CLChangyou Li

Changyou Li

*This is an algorithmically generated author record based on publicly available information.

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Changyou Li has a total of 6 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:


Latest Publications

  • Open Access

    Reliability Analysis with Wiener-Transmuted Truncated Normal Degradation Model for Linear and Non-Negative Degradation Data

    by Isyaku Muhammad, Xingang Wang, Changyou Li, Mingming Yan, Mustapha Mukhtar, Mustapha Muhammad

    The degradation rates of many engineering systems are always positive in practical applications. In some cases, the degradation process is approximately linear, such as train wheel wear degradation and an increase in the operating current of laser devices. In this paper we introduce a degradation modeling and reliability estimation method based on the Wiener process with a transmuted-truncated normal distribution (TTND). The TTND is employed to characterize unit-to-unit variability due to its flexibility in capturing symmetry and the asymmetrical behavior of the drift variable of the Wiener process. A Wiener process with TTND is applied to model the degradation processes of the deteriorating systems in two cases. In the first case, we assume that the degradation process is unaffected by measurement uncertainties, whereas in the second case, the measurement uncertainties are considered. The exact and explicit expressions of PDFs and the reliability functions are derived based on the concept of first hitting time. The Gibbs sampling technique and the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm are employed to obtain the Bayesian estimates of the model’s parameters. The efficiency and the feasibility of the presented approach are demonstrated through numerical examples, with Monte Carlo simulation and a practical application with laser degradation data. Furthermore, deviance information criteria (DIC) are used to compare the proposed model and some existing models. The result indicated that the proposed approach provided better reliability estimation results.


  • Open Access

    Estimation of the Reliability of a Stress–Strength System from Poisson Half Logistic Distribution

    by Isyaku Muhammad, Xingang Wang, Changyou Li, Mingming Yan, Miaoxin Chang

    This paper discussed the estimation of stress-strength reliability parameter R=P(Y<X) based on complete samples when the stress-strength are two independent Poisson half logistic random variables (PHLD). We have addressed the estimation of R in the general case and when the scale parameter is common. The classical and Bayesian estimation (BE) techniques of R are studied. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and its asymptotic distributions are obtained; an approximate asymptotic confidence interval of R is computed using the asymptotic distribution. The non-parametric percentile bootstrap and student’s bootstrap confidence interval of R are discussed. The Bayes estimators of R are computed using a gamma prior and discussed under various loss functions such as the square error loss function (SEL), absolute error loss function (AEL), linear exponential error loss function (LINEX), generalized entropy error loss function (GEL) and maximum a posteriori (MAP). The Metropolis–Hastings algorithm is used to estimate the posterior distributions of the estimators of R. The highest posterior density (HPD) credible interval is constructed based on the SEL. Monte Carlo simulations are used to numerically analyze the performance of the MLE and Bayes estimators, the results were quite satisfactory based on their mean square error (MSE) and confidence interval. Finally, we used two real data studies to demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimation techniques in practice and to illustrate how PHLD is a good candidate in reliability studies.