ÇÇÇağatay Çetinkaya

Çağatay Çetinkaya

*This is an algorithmically generated author record based on publicly available information.

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Previous Organizations / Institutes

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Çağatay Çetinkaya has a total of 11 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:


Latest Publications

  • Open Access

    A Parsimonious Quadratic-Exponential Submodel of the Kummer–Beta-G Family: Properties and Regression Modeling

    by Shaykhah Aldossari, Hugo S. Salinas, Hassan S. Bakouch, Çağatay Çetinkaya

    Bounded continuous data arise in many areas of applied probability and statistics, particularly when the underlying variable is restricted to a finite interval and the density is expected to vanish at the endpoints. This paper studies a parsimonious fixed-shape submodel of the Kummer–beta-G family, referred to as the asymmetric quadratic-exponential bounded generator model, abbreviated as AQEB-G. The model is obtained by fixing the two beta shape parameters at a=b=2, which yields the unit quadratic-exponential kernel wβ(u)=u(1−u)exp(−βu), 0<u<1, where β∈R is a dimensionless tilting parameter. Composing its normalized distribution function with an absolutely continuous baseline cdf G produces the corresponding fixed-shape Kummer–beta-G specialization on the support inherited from G. The bounded AQEB distribution on (0,α) is obtained by using the uniform baseline G(x;α)=x/α and the endpoint-scale parametrization β=λα. We derive the cumulative distribution, density, survival, hazard and reversed hazard functions. We also show that, after standardization, the bounded AQEB model is exactly the natural exponential tilt of a beta(2,2) distribution, and, hence, its version on (0,α) is a scaled exponentially tilted beta(2,2) model. Several mathematical properties are obtained, including ordinary and incomplete moments, generating functions, entropy measures, Lorenz and Bonferroni curves, shape properties, stochastic representations and ordering results. Likelihood-based inference is also discussed with attention to the support-dependent endpoint parameter. The finite-sample behavior of the estimators is examined through a Monte Carlo simulation study, and two empirical applications illustrate the practical use of the AQEB model. In the examples considered, the AQEB model performs competitively relative to the evaluated alternatives according to the reported likelihood-based criteria, goodness-of-fit statistics, and residual diagnostics.

  • Open Access

    The Asymmetric Bimodal Normal Distribution: A Tractable Mixture Model for Skewed and Bimodal Data

    by Hassan S. Bakouch, Hugo S. Salinas, Çağatay Çetinkaya, Shaykhah Aldossari, Amira F. Daghestani, John L. Santibáñez

    We study a parsimonious constrained two-component Gaussian mixture with symmetric locations ±λ and unequal weights controlled by α∈[−1,1]; we refer to this family as the asymmetric bimodal normal. The constraint eliminates label switching and yields an identifiable parametrization for λ>0, while noting the boundary degeneracy at λ=0 where α is not identifiable. We derive closed-form analytical expressions for the density and distribution functions, an equivalent constructive representation (useful for simulation and interpretation), explicit moment formulas, and conditions distinguishing unimodality from bimodality. For inference, we develop maximum likelihood estimation with observed information standard errors and provide numerically stable fits via a block-coordinate quasi-Newton routine using method of moments initial values. A Monte Carlo simulation study across representative parameter settings evaluates bias and root mean squared error, and examines the behavior of Hessian-based standard error estimates, highlighting regimes where the observed information becomes ill-conditioned under weak separation. Empirical analyses, chemical calibration deviations from the National Institute of Standards and Technology and a regression example with asymmetric errors, show competitive or superior fit and interpretability relative to skewed normal alternatives, asymmetric Laplace models, and unconstrained Gaussian mixtures, with consistent advantages under model comparison using the Akaike information criterion and the Bayesian information criterion.

  • On multicomponent stress–strength reliability under competing risk

    by Çağatay Çetinkaya, İsMet Birbiçer, Farha Sultana

    An s-out-of-k type of multi-component system is handled in the case of strength components exposed to common random stress. In this reliability scheme, random stress has been considered in the competing risk setup. Each stress and strength component is assumed to follow the general scale family of distributions. Classical inferences are obtained using the maximum likelihood method with the corresponding approximate confidence intervals. Bootstrap confidence intervals are also provided using the logit transformation method as an alternative to the asymptotic confidence intervals. Further, Bayesian inferences and their corresponding highest posterior density credible intervals with the conjugate priors are obtained using Lindley's approximation method and Monte Carlo Markov chains. In Bayesian process, different loss functions are considered as symmetric and asymmetric. The theoretical outcomes' performance is evaluated with simulated data sets and real-data examples.


  • Open Access

    Optimal stress levels and inference procedures for constant stress accelerated life test under bathtub-shaped lifetime model

    by Çağatay Çetinkaya

    In the case of operating conditions in a much shorter time, the accelerated life test models are commonly used method since these models let the experimenters control the higher stress levels to be used for components or items in the life tests. Among different accelerated life test methods, constant stress accelerated life test models have a relationship between “failure time” and “stress” and these models are quite popular since they help the experimenters save time and cost. In this study, we evaluate the performances of the parameter estimations of the two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution introduced by Chen (Stat Probab Lett 49(2):155–161, 2000) under the constant stress accelerated life test model using the well-known eight different inference methods. Then, we investigate the optimal stress levels using some popular criteria. Then, the performances of the estimations are compared with simulation schemes. Simulation results showed that the maximum likelihood method provides better estimation performances than others. The estimation performances of the other methods can be changed according to the stress level of the accelerated life test model. Further, it is observed that increasing stress levels provide optimal accelerated life test schemes under fixed first stress levels. Finally, we use a real data example to illustrate the theoretical outcomes.


  • Open Access

    Inference for two Weibull populations under joint generalized progressive type-I hybrid censoring with a simulation study and applications

    by Farha Sultana, Çağatay Çetinkaya, Debasis Kundu

    The generalized progressive censoring scheme has been considered one of the most general cases of censoring schemes. In this study, we consider two Weibull populations under a jointly generalized progressive hybrid censoring scheme as a more flexible extension of the exponential distribution. The methods presented in this paper let experimenters evaluate life testing studies in the case of the most generalized censoring scheme based on a flexible istribution that has increasing, constant, and decreasing failure rates. The maximum likelihood method is used to obtain point estimates of the unknown parameters and the corresponding approximate confidence intervals by using asymptotic theory and bootstrap sampling. The Bayesian inferences are handled under informative and non-informative priors. The highest posterior density credible intervals are also obtained for the Bayesian estimations. We further obtained results with a challenging task an optimal censoring scheme using the A-optimality, D-optimality, and F-optimality criterion to let researchers determine the optimal censoring plan before conducting experiments or collecting data. Following the numerical results within this paper, A-optimality and D-optimality proposed the same scheme, while F-optimality proposed a scheme similar to them. In the last part of the study, we provide simulation studies under different censoring plans and use a numerical example to exemplify the theoretical outcomes. It is observed that the best estimation performances are obtained by informative Bayesian methods.


  • Inference ofP(X>Y) for the Burr‐XII model under generalized progressive hybrid censored data with binomial removals

    by Çağatay Çetinkaya

    Summary: In this paper, we studied the estimation of based on the Burr‐XII distribution under the generalized progressive hybrid censoring scheme. This censoring scheme has become quite popular depending progressive hybrid censoring scheme cannot be applied when few failures occur before pre‐determined time . In this progressive censoring plan, amount of units withdrawn at each failure is assumed to be random and subject to the binomial distributions. Inferences of are obtained under equal shape parameters and different shape parameters, respectively. Maximum likelihood (MLE) and the Bayesian estimation methods are used. We obtain the MLEs of the parameters using Newton‐Raphson (NR) and expectation maximization (EM) methods, respectively. In the Bayesian section, Lindley's approximation and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method with Metropolis‐Hasting algorithm are used. Simulation studies are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed estimators and two real‐data examples are provided to exemplify the theoretical outcomes.


  • Bias-reduced and heuristics parameter estimations for the inverse power Lindley distribution

    by Çağatay Çetinkaya, Y. Murat Bulut

    This paper deals with the improved point estimations of the inverse power Lindley distribution. The maximum likelihood estimation method, and a simulated annealing algorithm, a heuristic alternative method, are considered. The bias-corrected estimation methods are also used to evaluate the bias reduction of the estimates. These bias-corrected estimates are obtained with theoretical and bootstrap methods. The performances of the estimators are evaluated with simulation studies and two real-data examples.


  • Exact likelihood inference for two exponential populations under jointly generalized progressive hybrid censoring

    by Çagatay Çetinkaya, Farha Sultana, Debasis Kundu

    The generalized progressive hybrid censoring schemes (GPHCS) have become quite popular in the case when there are very few failures before pre-determined time T in progressive hybrid censoring schemes. Whereas the GPHCS always ensures a fixed number of failures, which makes this scheme very popular. In this paper, we introduce a new joint generalized progressive hybrid censoring scheme (J-GPHCS) for two independent samples from different populations. We place both the samples simultaneously on the life testing experiment. Further, we assume the lifetime of the experimental units, under both samples, to follow exponential distribution with mean θ1 and θ2, respectively. The maximum likelihood estimators, of the unknown parameters and their exact distributions, are derived. Asymptotic and bootstrap confidence intervals are also constructed. Further, the Bayesian inference of some unknown parametric functions is considered under a very flexible Inverse-Gamma priors. We also obtain the Bayes estimators, and associated credible intervals of the unknown parameters. Extensive simulation studies are performed to investigate the proposed estimators. Finally, the methods are illustrated with the analysis of a real data set.