Scott D. Pletcher

Summarizing an organism's age at death in terms of the mean or maximum life-span is the most popular way to describe genetic effects on aging. In this Perspective, the author describes a new study with the fly Drosophila melanogaster , in which another type of measure is also used: the age-dependent risk of death, or age-specific mortality. Changes in age-specific mortality reflect the underlying physiological deterioration of an organism as it ages. Thus, the author argues that these changes provide a phenotype that is ideal for the genetic analysis of aging.

Summary. The genetic analysis of characters that change as a function of some independent and continuous variable has received increasing attention in the biological and statistical literature. Previous work in this area has focused on the analysis of normally distributed characters that are directly observed. We propose a framework for the development and specification of models for a quantitative genetic analysis of function-valued characters that are not directly observed, such as genetic variation in age-specific mortality rates or complex threshold characters. We employ a hybrid Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm involving a Monte Carlo EM algorithm coupled with a Markov chain approximation to the likelihood, which is quite robust and provides accurate estimates of the parameters in our models. The methods are investigated using simulated data and are applied to a large data set measuring mortality rates in the fruit fly, Drosophila melanogaster.

The genetic analysis of characters that are best considered as functions of some independent and continuous variable, such as age, can be a complicated matter, and a simple and efficient procedure is desirable. Three methods are common in the literature: random regression, orthogonal polynomial approximation, and character process models. The goals of this article are (i) to clarify the relationships between these methods; (ii) to develop a general extension of the character process model that relaxes correlation stationarity, its most stringent assumption; and (iii) to compare and contrast the techniques and evaluate their performance across a range of actual and simulated data. We find that the character process model, as described in 1999 by Pletcher and Geyer, is the most successful method of analysis for the range of data examined in this study. It provides a reasonable description of a wide range of different covariance structures, and it results in the best models for actual data. Our analysis suggests genetic variance for Drosophila mortality declines with age, while genetic variance is constant at all ages for reproductive output. For growth in beef cattle, however, genetic variance increases linearly from birth, and genetic correlations are high across all observed ages.