Paul Terry

Our aim was to study the broader eating patterns that potentially reflect many dietary exposures working together in their association with breast cancer risk. Using data from a prospective study of 61,463 women with an average follow-up of 9.6 years and 1,328 incident cases of breast cancer, we conducted a factor analysis to identify major dietary patterns. Proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios. We found no association between the "Western" dietary pattern (characterized by such foods as red and processed meats, refined grains, fat, and sweets) or the "healthy" dietary pattern (fruit and vegetables, fish and poultry, low-fat dairy, and whole grains) and breast cancer risk. However, women who were in the highest category of the "drinker" dietary pattern (wine, beer, and spirits) had a moderately increased risk (rate ratio = 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.52; P for trend, 0.002). The positive association was somewhat weaker among women below 50 years of age, a finding not inconsistent with chance. Our results are in agreement with the majority of previous studies that show alcohol consumption moderately increases the risk of breast cancer, but our results do not support any association between breast cancer risk and the "Western" or "healthy" dietary patterns.

Fruit and vegetables are considered to be important means of preventing cancer through diet. However, several recent large prospective cohort studies and clinical trials have found no associations regarding several major cancers, including cancers of the colon, breast and stomach. Although these results are disconcerting, especially for health-conscious individuals, there is also mounting evidence that people who avoid fruit and vegetables completely, or consume very little, are indeed at increased risk of these cancers. These individuals in particular should be identified, with the goal of helping them find ways to include more fruit and vegetables in their diets.

The incidence of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus has increased rapidly in recent decades. In order to appreciate the potential for prevention by means of dietary modification, we estimated the aetiological fractions and the increments in absolute risk attributable to low intake of fruit and vegetables for adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma of the oesophagus and for adenocarcinoma of the gastroesophageal junction. We conducted a nationwide population-based case–control study in Sweden, with participation of 608 cases and 815 controls. We used unconditional logistic regression to estimate relative risks, from which we calculated aetiological fractions. Individuals in the highest exposure quartile (median 4.8 servings/day) versus the lowest (median 1.5 servings/day) showed approximately 50% lower risk of oesophageal adenocarcinoma and 40% lower risk of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, but no risk reduction for gastric cardia adenocarcinoma. Approximately 20% of oesophageal adenocarcinoma, and likewise squamous cell carcinoma, in Sweden was attributed to consuming less than three servings of fruit and vegetables per day. A very large number of individuals (over 25 000) would need to increase their fruit and vegetable consumption moderately in order to prevent one oesophageal cancer per year. Moderate relative risk reductions translate into weak absolute risk reductions for oesophageal cancers in Sweden.

BACKGROUND The presumed protective effect of coffee consumption on colorectal cancer, which is supported by case control studies, has not been confirmed in prospective cohort studies. Cohort studies are few in number however and often suffer from a small number of cases, limited attention to confounding variables, and a low percentage of heavy coffee drinkers. METHODS We examined data from a large population based cohort of Swedish women who were free from cancer at the start of follow up, with a wide range of coffee consumption, information on many potentially confounding variables, and a larger number of cases than any previous cohort study of coffee consumption and colorectal cancer. RESULTS During an average of 9.6 years of follow up of 61 463 women aged 40–74 years, we observed 460 incident cases of colorectal cancer (291 with colon cancer, 159 with rectal cancer, 10 with cancer at both sites). We found no association between coffee consumption and colorectal cancer risk. The risk ratio for drinking four or more cups per day compared with none was 1.04 (95% confidence interval 0.63—1.69; p for trend 0.84). The findings were similar for cancers of the distal and proximal colon and rectum. CONCLUSIONS The recently published affirmative conclusions regarding the protective effect of coffee consumption may be premature. For patients seeking advice about coffee consumption, the evidence suggests that moderate or even high consumption will probably not influence the risk of colorectal cancer.

Background: Several recent large prospective cohort studies have failed to demonstrate the presumed protective effect of fruit, vegetable, and dietary fiber consumption on colorectal cancer risk. To further explore this issue, we have examined these associations in a population that consumes relatively low amounts of fruit and vegetables and high amounts of cereals. Methods: We examined data obtained from a food-frequency questionnaire used in a population-based prospective mammography screening study of women in central Sweden. Women with colorectal cancer diagnosed through December 31, 1998, were identified by linkage to regional cancer registries. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate relative risks. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results: During an average 9.6 years of follow-up of 61 463 women, we observed 460 incident cases of colorectal cancer (291 colon cancers, 159 rectal cancers, and 10 cancers at both sites). In the entire study population, total fruit and vegetable consumption was inversely associated with colorectal cancer risk. Subanalyses showed that this association was due largely to fruit consumption. The association was stronger, however, and the dose–response effect was more evident among individuals who consumed the lowest amounts of fruit and vegetables. Individuals who consumed less than 1.5 servings of fruit and vegetables per day had a relative risk for developing colorectal cancer of 1.65 (95% confidence interval = 1.23 to 2.20; P_trend = .001) compared with individuals who consumed more than 2.5 servings. We observed no association between colorectal cancer risk and the consumption of cereal fiber, even at amounts substantially greater than previously examined, or of non-cereal fiber. Conclusions: Individuals who consume very low amounts of fruit and vegetables have the greatest risk of colorectal cancer. Relatively high consumption of cereal fiber does not appear to lower the risk of colorectal cancer.

The association between tea drinking and colorectal cancer risk remains unclear. The evidence for black tea is sparse but may indicate an increased risk with regular use. Because black tea is a common beverage in many populations, the significant twofold increased risk of colon cancer recently reported from a large prospective cohort of male Finnish smokers is disconcerting. Using Cox proportional hazards models to estimate relative risks, we examined this association in a large, population-based prospective cohort study in Sweden. During an average 9.6 years of follow-up of our cohort of 61,463 women (588,270 person-yr), we observed 460 incident cases of colorectal cancer (291 colon, 159 rectal, and 10 with both colon and rectal cancer). We observed no association between tea consumption and combined colorectal cancers in age- or multivariate-adjusted models. With the use of collapsed exposure categories, the multivariate-adjusted relative risk for the highest exposure (≥2 cups/day) compared with the low...

We performed a nationwide population-based case-control study of hot beverage consumption and oesophageal cancer in Sweden. Drinking beverages very hot did not increase the risk for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, oesophageal adenocarcinoma, or gastric cardia adenocarcinoma. © 2001 Cancer Research Campaign

Tobacco smoking has consistently been associated with colorectal adenomas, precursors of cancer, but the association with colorectal cancer itself has not been consistent. If colorectal cancer emerges only after a 35‐year induction period, an association would unlikely be detected in studies where exposure assessment is of shorter duration. Most previous studies do not examine smoking of such duration and therefore do not account for the hypothesized 35‐year induction period. By using the Cox proportional hazards models to estimate relative risks, we studied the association of long‐term smoking and colorectal cancer risk in a population‐based prospective cohort of 17,118 Swedish twins with up to 30 years of follow‐up and information on smoking habits prior to baseline exposure assessment. Long‐term heavy smoking was associated with a statistically significant 3‐fold increased risk of colorectal cancer compared with never smoking (relative risk 3.1, 95% CI 1.4– 7.1). Examining colorectal cancer sub‐sites separately, a non‐significant 60% increased risk of colon cancer was observed only for heavy smokers and a statistically significant 5‐fold increased risk was observed for rectal cancer. Our data lend some support to the hypothesis that heavy long‐term cigarette smoking is associated with increased risk of colorectal cancer. Further elucidation of this association would be valuable from both etiologic and public health perspectives.