Inger Camilla Solberg

Background. Identifying patients with Crohn's disease with increased risk of subsequent complications is essential for appropriate treatment. Based on explorato

Background. Perinuclear antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (pANCA) and anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies (ASCA) are proposed to be specific markers f

Objective. Cohort studies of unselected and newly diagnosed patients are essential for a better understanding of the prognosis in ulcerative colitis (UC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the course of UC in a population-based inception cohort during the first 10 years, and to identify prognostic risk factors based on information gathered at diagnosis. Material and methods. From 1990 to 1994, a population-based cohort of 843 patients with inflammatory bowel disease was enrolled in South-Eastern Norway. The cohort was systematically followed-up at 1, 5 and 10 years after diagnosis. Results. Of 519 patients with UC, 423 completed the 10-year follow-up, 53 died and 43 were lost to follow-up. The mortality risk was not increased compared with that in the general population. The cumulative colectomy rate after 10 years was 9.8% (95% CI: 7.4–12.4%). Initial presentation with extensive colitis and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) ≥30 mm/h was associated with an increased hazard ratio (HR) (3.57, 95% CI: 1.60–7.96) and age ≥50 years at diagnosis, with reduced HR (0.28, 95% CI: 0.12–0.65) for subsequent colectomy. Relapsing disease was noted in 83%, but half (48%) of the patients were relapse free during the last 5 years. One-fifth (69/288) of patients with proctitis or left-sided colitis had progressed to extensive colitis. Conclusions. The prognosis for UC during the first 10 years was generally good. The colectomy rate was low, and a large proportion of patients were in remission as time progressed. Patients with initially extensive colitis and elevated ESR could benefit from an early potent medical treatment strategy.