy purposes. The Lyft Application Programming Interface was used to collect data on Lyft ride supply in Atlanta and Boston over 2 years (2019 and 2020). The Facebook Prophet model was used for long-term prediction to analyze the trends and global evolution of Lyft fares, while the Random Forest model was used for short-term prediction of ride-hailing fares. The results indicate that ride-hailing fares are affected during the COVID-19 pandemic, with values in the year 2020 being lower than those predicted by the models. The effects of fare peaks, uncontrollable events, and the impact of COVID-19 cases are also investigated. This study comes up with crucial policy recommendations for the ride-hailing market to better understand, regulate and integrate these services.
- 10 November 2022
- Published by Springer Nature in Transportation
- Vol. 51 (3) , 791-822
Open AccessWere ride-hailing fares affected by the COVID-19 pandemic? Empirical analyses in Atlanta and Boston
Ride-hailing services such as Lyft, Uber, and Cabify operate through smartphone apps and are a popular and growing mobility option in cities around the world. These companies can adjust their fares in real time using dynamic algorithms to balance the needs of drivers and riders, but it is still scarcely known how prices evolve at any given time. This research analyzes ride-hailing fares before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on applications of time series forecasting and machine learning models that may be useful for transport policy purposes. The Lyft Application Programming Interface was used to collect data on Lyft ride supply in Atlanta and Boston over 2 years (2019 and 2020). The Facebook Prophet model was used for long-term prediction to analyze the trends and global evolution of Lyft fares, while the Random Forest model was used for short-term prediction of ride-hailing fares. The results indicate that ride-hailing fares are affected during the COVID-19 pandemic, with values in the year 2020 being lower than those predicted by the models. The effects of fare peaks, uncontrollable events, and the impact of COVID-19 cases are also investigated. This study comes up with crucial policy recommendations for the ride-hailing market to better understand, regulate and integrate these services.
- Open Access
Analysis of Extended Information Provided by Bluetooth Traffic Monitoring Systems to Enhance Short-Term Level of Service Prediction
Bluetooth monitoring systems (BTMS) have opened a new era in traffic sensing, providing a reliable, economical, and easy-to-deploy solution to uniquely identify vehicles. Raw data from BTMS have traditionally been used to calculate travel time and origin–destination matrices. However, we could extend this to include other information like the number of vehicles or their residence times. This information, together with their temporal components, can be applied to the complex task of forecasting traffic. Level of service (LOS) prediction has opened a novel research line that fulfills the need to anticipate future traffic states, based on a standard link-based variable, accepted for both researchers and practitioners. In this paper, we incorporate BTMS’s extended variables and temporal information to an LOS classifier based on a Random Undersampling Boost algorithm, which is proven to efficiently respond to the data unbalance intrinsic to this problem. By using this approach, we achieve an overall recall of for up to 15-min prediction horizons, reaching predicting congestion, and improving the results for the intermediate traffic states, especially complex given their intrinsic instability. Additionally, we provide detailed analyses on the impact of temporal information on the LOS predictor’s performance, observing improvements up to a separation of 50 min between last features and prediction horizons. Furthermore, we study the predictor importance resulting from the classifiers to highlight those features contributing the most to the final achievements.Open AccessAnalysis of Extended Information Provided by Bluetooth Traffic Monitoring Systems to Enhance Short-Term Level of Service Prediction
Bluetooth monitoring systems (BTMS) have opened a new era in traffic sensing, providing a reliable, economical, and easy-to-deploy solution to uniquely identify vehicles. Raw data from BTMS have traditionally been used to calculate travel time and origin–destination matrices. However, we could extend this to include other information like the number of vehicles or their residence times. This information, together with their temporal components, can be applied to the complex task of forecasting traffic. Level of service (LOS) prediction has opened a novel research line that fulfills the need to anticipate future traffic states, based on a standard link-based variable, accepted for both researchers and practitioners. In this paper, we incorporate BTMS’s extended variables and temporal information to an LOS classifier based on a Random Undersampling Boost algorithm, which is proven to efficiently respond to the data unbalance intrinsic to this problem. By using this approach, we achieve an overall recall of for up to 15-min prediction horizons, reaching predicting congestion, and improving the results for the intermediate traffic states, especially complex given their intrinsic instability. Additionally, we provide detailed analyses on the impact of temporal information on the LOS predictor’s performance, observing improvements up to a separation of 50 min between last features and prediction horizons. Furthermore, we study the predictor importance resulting from the classifiers to highlight those features contributing the most to the final achievements. - Open Access
Data-Driven Performance Evaluation Framework for Multi-Modal Public Transport Systems
Transport agencies require accurate and updated information about public transport systems for the optimal decision-making processes regarding design and operation. In addition to assessing topology and service components, users’ behaviors must be considered. To this end, a data-driven performance evaluation based on passengers’ actual routes is key. Automatic fare collection platforms provide meaningful smart card data (SCD), but these are incomplete when gathered by entry-only systems. To obtain origin–destination (OD) matrices, we must manage complete journeys. In this paper, we use an adapted trip chaining method to reconstruct incomplete multi-modal journeys by finding spatial similarities between the outbound and inbound routes of the same user. From this dataset, we develop a performance evaluation framework that provides novel metrics and visualization utilities. First, we generate a space-time characterization of the overall operation of transport networks. Second, we supply enhanced OD matrices showing mobility patterns between zones and average traversed distances, travel times, and operation speeds, which model the real efficacy of the public transport system. We applied this framework to the Comunidad de Madrid (Spain), using 4 months’ worth of real SCD, showing its potential to generate meaningful information about the performance of multi-modal public transport systems.
Open AccessData-Driven Performance Evaluation Framework for Multi-Modal Public Transport Systems
Transport agencies require accurate and updated information about public transport systems for the optimal decision-making processes regarding design and operation. In addition to assessing topology and service components, users’ behaviors must be considered. To this end, a data-driven performance evaluation based on passengers’ actual routes is key. Automatic fare collection platforms provide meaningful smart card data (SCD), but these are incomplete when gathered by entry-only systems. To obtain origin–destination (OD) matrices, we must manage complete journeys. In this paper, we use an adapted trip chaining method to reconstruct incomplete multi-modal journeys by finding spatial similarities between the outbound and inbound routes of the same user. From this dataset, we develop a performance evaluation framework that provides novel metrics and visualization utilities. First, we generate a space-time characterization of the overall operation of transport networks. Second, we supply enhanced OD matrices showing mobility patterns between zones and average traversed distances, travel times, and operation speeds, which model the real efficacy of the public transport system. We applied this framework to the Comunidad de Madrid (Spain), using 4 months’ worth of real SCD, showing its potential to generate meaningful information about the performance of multi-modal public transport systems.
- Open Access
- 7 December 2021
- Published by Springer Nature in Transportation
- Vol. 50 (1) , 285-301
Utilization rate of the fleet: a novel performance metric for a novel shared mobility
Car-sharing systems have irrupted in our cities following the shared mobility paradigm. They have evolved the personal mobility market from product-based into service-oriented, which ultimately provides a positive impact on the city’s sustainability. Car sharing systems are a complex interactive service, whose dynamics can dramatically affect its operational viability. In order to better asses this viability, we must rely on data to produce novel metrics that characterize both the user behavior and the service performance. Up to date, research has focused on modeling the demand on the basis of the number of rentals that start within a specific time slot. However, this approach seems unable to provide a representative metric of the performance of a car-sharing system. In this paper, we propose a novel metric, the utilization rate of the fleet, which considers the precise number of vehicles within a fleet that are in service every minute of the day. From this basic metric, we derive a key performance indicator (KPI) to reflect the viability of any car-sharing system in economic and sustainability terms. We have applied this new metric and KPI to a dataset with 449 days of car2go data, collected in 10 European cities.
- 7 December 2021
- Published by Springer Nature in Transportation
- Vol. 50 (1) , 285-301
Open AccessUtilization rate of the fleet: a novel performance metric for a novel shared mobility
Car-sharing systems have irrupted in our cities following the shared mobility paradigm. They have evolved the personal mobility market from product-based into service-oriented, which ultimately provides a positive impact on the city’s sustainability. Car sharing systems are a complex interactive service, whose dynamics can dramatically affect its operational viability. In order to better asses this viability, we must rely on data to produce novel metrics that characterize both the user behavior and the service performance. Up to date, research has focused on modeling the demand on the basis of the number of rentals that start within a specific time slot. However, this approach seems unable to provide a representative metric of the performance of a car-sharing system. In this paper, we propose a novel metric, the utilization rate of the fleet, which considers the precise number of vehicles within a fleet that are in service every minute of the day. From this basic metric, we derive a key performance indicator (KPI) to reflect the viability of any car-sharing system in economic and sustainability terms. We have applied this new metric and KPI to a dataset with 449 days of car2go data, collected in 10 European cities.
- Open Access
Characterization of COVID-19’s Impact on Mobility and Short-Term Prediction of Public Transport Demand in a Mid-Size City in Spain
COVID-19 has dramatically struck each section of our society: health, economy, employment, and mobility. This work presents a data-driven characterization of the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on public and private mobility in a mid-size city in Spain (Fuenlabrada). Our analysis used real data collected from the public transport smart card system and a Bluetooth traffic monitoring network, from February to September 2020, thus covering relevant phases of the pandemic. Our results show that, at the peak of the pandemic, public and private mobility dramatically decreased to and of their pre-COVID-19 values, after which the latter experienced a faster recovery. In addition, our analysis of daily patterns evidenced a clear change in the behavior of users towards mobility during the different phases of the pandemic. Based on these findings, we developed short-term predictors of future public transport demand to provide operators and mobility managers with accurate information to optimize their service and avoid crowded areas. Our prediction model achieved a high performance for pre- and post-state-of-alarm phases. Consequently, this work contributes to enlarging the knowledge about the impact of pandemic on mobility, providing a deep analysis about how it affected each transport mode in a mid-size city.Open AccessCharacterization of COVID-19’s Impact on Mobility and Short-Term Prediction of Public Transport Demand in a Mid-Size City in Spain
COVID-19 has dramatically struck each section of our society: health, economy, employment, and mobility. This work presents a data-driven characterization of the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on public and private mobility in a mid-size city in Spain (Fuenlabrada). Our analysis used real data collected from the public transport smart card system and a Bluetooth traffic monitoring network, from February to September 2020, thus covering relevant phases of the pandemic. Our results show that, at the peak of the pandemic, public and private mobility dramatically decreased to and of their pre-COVID-19 values, after which the latter experienced a faster recovery. In addition, our analysis of daily patterns evidenced a clear change in the behavior of users towards mobility during the different phases of the pandemic. Based on these findings, we developed short-term predictors of future public transport demand to provide operators and mobility managers with accurate information to optimize their service and avoid crowded areas. Our prediction model achieved a high performance for pre- and post-state-of-alarm phases. Consequently, this work contributes to enlarging the knowledge about the impact of pandemic on mobility, providing a deep analysis about how it affected each transport mode in a mid-size city. - Open Access
- 18 June 2021
- Published by MDPI AG in Sustainability
- Vol. 13 (12) , 6886
Moped Scooter Sharing: Citizens’ Perceptions, Users’ Behavior, and Implications for Urban Mobility
In recent years, moped-style scooter sharing is gaining increasing attention in many urban areas worldwide. Nevertheless, research contributions are still limited, unlike other shared mobility systems. This paper is aimed at providing a first insight on moped sharing demand by exploring the usage and opinions towards this new mobility alternative. To that end, the research exploits the data from a web-based survey conducted in Spain, one of the countries with the largest implementation around the world in terms of the shared e-mopeds fleet. Kruskal–Wallis tests were conducted to identify the segment of the urban population that is more likely adopted moped sharing, and additional statistical mean differences in specific variables concerning moped sharing were carried out. The paper also provides a better understanding of the shared mopeds market and some implications for urban mobility, such as the potential role of shared mopeds in reducing vehicle ownership and its effect on urban modal shift. Furthermore, two discrete choice models were developed to (i) analyze the key drivers determining the willingness to use moped sharing, and (ii) explore individuals’ opinions on whether owning a private vehicle will not be a need in the future. The results indicate that age, occupation, income, and environmental awareness seem to be among the main reasons behind the potential use of these services in the future. The results may be useful for both operators and transport planners when designing actions and policy efforts addressing this mobility option and urban mobility in general.
- 18 June 2021
- Published by MDPI AG in Sustainability
- Vol. 13 (12) , 6886
Open AccessMoped Scooter Sharing: Citizens’ Perceptions, Users’ Behavior, and Implications for Urban Mobility
In recent years, moped-style scooter sharing is gaining increasing attention in many urban areas worldwide. Nevertheless, research contributions are still limited, unlike other shared mobility systems. This paper is aimed at providing a first insight on moped sharing demand by exploring the usage and opinions towards this new mobility alternative. To that end, the research exploits the data from a web-based survey conducted in Spain, one of the countries with the largest implementation around the world in terms of the shared e-mopeds fleet. Kruskal–Wallis tests were conducted to identify the segment of the urban population that is more likely adopted moped sharing, and additional statistical mean differences in specific variables concerning moped sharing were carried out. The paper also provides a better understanding of the shared mopeds market and some implications for urban mobility, such as the potential role of shared mopeds in reducing vehicle ownership and its effect on urban modal shift. Furthermore, two discrete choice models were developed to (i) analyze the key drivers determining the willingness to use moped sharing, and (ii) explore individuals’ opinions on whether owning a private vehicle will not be a need in the future. The results indicate that age, occupation, income, and environmental awareness seem to be among the main reasons behind the potential use of these services in the future. The results may be useful for both operators and transport planners when designing actions and policy efforts addressing this mobility option and urban mobility in general.