Julio A. Panza
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Research Subjects
Julio A. Panza has a total of 41 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Muhammad Abdullah
Department of Public Health and Community Medicine, Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan Medical and Dental College, Shaikh Zayed Postgraduate Medical Institute, Lahore, Pakistan
2 shared publications - Rahul Vasudev
Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, St. Joseph’s University Medical Center, Paterson, NJ 07503, USA
2 shared publications - Rajkumar Doshi
Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, St. Joseph’s University Medical Center, Paterson, NJ 07503, USA
2 shared publications Robert O. Bonow
Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois, USA
2 shared publicationsSahil Khera
Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Westchester Medical Center, New York Medical College, 100 Woods Road, Valhalla, NY 10595, USA
2 shared publicationsAmanda Lloji
From the Department of Cardiology, Westchester Medical Center and New York Medical College, Valhalla, NY
1 shared publication
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 8 July 2025
- Published by MDPI AG in Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Vol. 14 (14) , 4851
Cardiac Arrest Mortality Across Time and Space: A National Analysis with Forecasts to 2035
Background: Cardiac arrest remains a significant public health challenge with variable mortality trends across different demographics and regions, affecting healthcare planning and intervention strategies. We conducted this study to analyze cardiac arrest-related mortality trends from 1999 to 2023 and predict future trends up to 2035. Methods: This study analyzed data from 1999 to 2023, focusing on cardiac arrest as the primary cause of death (ICD-10: I46). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were standardized according to the 2000 U.S. Census. Joinpoint regression was utilized to calculate annual percentage change (APC), and an ARIMA model with Python 3.10 was used for mortality predictions. Results: A total of 365,608 cardiac arrest-related deaths were recorded in the USA from 1999 to 2023. There was a sharp decline in mortality rate until 2001 (APC: −10.35, p < 0.05), followed by a slowed decline until 2013 (APC: −2.91, p < 0.05), and then a gradual uptrend. Males exhibited a higher AAMR (5.8, 95% CI: 5.8–5.9) compared to females (4.2, 95% CI: 4.1–4.2). African Americans had the highest AAMR (8.9, 95% CI: 8.9–9), followed by Caucasians (4.8, 95% CI: 4.8–4.9) and American Indians (3.5, 95% CI: 3.3–3.7). The South region of the US had the highest AAMR, followed by the Northeast, Midwest, and West. Alabama exhibited the highest AAMR, followed by Nevada and Hawaii. Predictive analysis suggests a potential stable slow downtrend in mortality rates by 2035 (AAMR: 4.28, 95% CI: −1.8–10.4). Conclusions: The observed trends and future predictions underscore the importance of targeted public health interventions and healthcare planning to address cardiac arrest mortality.
- 8 July 2025
- Published by MDPI AG in Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Vol. 14 (14) , 4851
Open AccessCardiac Arrest Mortality Across Time and Space: A National Analysis with Forecasts to 2035
Background: Cardiac arrest remains a significant public health challenge with variable mortality trends across different demographics and regions, affecting healthcare planning and intervention strategies. We conducted this study to analyze cardiac arrest-related mortality trends from 1999 to 2023 and predict future trends up to 2035. Methods: This study analyzed data from 1999 to 2023, focusing on cardiac arrest as the primary cause of death (ICD-10: I46). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were standardized according to the 2000 U.S. Census. Joinpoint regression was utilized to calculate annual percentage change (APC), and an ARIMA model with Python 3.10 was used for mortality predictions. Results: A total of 365,608 cardiac arrest-related deaths were recorded in the USA from 1999 to 2023. There was a sharp decline in mortality rate until 2001 (APC: −10.35, p < 0.05), followed by a slowed decline until 2013 (APC: −2.91, p < 0.05), and then a gradual uptrend. Males exhibited a higher AAMR (5.8, 95% CI: 5.8–5.9) compared to females (4.2, 95% CI: 4.1–4.2). African Americans had the highest AAMR (8.9, 95% CI: 8.9–9), followed by Caucasians (4.8, 95% CI: 4.8–4.9) and American Indians (3.5, 95% CI: 3.3–3.7). The South region of the US had the highest AAMR, followed by the Northeast, Midwest, and West. Alabama exhibited the highest AAMR, followed by Nevada and Hawaii. Predictive analysis suggests a potential stable slow downtrend in mortality rates by 2035 (AAMR: 4.28, 95% CI: −1.8–10.4). Conclusions: The observed trends and future predictions underscore the importance of targeted public health interventions and healthcare planning to address cardiac arrest mortality.
- Open Access
- 10 June 2025
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Annals of Medicine & Surgery
- Vol. 87 (7) , 4145-4151
Ischemic heart disease-related mortality trends in the United States (1999–2020) and prediction using machine learning
Background: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) remains the leading cause of mortality globally, contributing significantly to rising healthcare costs. This study aims to analyze trends in IHD-related mortality from 1999 to 2020 using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Methods: Mortality data from 1999 to 2020 were extracted from the CDC WONDER database, with IHD identified as the primary cause of death (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision Codes: I20–I25). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were calculated and analyzed. Trends were assessed using Joinpoint Regression Analysis to determine the annual percentage change (APC). Additionally, predictive modeling was performed using an autoregressive integrated moving average model implemented in Python and Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4. Results: The study observed a decline in AAMR over the 22-year period, totaling 9 105 056 deaths. The APC revealed a significant decline in mortality rates until 2011 [APC: −4.99, P < 0.05, 95% confidence interval (CI): −5.3 to −4.7], followed by a slower decline through 2020 (APC: −2.35, P < 0.05, 95% CI: −2.8 to −1.6). Both males (AAMR: 161.4, 95% CI: 161.3–161.6) and females (AAMR: 93.1, 95% CI: 93.0–93.2) experienced a continuous decline in APC until 2018, after which trends began to reverse. African Americans had the highest AAMR (144.1, 95% CI: 143.8–144.3), followed by Whites (125.3, 95% CI: 125.3–125.4), American Indians (106.1, 95% CI: 105.0–107.2), Hispanics (92.9, 95% CI: 92.7–93.2), and Asians (67.1, 95% CI: 66.8–67.4). Geographically, the Mid-Atlantic region exhibited the highest AAMR, followed by the East South-Central region. Among states, Oklahoma had the highest AAMR, followed by New York. Non-metropolitan areas had the highest mortality rates, whereas large-fringe metropolitan areas exhibited the lowest. Predictive analysis suggests a potential plateau or slight increase in mortality rates by 2035 (AAMR: 104.5, 95% CI: 50.05–159.64). Conclusions: The observed slowing in the decline of IHD mortality rates and the potential for future increases underscore the need for sustained public health interventions and vigilant surveillance to mitigate the burden of IHD.
- 10 June 2025
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Annals of Medicine & Surgery
- Vol. 87 (7) , 4145-4151
Open AccessIschemic heart disease-related mortality trends in the United States (1999–2020) and prediction using machine learning
Background: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) remains the leading cause of mortality globally, contributing significantly to rising healthcare costs. This study aims to analyze trends in IHD-related mortality from 1999 to 2020 using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Methods: Mortality data from 1999 to 2020 were extracted from the CDC WONDER database, with IHD identified as the primary cause of death (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision Codes: I20–I25). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were calculated and analyzed. Trends were assessed using Joinpoint Regression Analysis to determine the annual percentage change (APC). Additionally, predictive modeling was performed using an autoregressive integrated moving average model implemented in Python and Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4. Results: The study observed a decline in AAMR over the 22-year period, totaling 9 105 056 deaths. The APC revealed a significant decline in mortality rates until 2011 [APC: −4.99, P < 0.05, 95% confidence interval (CI): −5.3 to −4.7], followed by a slower decline through 2020 (APC: −2.35, P < 0.05, 95% CI: −2.8 to −1.6). Both males (AAMR: 161.4, 95% CI: 161.3–161.6) and females (AAMR: 93.1, 95% CI: 93.0–93.2) experienced a continuous decline in APC until 2018, after which trends began to reverse. African Americans had the highest AAMR (144.1, 95% CI: 143.8–144.3), followed by Whites (125.3, 95% CI: 125.3–125.4), American Indians (106.1, 95% CI: 105.0–107.2), Hispanics (92.9, 95% CI: 92.7–93.2), and Asians (67.1, 95% CI: 66.8–67.4). Geographically, the Mid-Atlantic region exhibited the highest AAMR, followed by the East South-Central region. Among states, Oklahoma had the highest AAMR, followed by New York. Non-metropolitan areas had the highest mortality rates, whereas large-fringe metropolitan areas exhibited the lowest. Predictive analysis suggests a potential plateau or slight increase in mortality rates by 2035 (AAMR: 104.5, 95% CI: 50.05–159.64). Conclusions: The observed slowing in the decline of IHD mortality rates and the potential for future increases underscore the need for sustained public health interventions and vigilant surveillance to mitigate the burden of IHD.
- 5 April 2025
- Published by Elsevier in Progress in Cardiovascular Diseases
- Vol. 92, 16-24
Contemporary management of ischemic cardiomyopathy: The synergy of medical, revascularization, and device therapies
- 5 April 2025
- Published by Elsevier in Progress in Cardiovascular Diseases
- Vol. 92, 16-24
Contemporary management of ischemic cardiomyopathy: The synergy of medical, revascularization, and device therapies
- 4 October 2024
- Published by Elsevier in Journal of Nuclear Cardiology
- Vol. 39, 101912
In search of the answers to the viability questions
- 4 October 2024
- Published by Elsevier in Journal of Nuclear Cardiology
- Vol. 39, 101912
In search of the answers to the viability questions
- 24 October 2023
- Published by Springer Nature in Current Cardiology Reports
- Vol. 25 (11) , 1513-1521
The Evolving Paradigm of Revascularization in Ischemic Cardiomyopathy: from Recovery of Systolic Function to Protection Against Future Ischemic Events
Purpose of Review We aim to reevaluate how the assessment of myocardial viability can guide optimal treatment strategies for patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) based on a more contemporary understanding of the mechanism of benefit of revascularization. Recent Findings The assessment of viability in left ventricular (LV) segments with diminished contraction has been proposed as key to predict the benefit of revascularization and, therefore, as a requisite for the selection of patients to undergo this form of treatment. However, data from prospective trials have diverged from earlier retrospective studies. Summary Traditional binary viability assessment may oversimplify ICM’s complexity and the nuances of revascularization benefits. A conceptual shift from the traditional paradigm centered on the assessment of viability as a dichotomous variable to a more comprehensive approach encompassing a thorough understanding of ICM’s complex pathophysiology and the salutary effect of revascularization in the prevention of myocardial infarction and ventricular arrhythmias is required.
- 24 October 2023
- Published by Springer Nature in Current Cardiology Reports
- Vol. 25 (11) , 1513-1521
The Evolving Paradigm of Revascularization in Ischemic Cardiomyopathy: from Recovery of Systolic Function to Protection Against Future Ischemic Events
Purpose of Review We aim to reevaluate how the assessment of myocardial viability can guide optimal treatment strategies for patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) based on a more contemporary understanding of the mechanism of benefit of revascularization. Recent Findings The assessment of viability in left ventricular (LV) segments with diminished contraction has been proposed as key to predict the benefit of revascularization and, therefore, as a requisite for the selection of patients to undergo this form of treatment. However, data from prospective trials have diverged from earlier retrospective studies. Summary Traditional binary viability assessment may oversimplify ICM’s complexity and the nuances of revascularization benefits. A conceptual shift from the traditional paradigm centered on the assessment of viability as a dichotomous variable to a more comprehensive approach encompassing a thorough understanding of ICM’s complex pathophysiology and the salutary effect of revascularization in the prevention of myocardial infarction and ventricular arrhythmias is required.
- 5 April 2021
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Cardiology in Review
- Vol. 30 (5) , 258-262
The Challenge of Pregnancy in Women With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy
Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is a genetic disease that frequently presents at a young age. Pregnancy represents a state of high physiological stress to the cardiovascular system. Thus, pregnant women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy face the potential for higher morbidity and, therefore, their management may become a significant challenge when complications develop. Physiologic changes that occur during pregnancy, that is, decreased vascular resistance, increased blood volume, and increased heart rate can lead to worsening heart failure in women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. In addition, pregnant women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy are at higher risk for arrhythmias. The hemodynamic effects of atrial fibrillation and ventricular tachycardia are significant and can be dangerous for the mother and the fetus. In addition, they can lead to heart failure exacerbation. Atrial fibrillation is of particular interest in this population subgroup. Pregnancy is a hypercoagulable state and atrial fibrillation is an arrhythmia associated with significant thromboembolic complications. Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy that develop atrial fibrillation are especially at a higher risk of thrombosis. Anticoagulation is recommended regardless of CHA2DS2-VASc score. Anticoagulation during pregnancy is challenging not only because of the teratogenic effects of some drugs and the lack of evidence for some others, but also the differences in the plasma concentration of many anticoagulants. Overall, the potential for high morbidity in pregnant women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is not negligible. Major cardiac events such as arrhythmias and heart failure are common. However, early recognition and treatment of these complications can lead to full-term pregnancy and successful delivery.
- 5 April 2021
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Cardiology in Review
- Vol. 30 (5) , 258-262
The Challenge of Pregnancy in Women With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy
Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is a genetic disease that frequently presents at a young age. Pregnancy represents a state of high physiological stress to the cardiovascular system. Thus, pregnant women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy face the potential for higher morbidity and, therefore, their management may become a significant challenge when complications develop. Physiologic changes that occur during pregnancy, that is, decreased vascular resistance, increased blood volume, and increased heart rate can lead to worsening heart failure in women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. In addition, pregnant women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy are at higher risk for arrhythmias. The hemodynamic effects of atrial fibrillation and ventricular tachycardia are significant and can be dangerous for the mother and the fetus. In addition, they can lead to heart failure exacerbation. Atrial fibrillation is of particular interest in this population subgroup. Pregnancy is a hypercoagulable state and atrial fibrillation is an arrhythmia associated with significant thromboembolic complications. Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy that develop atrial fibrillation are especially at a higher risk of thrombosis. Anticoagulation is recommended regardless of CHA2DS2-VASc score. Anticoagulation during pregnancy is challenging not only because of the teratogenic effects of some drugs and the lack of evidence for some others, but also the differences in the plasma concentration of many anticoagulants. Overall, the potential for high morbidity in pregnant women with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is not negligible. Major cardiac events such as arrhythmias and heart failure are common. However, early recognition and treatment of these complications can lead to full-term pregnancy and successful delivery.
- 1 February 2019
- Published by Elsevier in Cardiology Clinics
- Vol. 37 (1) , 1-10
Historical Perspectives in the Evolution of Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy
- 1 February 2019
- Published by Elsevier in Cardiology Clinics
- Vol. 37 (1) , 1-10
Historical Perspectives in the Evolution of Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy
- 6 May 2017
- Published by Elsevier in Heart Failure Clinics
- Vol. 13 (3) , 571-580
Surgical Revascularization in Older Adults with Ischemic Cardiomyopathy
- 6 May 2017
- Published by Elsevier in Heart Failure Clinics
- Vol. 13 (3) , 571-580
Surgical Revascularization in Older Adults with Ischemic Cardiomyopathy
- 1 March 2017
- Published by Elsevier in JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging
- Vol. 10 (3) , 365-367
Ischemia and Viability Testing in Ischemic Heart Disease
- 1 March 2017
- Published by Elsevier in JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging
- Vol. 10 (3) , 365-367
Ischemia and Viability Testing in Ischemic Heart Disease