Mendel E. Singer
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Mendel E. Singer has a total of 251 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
Kathleen A. Smyth
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio
4 shared publicationsRandall D. Cebul
4 shared publicationsJerome J. Schentag
3 shared publications- Johnie Rose
Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH
3 shared publications Kenneth M. Shermock
Center for Pharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, The Johns Hopkins Hospital, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
3 shared publicationsMartin H. Adelman
CPL Associates, LLC, Amherst, NY, USA
3 shared publications
Latest Publications
- 8 January 2026
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in American Journal of Gastroenterology
- Vol. 121 (9) , 2166-2177
The Utility of Mucin 2 and Caudal-Type Homeobox Transcription Factor 2 Expression in the Diagnosis of Barrett's Esophagus: A Community-Based Study of Wide-Area Transepithelial Sampling and Forceps Biopsies
INTRODUCTION: The diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus (BE) requires identification of goblet cells in esophageal columnar-lined epithelium. Forceps biopsies (FB) may miss goblet cells because of sampling error. In addition, pathologists may misidentify distended pseudogoblet cells as true goblet cells. Caudal-type homeobox transcription factor 2 (CDX2) and mucin 2 (MUC2) are molecules involved in BE pathogenesis. The utility of CDX2 and MUC2 immunohistochemistry is assessed in the diagnosis of BE. METHODS: We performed a prospective, community-based registry study of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease undergoing endoscopy for BE screening. All patients underwent both FB and Wide Area Transepithelial Sampling with 3-Dimensional Computer Analysis (WATS3D). CDX2 and MUC2 immunohistochemistry was performed on WATS3D samples. We assessed concordance between CDX2 and MUC2 staining and goblet cells, on both WATS3D and FB. Operating characteristics of FB for diagnosing BE were calculated using MUC2 positivity and goblet cells on WATS3D as the gold standard. RESULTS: Of 35,265 patients enrolled, 11,040 (31.3%) met endoscopic criteria for BE. Of these, 8,464 (76.7%) were CDX2+ and 3,563 (32.3%) were MUC2+. Whereas there was almost perfect concordance between MUC2 positivity and goblet cells on WATS3D, only 65.4% of patients with goblet cells on FB were MUC2+ on WATS3D. When using MUC2+ and goblet cells on WATS3D as the reference standard, FB diagnosed BE with sensitivity of 46.3%, specificity 88.3%, positive predictive value 65.4%, and negative predictive value 77.5%. DISCUSSION: MUC2 immunohistochemistry may be more sensitive and specific for diagnosing BE than goblet cells by FB. FB misses approximately half of BE when using MUC2/WATS3D as an alternative gold standard. The addition of MUC2 immunohistochemistry may aid in the recognition of BE.
- 8 January 2026
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in American Journal of Gastroenterology
- Vol. 121 (9) , 2166-2177
The Utility of Mucin 2 and Caudal-Type Homeobox Transcription Factor 2 Expression in the Diagnosis of Barrett's Esophagus: A Community-Based Study of Wide-Area Transepithelial Sampling and Forceps Biopsies
INTRODUCTION: The diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus (BE) requires identification of goblet cells in esophageal columnar-lined epithelium. Forceps biopsies (FB) may miss goblet cells because of sampling error. In addition, pathologists may misidentify distended pseudogoblet cells as true goblet cells. Caudal-type homeobox transcription factor 2 (CDX2) and mucin 2 (MUC2) are molecules involved in BE pathogenesis. The utility of CDX2 and MUC2 immunohistochemistry is assessed in the diagnosis of BE. METHODS: We performed a prospective, community-based registry study of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease undergoing endoscopy for BE screening. All patients underwent both FB and Wide Area Transepithelial Sampling with 3-Dimensional Computer Analysis (WATS3D). CDX2 and MUC2 immunohistochemistry was performed on WATS3D samples. We assessed concordance between CDX2 and MUC2 staining and goblet cells, on both WATS3D and FB. Operating characteristics of FB for diagnosing BE were calculated using MUC2 positivity and goblet cells on WATS3D as the gold standard. RESULTS: Of 35,265 patients enrolled, 11,040 (31.3%) met endoscopic criteria for BE. Of these, 8,464 (76.7%) were CDX2+ and 3,563 (32.3%) were MUC2+. Whereas there was almost perfect concordance between MUC2 positivity and goblet cells on WATS3D, only 65.4% of patients with goblet cells on FB were MUC2+ on WATS3D. When using MUC2+ and goblet cells on WATS3D as the reference standard, FB diagnosed BE with sensitivity of 46.3%, specificity 88.3%, positive predictive value 65.4%, and negative predictive value 77.5%. DISCUSSION: MUC2 immunohistochemistry may be more sensitive and specific for diagnosing BE than goblet cells by FB. FB misses approximately half of BE when using MUC2/WATS3D as an alternative gold standard. The addition of MUC2 immunohistochemistry may aid in the recognition of BE.
- Open Access
- 18 April 2024
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in American Journal of Gastroenterology
- Vol. 119 (10) , 1990-2001
Adjunctive Use of Wide-Area Transepithelial Sampling-3D in Patients With Symptomatic Gastroesophageal Reflux Increases Detection of Barrett's Esophagus and Dysplasia
INTRODUCTION: Patients with gastroesophageal reflux (GERD) symptoms undergoing screening upper endoscopy for Barrett's esophagus (BE) frequently demonstrate columnar-lined epithelium, with forceps biopsies (FBs) failing to yield intestinal metaplasia (IM). Repeat endoscopy is then often necessary to confirm a BE diagnosis. The aim of this study was to assess the yield of IM leading to a diagnosis of BE by the addition of wide-area transepithelial sampling (WATS-3D) to FB in the screening of patients with GERD. METHODS: We performed a prospective registry study of patients with GERD undergoing screening upper endoscopy. Patients had both WATS-3D and FB. Patients were classified by their Z line appearance: regular, irregular (<1 cm columnar-lined epithelium), possible short-segment BE (1 to <3 cm), and possible long-segment BE (≥3 cm). Demographics, IM yield, and dysplasia yield were calculated. Adjunctive yield was defined as cases identified by WATS-3D not detected by FB, divided by cases detected by FB. Clinicians were asked if WATS-3D results affected patient management. RESULTS: Of 23,933 patients, 6,829 (28.5%) met endoscopic criteria for BE. Of these, 2,878 (42.1%) had IM identified by either FB or WATS-3D. Among patients fulfilling endoscopic criteria for BE, the adjunctive yield of WATS-3D was 76.5% and absolute yield was 18.1%. One thousand three hundred seventeen patients (19.3%) who fulfilled endoscopic BE criteria had IM detected solely by WATS-3D. Of 240 patients with dysplasia, 107 (44.6%) were found solely by WATS-3D. Among patients with positive WATS-3D but negative FB, the care plan changed in 90.7%. DISCUSSION: The addition of WATS-3D to FB in patients with GERD being screened for BE resulted in confirmation of BE in an additional one-fifth of patients. Furthermore, dysplasia diagnoses approximately doubled.
- 18 April 2024
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in American Journal of Gastroenterology
- Vol. 119 (10) , 1990-2001
Open AccessAdjunctive Use of Wide-Area Transepithelial Sampling-3D in Patients With Symptomatic Gastroesophageal Reflux Increases Detection of Barrett's Esophagus and Dysplasia
INTRODUCTION: Patients with gastroesophageal reflux (GERD) symptoms undergoing screening upper endoscopy for Barrett's esophagus (BE) frequently demonstrate columnar-lined epithelium, with forceps biopsies (FBs) failing to yield intestinal metaplasia (IM). Repeat endoscopy is then often necessary to confirm a BE diagnosis. The aim of this study was to assess the yield of IM leading to a diagnosis of BE by the addition of wide-area transepithelial sampling (WATS-3D) to FB in the screening of patients with GERD. METHODS: We performed a prospective registry study of patients with GERD undergoing screening upper endoscopy. Patients had both WATS-3D and FB. Patients were classified by their Z line appearance: regular, irregular (<1 cm columnar-lined epithelium), possible short-segment BE (1 to <3 cm), and possible long-segment BE (≥3 cm). Demographics, IM yield, and dysplasia yield were calculated. Adjunctive yield was defined as cases identified by WATS-3D not detected by FB, divided by cases detected by FB. Clinicians were asked if WATS-3D results affected patient management. RESULTS: Of 23,933 patients, 6,829 (28.5%) met endoscopic criteria for BE. Of these, 2,878 (42.1%) had IM identified by either FB or WATS-3D. Among patients fulfilling endoscopic criteria for BE, the adjunctive yield of WATS-3D was 76.5% and absolute yield was 18.1%. One thousand three hundred seventeen patients (19.3%) who fulfilled endoscopic BE criteria had IM detected solely by WATS-3D. Of 240 patients with dysplasia, 107 (44.6%) were found solely by WATS-3D. Among patients with positive WATS-3D but negative FB, the care plan changed in 90.7%. DISCUSSION: The addition of WATS-3D to FB in patients with GERD being screened for BE resulted in confirmation of BE in an additional one-fifth of patients. Furthermore, dysplasia diagnoses approximately doubled.
- Open Access
- 15 December 2023
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Antimicrobial Stewardship & Healthcare Epidemiology
- Vol. 3 (1) , e237
Association of COVID-19 coinfection with increased mortality among patients with Pseudomonas aeruginosa bloodstream infection in the Veterans Health Administration system
Objective:Pseudomonas aeruginosa bloodstream infection (PA-BSI) and COVID-19 are independently associated with high mortality. We sought to demonstrate the impact of COVID-19 coinfection on patients with PA-BSI.Design:Retrospective cohort study.Setting:Veterans Health Administration.Patients:Hospitalized patients with PA-BSI in pre-COVID-19 (January 2009 to December 2019) and COVID-19 (January 2020 to June 2022) periods. Patients in the COVID-19 period were further stratified by the presence or absence of concomitant COVID-19 infection.Methods:We characterized trends in resistance, treatment, and mortality over the study period. Multivariable logistic regression and modified Poisson analyses were used to determine the association between COVID-19 and mortality among patients with PA-BSI. Additional predictors included demographics, comorbidities, disease severity, antimicrobial susceptibility, and treatment.Results:A total of 6,714 patients with PA-BSI were identified. Throughout the study period, PA resistance rates decreased. Mortality decreased during the pre-COVID-19 period and increased during the COVID-19 period. Mortality was not significantly different between pre-COVID-19 (24.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 23.3–28.6) and COVID-19 period/COVID-negative (26.0%, 95% CI 23.5–28.6) patients, but it was significantly higher in COVID-19 period/COVID-positive patients (47.2%, 35.3–59.3). In the modified Poisson analysis, COVID-19 coinfection was associated with higher mortality (relative risk 1.44, 95% CI 1.01–2.06). Higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, higher modified Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation score, and no targeted PA-BSI treatment within 48 h were also predictors of higher mortality.Conclusions:Higher mortality was observed in patients with COVID-19 coinfection among patients with PA-BSI. Future studies should explore this relationship in other settings and investigate potential SARS-CoV-2 and PA synergy.
- 15 December 2023
- Published by Cambridge University Press (CUP) in Antimicrobial Stewardship & Healthcare Epidemiology
- Vol. 3 (1) , e237
Open AccessAssociation of COVID-19 coinfection with increased mortality among patients with Pseudomonas aeruginosa bloodstream infection in the Veterans Health Administration system
Objective:Pseudomonas aeruginosa bloodstream infection (PA-BSI) and COVID-19 are independently associated with high mortality. We sought to demonstrate the impact of COVID-19 coinfection on patients with PA-BSI.Design:Retrospective cohort study.Setting:Veterans Health Administration.Patients:Hospitalized patients with PA-BSI in pre-COVID-19 (January 2009 to December 2019) and COVID-19 (January 2020 to June 2022) periods. Patients in the COVID-19 period were further stratified by the presence or absence of concomitant COVID-19 infection.Methods:We characterized trends in resistance, treatment, and mortality over the study period. Multivariable logistic regression and modified Poisson analyses were used to determine the association between COVID-19 and mortality among patients with PA-BSI. Additional predictors included demographics, comorbidities, disease severity, antimicrobial susceptibility, and treatment.Results:A total of 6,714 patients with PA-BSI were identified. Throughout the study period, PA resistance rates decreased. Mortality decreased during the pre-COVID-19 period and increased during the COVID-19 period. Mortality was not significantly different between pre-COVID-19 (24.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 23.3–28.6) and COVID-19 period/COVID-negative (26.0%, 95% CI 23.5–28.6) patients, but it was significantly higher in COVID-19 period/COVID-positive patients (47.2%, 35.3–59.3). In the modified Poisson analysis, COVID-19 coinfection was associated with higher mortality (relative risk 1.44, 95% CI 1.01–2.06). Higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, higher modified Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation score, and no targeted PA-BSI treatment within 48 h were also predictors of higher mortality.Conclusions:Higher mortality was observed in patients with COVID-19 coinfection among patients with PA-BSI. Future studies should explore this relationship in other settings and investigate potential SARS-CoV-2 and PA synergy.
- Open Access
- 13 December 2023
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology
- Vol. 15 (2) , e00661
WATS3D: An Interobserver Study of Barrett's Esophagus–Associated Dysplasia Among Gastrointestinal Pathologists
INTRODUCTION: Wide-area transepithelial sampling with 3-dimensional computer-assisted analysis (WATS 3D ) has been shown to increase the detection rate of dysplasia (and intestinal metaplasia) in patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the interobserver variability and accuracy of diagnosing BE-associated dysplasia in WATS 3D specimens among gastrointestinal (GI) pathologists without prior experience with this technology. METHODS: Five GI pathologists underwent a 4-hour in-person (at microscope) and virtual training session and then evaluated digital images of discrete cellular foci from 60 WATS 3D cases with BE (20 nondysplastic BE [NDBE], 20 low-grade dysplasia [LGD], and 20 high-grade dysplasia/esophageal adenocarcinoma [HGD/EAC]). Each case consisted of 1 hematoxylin and eosin–stained image (cell block), and 1 liquid cytology or papanicolaou-stained smear image (120 images in total). RESULTS: The overall kappa value among the 5 study pathologists was excellent (overall kappa = 0.93; kappa = 0.93 and 0.97 for cell block and smear specimens, respectively). There were no significant differences noted in kappa values in interpretation of the cell block vs smear specimens or in any of the individual diagnostic categories when the latter were evaluated separately. Furthermore, agreement was perfect (100%) regarding detection of neoplasia (either LGD, HGD, or EAC). Diagnoses were made with complete confidence in 91% of instances. DISCUSSION: We conclude that GI pathologists, without any prior experience in interpretation of WATS 3D specimens, can undergo a short training session and then diagnose these specimens with a very high level of accuracy and reproducibility.
- 13 December 2023
- Published by Wolters Kluwer Health in Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology
- Vol. 15 (2) , e00661
Open AccessWATS3D: An Interobserver Study of Barrett's Esophagus–Associated Dysplasia Among Gastrointestinal Pathologists
INTRODUCTION: Wide-area transepithelial sampling with 3-dimensional computer-assisted analysis (WATS 3D ) has been shown to increase the detection rate of dysplasia (and intestinal metaplasia) in patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the interobserver variability and accuracy of diagnosing BE-associated dysplasia in WATS 3D specimens among gastrointestinal (GI) pathologists without prior experience with this technology. METHODS: Five GI pathologists underwent a 4-hour in-person (at microscope) and virtual training session and then evaluated digital images of discrete cellular foci from 60 WATS 3D cases with BE (20 nondysplastic BE [NDBE], 20 low-grade dysplasia [LGD], and 20 high-grade dysplasia/esophageal adenocarcinoma [HGD/EAC]). Each case consisted of 1 hematoxylin and eosin–stained image (cell block), and 1 liquid cytology or papanicolaou-stained smear image (120 images in total). RESULTS: The overall kappa value among the 5 study pathologists was excellent (overall kappa = 0.93; kappa = 0.93 and 0.97 for cell block and smear specimens, respectively). There were no significant differences noted in kappa values in interpretation of the cell block vs smear specimens or in any of the individual diagnostic categories when the latter were evaluated separately. Furthermore, agreement was perfect (100%) regarding detection of neoplasia (either LGD, HGD, or EAC). Diagnoses were made with complete confidence in 91% of instances. DISCUSSION: We conclude that GI pathologists, without any prior experience in interpretation of WATS 3D specimens, can undergo a short training session and then diagnose these specimens with a very high level of accuracy and reproducibility.
- Open Access
- 5 May 2023
- Published by Elsevier in Preventive Medicine Reports
- Vol. 33, 102227
Intentional use of both opioids and cocaine in the United States
- 5 May 2023
- Published by Elsevier in Preventive Medicine Reports
- Vol. 33, 102227
Open AccessIntentional use of both opioids and cocaine in the United States
- Open Access
- 1 September 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases
- Vol. 81 (9) , e161
Hydroxychloroquine ineffective for COVID-19 prophylaxis in lupus and rheumatoid arthritis
- 1 September 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases
- Vol. 81 (9) , e161
Open AccessHydroxychloroquine ineffective for COVID-19 prophylaxis in lupus and rheumatoid arthritis
- Open Access
- 22 July 2022
- Published by Springer Nature in Esophagus
- Vol. 20 (1) , 143-149
High rate of missed Barrett’s esophagus when screening with forceps biopsies
Background: Screening for Barrett’s esophagus (BE) with endoscopy plus forceps biopsy (FB) has poor compliance with the recommended Seattle protocol and fails to sample large areas of mucosa. This statistical modeling study estimates, for the first time, the actual frequency of missed BE cases by FB. Methods: Published, calibrated models in the literature were combined to calculate the age-specific prevalence of BE in white males with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). We started with estimates of the prevalence of BE and GERD, and applied the relative risk for BE in patients with GERD based on the literature. This created estimates of the true prevalence of BE in white males with GERD by decade of life. The proportion of BE missed was calculated as the difference between the prevalence and the proportion with a positive screen. Results: The prevalence of BE in white males with GERD was 8.9%, 12.1%, 15.3%, 18.7% and 22.0% for the third through eighth decades of life. Even after assuming no false positives, missed cases of BE were about 50% when estimated for patients of ages 50 or 60 years, and over 60% for ages of 30, 40 or 70 years. Sensitivity analysis was done for all variables in the model calculations. For ages 50 and 60 years, this resulted in values from 30.3 to 57.3% and 36.4 to 60.9%. Conclusion: Screening for BE with endoscopy and FB misses approximately 50% of BE cases. More sensitive methods of BE detection or better adherence to the Seattle protocol are needed.
- 22 July 2022
- Published by Springer Nature in Esophagus
- Vol. 20 (1) , 143-149
Open AccessHigh rate of missed Barrett’s esophagus when screening with forceps biopsies
Background: Screening for Barrett’s esophagus (BE) with endoscopy plus forceps biopsy (FB) has poor compliance with the recommended Seattle protocol and fails to sample large areas of mucosa. This statistical modeling study estimates, for the first time, the actual frequency of missed BE cases by FB. Methods: Published, calibrated models in the literature were combined to calculate the age-specific prevalence of BE in white males with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). We started with estimates of the prevalence of BE and GERD, and applied the relative risk for BE in patients with GERD based on the literature. This created estimates of the true prevalence of BE in white males with GERD by decade of life. The proportion of BE missed was calculated as the difference between the prevalence and the proportion with a positive screen. Results: The prevalence of BE in white males with GERD was 8.9%, 12.1%, 15.3%, 18.7% and 22.0% for the third through eighth decades of life. Even after assuming no false positives, missed cases of BE were about 50% when estimated for patients of ages 50 or 60 years, and over 60% for ages of 30, 40 or 70 years. Sensitivity analysis was done for all variables in the model calculations. For ages 50 and 60 years, this resulted in values from 30.3 to 57.3% and 36.4 to 60.9%. Conclusion: Screening for BE with endoscopy and FB misses approximately 50% of BE cases. More sensitive methods of BE detection or better adherence to the Seattle protocol are needed.
- Open Access
- 15 June 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Drug and Alcohol Dependence Reports
- Vol. 4, 100069
Trends in opioid overdose fatalities in Cuyahoga County, Ohio: Multi-drug mixtures, the African-American community and carfentanil
- 15 June 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Drug and Alcohol Dependence Reports
- Vol. 4, 100069
Open AccessTrends in opioid overdose fatalities in Cuyahoga County, Ohio: Multi-drug mixtures, the African-American community and carfentanil
- Open Access
Risk of Myocarditis from COVID-19 Infection in People Under Age 20: A Population-Based Analysis
Background There have been recent reports of myocarditis (including myocarditis, pericarditis or myopericarditis) as a side-effect of mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccines, particularly in young males. Less information is available regarding the risk of myocarditis from COVID-19 infection itself. Such data would be helpful in developing a complete risk-benefit analysis for this population. Methods A de-identified, limited data set was created from the TriNetX Research Network, aggregating electronic health records from 48 mostly large U.S. Healthcare Organizations (HCOs). Inclusion criteria were a first COVID-19 diagnosis during the April 1, 2020 - March 31, 2021 time period, with an outpatient visit 1 month to 2 years before, and another 6 months to 2 years before that. Analysis was stratified by sex and age (12-17, 12-15, 16-19). Patients were excluded for any prior cardiovascular condition. Primary outcome was an encounter diagnosis of myocarditis within 90 days following the index date. Rates of COVID-19 cases and myocarditis not identified in the system were estimated and the results adjusted accordingly. Wilson score intervals were used for 95% confidence intervals due to the very low probability outcome. Results For the 12-17-year-old male cohort, 6/6,846 (0.09%) patients developed myocarditis overall, with an adjusted rate per million of 876 cases (Wilson score interval 402 - 1,911). For the 12-15 and 16-19 male age groups, the adjusted rates per million were 601 (257 - 1,406) and 561 (240 - 1,313). For 12-17-year-old females, there were 3 (0.04%) cases of myocarditis of 7,361 patients. The adjusted rate was 213 (73 - 627) per million cases. For the 12-15- and 16-19-year-old female cohorts the adjusted rates per million cases were 235 (64 - 857) and 708 (359 - 1,397). The outcomes occurred either within 5 days (40.0%) or from 19-82 days (60.0%). Conclusions Myocarditis (or pericarditis or myopericarditis) from primary COVID19 infection occurred at a rate as high as 450 per million in young males. Young males infected with the virus are up 6 times more likely to develop myocarditis as those who have received the vaccine.
Open AccessRisk of Myocarditis from COVID-19 Infection in People Under Age 20: A Population-Based Analysis
Background There have been recent reports of myocarditis (including myocarditis, pericarditis or myopericarditis) as a side-effect of mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccines, particularly in young males. Less information is available regarding the risk of myocarditis from COVID-19 infection itself. Such data would be helpful in developing a complete risk-benefit analysis for this population. Methods A de-identified, limited data set was created from the TriNetX Research Network, aggregating electronic health records from 48 mostly large U.S. Healthcare Organizations (HCOs). Inclusion criteria were a first COVID-19 diagnosis during the April 1, 2020 - March 31, 2021 time period, with an outpatient visit 1 month to 2 years before, and another 6 months to 2 years before that. Analysis was stratified by sex and age (12-17, 12-15, 16-19). Patients were excluded for any prior cardiovascular condition. Primary outcome was an encounter diagnosis of myocarditis within 90 days following the index date. Rates of COVID-19 cases and myocarditis not identified in the system were estimated and the results adjusted accordingly. Wilson score intervals were used for 95% confidence intervals due to the very low probability outcome. Results For the 12-17-year-old male cohort, 6/6,846 (0.09%) patients developed myocarditis overall, with an adjusted rate per million of 876 cases (Wilson score interval 402 - 1,911). For the 12-15 and 16-19 male age groups, the adjusted rates per million were 601 (257 - 1,406) and 561 (240 - 1,313). For 12-17-year-old females, there were 3 (0.04%) cases of myocarditis of 7,361 patients. The adjusted rate was 213 (73 - 627) per million cases. For the 12-15- and 16-19-year-old female cohorts the adjusted rates per million cases were 235 (64 - 857) and 708 (359 - 1,397). The outcomes occurred either within 5 days (40.0%) or from 19-82 days (60.0%). Conclusions Myocarditis (or pericarditis or myopericarditis) from primary COVID19 infection occurred at a rate as high as 450 per million in young males. Young males infected with the virus are up 6 times more likely to develop myocarditis as those who have received the vaccine.
- Open Access
- 23 June 2020
- Published by Springer Nature in Digestive Diseases and Sciences
- Vol. 66 (5) , 1572-1579
Wide Area Transepithelial Sampling with Computer-Assisted Analysis (WATS3D) Is Cost-Effective in Barrett’s Esophagus Screening
Background Wide area transepithelial sampling with three-dimensional computer-assisted analysis (WATS3D) is an adjunct to the standard random 4-quadrant forceps biopsies (FB, “Seattle protocol”) that significantly increases the detection of Barrett’s esophagus (BE) and associated neoplasia in patients undergoing screening or surveillance. Aims To examine the cost-effectiveness of adding WATS3D to the Seattle protocol in screening patients for BE. Methods A decision analytic model was used to compare the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of two alternative BE screening strategies in chronic gastroesophageal reflux disease patients: FB with and without WATS3D. The reference case was a 60-year-old white male with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Effectiveness was measured by the number needed to screen to avert one cancer and one cancer-related death, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost was measured in 2019 US$, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was measured in $/QALY using thresholds for cost-effectiveness of $100,000/QALY and $150,000/QALY. Cost was measured in 2019 US$. Cost and QALYs were discounted at 3% per year. Results Between 320 and 337 people would need to be screened with WATS3D in addition to FB to avert one additional cancer, and 328–367 people to avert one cancer-related death. Screening with WATS3D costs an additional $1219 and produced an additional 0.017 QALYs, for an ICER of $71,395/QALY. All one-way sensitivity analyses resulted in ICERs under $84,000/QALY. Conclusions Screening for BE in 60-year-old white male GERD patients is more cost-effective when WATS3D is used adjunctively to the Seattle protocol than with the Seattle protocol alone.- 23 June 2020
- Published by Springer Nature in Digestive Diseases and Sciences
- Vol. 66 (5) , 1572-1579
Open AccessWide Area Transepithelial Sampling with Computer-Assisted Analysis (WATS3D) Is Cost-Effective in Barrett’s Esophagus Screening
Background Wide area transepithelial sampling with three-dimensional computer-assisted analysis (WATS3D) is an adjunct to the standard random 4-quadrant forceps biopsies (FB, “Seattle protocol”) that significantly increases the detection of Barrett’s esophagus (BE) and associated neoplasia in patients undergoing screening or surveillance. Aims To examine the cost-effectiveness of adding WATS3D to the Seattle protocol in screening patients for BE. Methods A decision analytic model was used to compare the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of two alternative BE screening strategies in chronic gastroesophageal reflux disease patients: FB with and without WATS3D. The reference case was a 60-year-old white male with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Effectiveness was measured by the number needed to screen to avert one cancer and one cancer-related death, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost was measured in 2019 US$, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was measured in $/QALY using thresholds for cost-effectiveness of $100,000/QALY and $150,000/QALY. Cost was measured in 2019 US$. Cost and QALYs were discounted at 3% per year. Results Between 320 and 337 people would need to be screened with WATS3D in addition to FB to avert one additional cancer, and 328–367 people to avert one cancer-related death. Screening with WATS3D costs an additional $1219 and produced an additional 0.017 QALYs, for an ICER of $71,395/QALY. All one-way sensitivity analyses resulted in ICERs under $84,000/QALY. Conclusions Screening for BE in 60-year-old white male GERD patients is more cost-effective when WATS3D is used adjunctively to the Seattle protocol than with the Seattle protocol alone.