Howard Chen
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Previous Organizations / Institutes
The organizations / institutes from the scholar's other articles in the past ten years
Research Subjects
Howard Chen has a total of 115 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Eric T. Wolf
Blue Marble Space
7 shared publications - Ravi Kumar Kopparapu
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
4 shared publications Daniel E. Horton
3 shared publications- Daniel E. Horton
Northwestern University
3 shared publications - Shawn D. Domagal Goldman
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
3 shared publications - Zhuchang Zhan
MIT, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
3 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 3 April 2026
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astrophysical Journal
- Vol. 1001 (1) , 50
Topography-induced Stationary Waves and the Onset of Nightside Warming on Rocky Planets around M Dwarf Stars
Among potentially habitable worlds, rocky planets orbiting M dwarfs offer the most favorable prospects for atmospheric characterization, yet their climates may differ substantially from those of Earth analogs. In the tidally locked limit, the nightside’s tendency to radiatively cool and potentially trap volatiles as permanent ice introduces a strong dependence of habitability on the planet’s surface and atmospheric boundary conditions. We perform a suite of synchronously rotating exoplanet climate experiments spanning a series of topographic and orographic realizations with different mean elevation and landmass distributions. Across a grid of p N2 = 0.5–8 bar and F ⋆ = 1000–1700 W m −2 , we find that surface relief breaks the flow symmetry, replacing circumpolar vortices with mechanically forced stationary waves. For example, Steep orography produces coherent standing Rossby gyres that strengthen the cross-terminator jet and align vertical uplift with the day/night boundary. These new circulation regimes enhance moisture transport, increasing the infrared optical depth and promoting additional nightside cloud formation, which produces stronger cloud–greenhouse feedback, and ultimately lower the critical stellar flux required for global planetary deglaciation. Broad elevated plateaus drive a similarly fragmented but slightly weaker circulation, yielding less effective moisture transport. These results show that the relief and spatial distribution of landmasses, parameters that are unconstrained for most exoplanets, can exert strong controls on the climatic bifurcations of tidally locked M dwarf exoplanets.
- 3 April 2026
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astrophysical Journal
- Vol. 1001 (1) , 50
Open AccessTopography-induced Stationary Waves and the Onset of Nightside Warming on Rocky Planets around M Dwarf Stars
Among potentially habitable worlds, rocky planets orbiting M dwarfs offer the most favorable prospects for atmospheric characterization, yet their climates may differ substantially from those of Earth analogs. In the tidally locked limit, the nightside’s tendency to radiatively cool and potentially trap volatiles as permanent ice introduces a strong dependence of habitability on the planet’s surface and atmospheric boundary conditions. We perform a suite of synchronously rotating exoplanet climate experiments spanning a series of topographic and orographic realizations with different mean elevation and landmass distributions. Across a grid of p N2 = 0.5–8 bar and F ⋆ = 1000–1700 W m −2 , we find that surface relief breaks the flow symmetry, replacing circumpolar vortices with mechanically forced stationary waves. For example, Steep orography produces coherent standing Rossby gyres that strengthen the cross-terminator jet and align vertical uplift with the day/night boundary. These new circulation regimes enhance moisture transport, increasing the infrared optical depth and promoting additional nightside cloud formation, which produces stronger cloud–greenhouse feedback, and ultimately lower the critical stellar flux required for global planetary deglaciation. Broad elevated plateaus drive a similarly fragmented but slightly weaker circulation, yielding less effective moisture transport. These results show that the relief and spatial distribution of landmasses, parameters that are unconstrained for most exoplanets, can exert strong controls on the climatic bifurcations of tidally locked M dwarf exoplanets.
- Open Access
- 6 March 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Research Square
Large-scale atmosphere dissolution in magma oceans in exoplanets
Exoplanet sub-Neptunes are nearly as common as stars, but their nature remains uncertain. Sub-Neptunes orbit close to their host stars, and many are apparently shrouded in large and hot hydrogen-dominated atmospheres. Harsh irradiation conditions and the presence of greenhouse gases enhance the melting of the underlying silicate surface and promote the exchange of volatiles between the atmosphere and a magma ocean. Here we show that magma oceans can dissolve ≥2 wt% hydrogen at typical conditions relevant to the interface between the atmosphere and the condensed surface in such planets. The influx of hydrogen into the molten silicate lowers magma density, which alters the sub-Neptune radius-mass relationship (equation of state). Moreover, the hydrogen influx changes the redox state of the magma ocean (which becomes reduced), and generates a massive outflux of oxygen, which reacts with atmospheric hydrogen to form large amounts of water vapor. Thus, the release of oxygen will profoundly change the atmospheric chemistry and bear spectral signatures observable from space telescopes. These atmospheric-composition changes are a testable signature of hidden magma oceans in exoplanets. The uptake of volatiles by the magma implies that the interiors of sub-Neptunes are more volatile-rich than once thought. Moreover, our atomistic simulations suggest that the dissolution and evaporation process is chemically complex, forming hundreds of molecular species in the atmosphere. These magma-buffered atmospheric recipes will need to be accounted for in future studies addressing models of exoplanet atmosphere origins.
- 6 March 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Research Square
Open AccessLarge-scale atmosphere dissolution in magma oceans in exoplanets
Exoplanet sub-Neptunes are nearly as common as stars, but their nature remains uncertain. Sub-Neptunes orbit close to their host stars, and many are apparently shrouded in large and hot hydrogen-dominated atmospheres. Harsh irradiation conditions and the presence of greenhouse gases enhance the melting of the underlying silicate surface and promote the exchange of volatiles between the atmosphere and a magma ocean. Here we show that magma oceans can dissolve ≥2 wt% hydrogen at typical conditions relevant to the interface between the atmosphere and the condensed surface in such planets. The influx of hydrogen into the molten silicate lowers magma density, which alters the sub-Neptune radius-mass relationship (equation of state). Moreover, the hydrogen influx changes the redox state of the magma ocean (which becomes reduced), and generates a massive outflux of oxygen, which reacts with atmospheric hydrogen to form large amounts of water vapor. Thus, the release of oxygen will profoundly change the atmospheric chemistry and bear spectral signatures observable from space telescopes. These atmospheric-composition changes are a testable signature of hidden magma oceans in exoplanets. The uptake of volatiles by the magma implies that the interiors of sub-Neptunes are more volatile-rich than once thought. Moreover, our atomistic simulations suggest that the dissolution and evaporation process is chemically complex, forming hundreds of molecular species in the atmosphere. These magma-buffered atmospheric recipes will need to be accounted for in future studies addressing models of exoplanet atmosphere origins.
- 27 February 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Nature Astronomy
- Vol. 10 (6) , 818-829
An adolescent and near-resonant planetary system near the end of photoevaporation
- 27 February 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Nature Astronomy
- Vol. 10 (6) , 818-829
An adolescent and near-resonant planetary system near the end of photoevaporation
- Open Access
Born Dry or Born Wet? A Palette of Water Growth Histories in TRAPPIST-1 Analogs and Compact Planetary Systems
It is still unclear whether exoplanets in compact multiplanet systems such as TRAPPIST-1 are able to accrete large quantities of volatiles, grow to sufficient mass, and maintain robust atmospheres and hydrospheres. Previous estimates of water content in M-dwarf systems have largely relied on population synthesis or atmosphere-interior evolution models, often treating impacts and atmospheric loss in isolation. In this work, we couple impact delivery, impact erosion, and mantle-atmosphere exchange within a model that tracks volatile evolution through stochastic collision histories. By explicitly including both planetesimal accretion and the prolonged luminous pre-main-sequence phase of M dwarfs, we find lower water inventories for the inner TRAPPIST-1 analogs (b-e), spanning only $10^{-4}$-$10^{-2} M_{\oplus,\rm ocn}$ across a wide range of disk structures and impact scenarios. By contrast, the outer planets (f-h analogs) frequently retain water inventories exceeding an Earth ocean mass. This systematic volatile gradient provides a physically motivated explanation for JWST's nondetections of atmospheres on TRAPPIST-1 b and c, implying an origin rooted in formation conditions rather than in post-formation escape. Our results suggest that many rocky planets in compact M-dwarf systems may form already depleted in volatile compounds, fundamentally limiting their capacity to sustain atmospheres or surface oceans. More broadly, our multistage framework for volatile tracking can help interpret future observations of compact systems and set more realistic initial conditions for exoplanet interior compositions and atmospheric models.Open AccessBorn Dry or Born Wet? A Palette of Water Growth Histories in TRAPPIST-1 Analogs and Compact Planetary Systems
It is still unclear whether exoplanets in compact multiplanet systems such as TRAPPIST-1 are able to accrete large quantities of volatiles, grow to sufficient mass, and maintain robust atmospheres and hydrospheres. Previous estimates of water content in M-dwarf systems have largely relied on population synthesis or atmosphere-interior evolution models, often treating impacts and atmospheric loss in isolation. In this work, we couple impact delivery, impact erosion, and mantle-atmosphere exchange within a model that tracks volatile evolution through stochastic collision histories. By explicitly including both planetesimal accretion and the prolonged luminous pre-main-sequence phase of M dwarfs, we find lower water inventories for the inner TRAPPIST-1 analogs (b-e), spanning only $10^{-4}$-$10^{-2} M_{\oplus,\rm ocn}$ across a wide range of disk structures and impact scenarios. By contrast, the outer planets (f-h analogs) frequently retain water inventories exceeding an Earth ocean mass. This systematic volatile gradient provides a physically motivated explanation for JWST's nondetections of atmospheres on TRAPPIST-1 b and c, implying an origin rooted in formation conditions rather than in post-formation escape. Our results suggest that many rocky planets in compact M-dwarf systems may form already depleted in volatile compounds, fundamentally limiting their capacity to sustain atmospheres or surface oceans. More broadly, our multistage framework for volatile tracking can help interpret future observations of compact systems and set more realistic initial conditions for exoplanet interior compositions and atmospheric models. - Open Access
- 17 September 2025
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astrophysical Journal Letters
- Vol. 991 (1) , L11
Born Dry or Born Wet? A Palette of Water Growth Histories in TRAPPIST-1 Analogs and Compact Planetary Systems
It is still unclear whether exoplanets in compact multiplanet systems such as TRAPPIST-1 are able to accrete large quantities of volatiles, grow to sufficient mass, and maintain robust atmospheres and hydrospheres. Previous estimates of water content in M-dwarf systems have largely relied on population synthesis or atmosphere–interior evolution models, often treating impacts and atmospheric loss in isolation. In this work, we combined impact delivery, impact erosion, and mantle-atmosphere exchange within a unified framework that tracks volatile evolution through stochastic collision histories. By explicitly including both planetesimal accretion and the prolonged luminous pre-main-sequence phase of M dwarfs, we find systematically lower water inventories for the inner TRAPPIST-1 analogs (b–e), spanning only 10−4 and 1% of Earth’s ocean mass across a wide range of disk structures and impact scenarios. By contrast, the outer planets (f–h analogs) frequently retain water inventories exceeding an Earth ocean mass. This volatile gradient provides a physically motivated explanation for JWST’s nondetections of atmospheres on TRAPPIST-1 b and c, suggesting an origin rooted in rocky planet formation. Our results suggest that many rocky planets in compact M-dwarf systems may form already depleted in volatile compounds, fundamentally limiting their capacity to sustain atmospheres or surface oceans. More broadly, our multistage framework for volatile tracking can help interpret future observations of compact system and set more realistic initial conditions for exoplanet interior compositions and atmospheric models.
- 17 September 2025
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astrophysical Journal Letters
- Vol. 991 (1) , L11
Open AccessBorn Dry or Born Wet? A Palette of Water Growth Histories in TRAPPIST-1 Analogs and Compact Planetary Systems
It is still unclear whether exoplanets in compact multiplanet systems such as TRAPPIST-1 are able to accrete large quantities of volatiles, grow to sufficient mass, and maintain robust atmospheres and hydrospheres. Previous estimates of water content in M-dwarf systems have largely relied on population synthesis or atmosphere–interior evolution models, often treating impacts and atmospheric loss in isolation. In this work, we combined impact delivery, impact erosion, and mantle-atmosphere exchange within a unified framework that tracks volatile evolution through stochastic collision histories. By explicitly including both planetesimal accretion and the prolonged luminous pre-main-sequence phase of M dwarfs, we find systematically lower water inventories for the inner TRAPPIST-1 analogs (b–e), spanning only 10−4 and 1% of Earth’s ocean mass across a wide range of disk structures and impact scenarios. By contrast, the outer planets (f–h analogs) frequently retain water inventories exceeding an Earth ocean mass. This volatile gradient provides a physically motivated explanation for JWST’s nondetections of atmospheres on TRAPPIST-1 b and c, suggesting an origin rooted in rocky planet formation. Our results suggest that many rocky planets in compact M-dwarf systems may form already depleted in volatile compounds, fundamentally limiting their capacity to sustain atmospheres or surface oceans. More broadly, our multistage framework for volatile tracking can help interpret future observations of compact system and set more realistic initial conditions for exoplanet interior compositions and atmospheric models.
- Open Access
- 9 July 2025
- Published by Copernicus GmbH
Large-scale hydrogen reactions with magma oceans change the atmosphere of exoplanets
Exoplanet super-Earths and sub-Neptunes are likely more prevalent than stars, yet their nature remains uncertain. Notably, sub-Neptunes orbit in close proximity to their host stars, often enveloped in substantial and hot hydrogen-rich atmospheres. These conditions, characterized by intense irradiation and the presence of greenhouse gases, accelerate the melting of the underlying silicate surface and facilitate the exchange of volatiles with the atmosphere. In this study, we conduct extensive large-scale ab initio simulations to investigate the reaction between hydrogen gas and molten multi-component silicates. Our findings reveal that magma oceans possess the capability to dissolve up to 2 wt% hydrogen at typical conditions pertinent to the interface between the atmosphere and the condensed surface of such planets. The influx of hydrogen into the molten silicate results in a reduction in magma density, leading to the formation of a substantial buffer layer between the condensed interior and the outer atmosphere. This layer effectively suppresses convection and restricts chemical exchanges within these planets.Furthermore, the incorporation of hydrogen into the molten silicate alters the redox state of the magma ocean, causing it to become reduced. Consequently, a substantial outflux of oxygen is generated, which combines with atmospheric hydrogen to produce substantial amounts of water vapor. Consequently, the release of oxygen will profoundly alter the atmospheric chemistry and manifest spectral signatures detectable from space telescopes. These atmospheric composition modifications constitute a testable signature of concealed magma oceans on exoplanets. The uptake of volatiles by the magma implies that sub-Neptunes exhibit a higher volatility compared to previously assumed. Additionally, our atomistic simulations suggest that the dissolution and evaporation process is chemically intricate, resulting in the formation of hundreds of distinct molecular species within the atmosphere. These magma-buffered atmospheric recipes will necessitate consideration in future studies focused on the origins of exoplanet atmospheres.
- 9 July 2025
- Published by Copernicus GmbH
Open AccessLarge-scale hydrogen reactions with magma oceans change the atmosphere of exoplanets
Exoplanet super-Earths and sub-Neptunes are likely more prevalent than stars, yet their nature remains uncertain. Notably, sub-Neptunes orbit in close proximity to their host stars, often enveloped in substantial and hot hydrogen-rich atmospheres. These conditions, characterized by intense irradiation and the presence of greenhouse gases, accelerate the melting of the underlying silicate surface and facilitate the exchange of volatiles with the atmosphere. In this study, we conduct extensive large-scale ab initio simulations to investigate the reaction between hydrogen gas and molten multi-component silicates. Our findings reveal that magma oceans possess the capability to dissolve up to 2 wt% hydrogen at typical conditions pertinent to the interface between the atmosphere and the condensed surface of such planets. The influx of hydrogen into the molten silicate results in a reduction in magma density, leading to the formation of a substantial buffer layer between the condensed interior and the outer atmosphere. This layer effectively suppresses convection and restricts chemical exchanges within these planets.Furthermore, the incorporation of hydrogen into the molten silicate alters the redox state of the magma ocean, causing it to become reduced. Consequently, a substantial outflux of oxygen is generated, which combines with atmospheric hydrogen to produce substantial amounts of water vapor. Consequently, the release of oxygen will profoundly alter the atmospheric chemistry and manifest spectral signatures detectable from space telescopes. These atmospheric composition modifications constitute a testable signature of concealed magma oceans on exoplanets. The uptake of volatiles by the magma implies that sub-Neptunes exhibit a higher volatility compared to previously assumed. Additionally, our atomistic simulations suggest that the dissolution and evaporation process is chemically intricate, resulting in the formation of hundreds of distinct molecular species within the atmosphere. These magma-buffered atmospheric recipes will necessitate consideration in future studies focused on the origins of exoplanet atmospheres.
- Open Access
- 19 June 2025
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astronomical Journal
- Vol. 170 (1) , 40
Effects of Transient Stellar Emissions on Planetary Climates of Tidally Locked Exo-Earths
Space weather events in exoplanetary environments sourced from transient host star emissions, including stellar flares, coronal mass ejections, and stellar proton events, can substantially influence a planet's habitability and atmospheric evolution history. These time-dependent events may also affect our ability to measure and interpret its properties by modulating reservoirs of key chemical compounds and changing the atmosphere’s brightness temperature. The majority of previous work focusing on photochemical effects, ground-level UV dosages, and consequences on observed spectra. Here, using three-dimensional general circulation models with interactive photochemistry, we simulate the climate and chemical impacts of stellar energetic particle events and periodic enhancements of UV photons. We use statistical methods to examine their effects on synchronously rotating TRAPPIST-1e-like planets on a range of spatiotemporal scales. We find that abrupt thermospheric cooling is associated with radiative cooling of NO and CO2, and middle-to-lower atmospheric warming is associated with elevated infrared absorbers such as N2O and H2O. In certain regimes, in particular for climates around moderately active stars, atmospheric temperature changes are strongly affected by O3 variability. Cumulative effects are largely determined by the flare frequency and the instantaneous effects are dependent on the flare’s spectral shape and energy. In addition to effects on planetary climate and atmospheric chemistry, we find that intense flares can energize the middle atmosphere, causing enhancements in wind velocities up to 40 m s−1 in substellar nightsides between 30 and 50 km in altitude. Our results suggest that successive, more energetic eruptive events from younger stars may be a pivotal factor in determining the atmosphere dynamics of their planets.
- 19 June 2025
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astronomical Journal
- Vol. 170 (1) , 40
Open AccessEffects of Transient Stellar Emissions on Planetary Climates of Tidally Locked Exo-Earths
Space weather events in exoplanetary environments sourced from transient host star emissions, including stellar flares, coronal mass ejections, and stellar proton events, can substantially influence a planet's habitability and atmospheric evolution history. These time-dependent events may also affect our ability to measure and interpret its properties by modulating reservoirs of key chemical compounds and changing the atmosphere’s brightness temperature. The majority of previous work focusing on photochemical effects, ground-level UV dosages, and consequences on observed spectra. Here, using three-dimensional general circulation models with interactive photochemistry, we simulate the climate and chemical impacts of stellar energetic particle events and periodic enhancements of UV photons. We use statistical methods to examine their effects on synchronously rotating TRAPPIST-1e-like planets on a range of spatiotemporal scales. We find that abrupt thermospheric cooling is associated with radiative cooling of NO and CO2, and middle-to-lower atmospheric warming is associated with elevated infrared absorbers such as N2O and H2O. In certain regimes, in particular for climates around moderately active stars, atmospheric temperature changes are strongly affected by O3 variability. Cumulative effects are largely determined by the flare frequency and the instantaneous effects are dependent on the flare’s spectral shape and energy. In addition to effects on planetary climate and atmospheric chemistry, we find that intense flares can energize the middle atmosphere, causing enhancements in wind velocities up to 40 m s−1 in substellar nightsides between 30 and 50 km in altitude. Our results suggest that successive, more energetic eruptive events from younger stars may be a pivotal factor in determining the atmosphere dynamics of their planets.
- Open Access
- 27 March 2025
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astrophysical Journal
- Vol. 982 (2) , 172
Substellar Landmass Fraction and Atmospheric Circulation Regimes of Ultrashort-period Rocky Planets around White Dwarfs
White-dwarf (WD) systems are attractive candidates for planet detection and follow-up transmission spectroscopy campaigns. However, the climate and habitability of terrestrial planets around WDs still remain largely elusive, and a central question lies in the width and extent of their habitable zones (HZs) and how their climates may be shaped by their stellar environments. A recently published study, using a 3D general circulation model (GCM), found a novel atmospheric circulation pattern for ultrarapid rotators around WDs. This “bat-rotation” regime features mean equatorial subrotation and a displacement of the surface’s hottest regions from the equator toward the midlatitudes. Here, we used a GCM of reduced complexity to simulate a large range of landmass fraction (LMF) assumptions on these planets and examine the regimes in which these planets would exhibit the new dynamical regime. We find that as the dayside LMF approaches 80%, the bat-rotator features begin to diminish and the circulation behavior becomes more akin to the thermally driven direction circulation patterns observed around slowly rotating planets. Our results suggest that the introduction of different surface characteristics would drastically modify previous predictions of the atmospheres of ultrashort-period planets in the HZ of WD stars.
- 27 March 2025
- Published by American Astronomical Society in The Astrophysical Journal
- Vol. 982 (2) , 172
Open AccessSubstellar Landmass Fraction and Atmospheric Circulation Regimes of Ultrashort-period Rocky Planets around White Dwarfs
White-dwarf (WD) systems are attractive candidates for planet detection and follow-up transmission spectroscopy campaigns. However, the climate and habitability of terrestrial planets around WDs still remain largely elusive, and a central question lies in the width and extent of their habitable zones (HZs) and how their climates may be shaped by their stellar environments. A recently published study, using a 3D general circulation model (GCM), found a novel atmospheric circulation pattern for ultrarapid rotators around WDs. This “bat-rotation” regime features mean equatorial subrotation and a displacement of the surface’s hottest regions from the equator toward the midlatitudes. Here, we used a GCM of reduced complexity to simulate a large range of landmass fraction (LMF) assumptions on these planets and examine the regimes in which these planets would exhibit the new dynamical regime. We find that as the dayside LMF approaches 80%, the bat-rotator features begin to diminish and the circulation behavior becomes more akin to the thermally driven direction circulation patterns observed around slowly rotating planets. Our results suggest that the introduction of different surface characteristics would drastically modify previous predictions of the atmospheres of ultrashort-period planets in the HZ of WD stars.
- Open Access
- 13 November 2024
- Published by Springer Nature in Research Square
A Palette of Water Inventories Assembled across Nascent TRAPPIST-1 Analog Planets
Compact multiplanet systems such as TRAPPIST-1 are attractive candidates for planet detection and follow-up atmospheric characterization efforts. By examining the evolution and fates of the neighboring worlds, these systems offer exciting opportunities for comparative exoplanetology. From a planetary habitability standpoint, it is still unclear whether such planets can accrete large quantities of volatiles, grow to sufficent mass, and maintain robust atmospheres and hydrospheres. Previous work predicting the possible water contents in M-dwarf planetary systems used either population synthesis or atmospheric-interior evolution models, but excluded the combined importance of different impact histories and impact ablation of light species. Here, we account for the simultaneous effects of impact delivery, impact erosion, and mantle-atmosphere exchange during secular collision events that are crucial in setting the mass and composition of the growing parent body. Specifically, we use a suite of N-body accretion integrations and a volatile growth model to calculate the accretion timeseries of all seven TRAPPIST-1 planets and their respective gaseous reservoirs. In contrast to previous work that neglected planetesimal impacts, we find much lower surface water inventories for the outer planets (planet e, f, g, h analogs) for both relatively volatile-depleted materials (i.e., down to $10^{-3}-0.1\%$ water mass fraction) and volatile-enriched (i.e., up to 5\%). Interestingly, we find that not all inner planets (planet b, c, d analogs) would remain dry, as around 30\% accretion histories give rise to inner planets with at least 1-10\% of Earth's total oceanic water budget. More generally, our multi-stage modeling framework for tracking volatile accretion can be used to inform exoplanet interior models and to set the initial compositions of exoplanet atmosphere models. Our results, in conjunction with near-term observations of TRAPPIST-1 planets, may be able to help decipher the makeup and formation histories of their supposed planetary building blocks.- 13 November 2024
- Published by Springer Nature in Research Square
Open AccessA Palette of Water Inventories Assembled across Nascent TRAPPIST-1 Analog Planets
Compact multiplanet systems such as TRAPPIST-1 are attractive candidates for planet detection and follow-up atmospheric characterization efforts. By examining the evolution and fates of the neighboring worlds, these systems offer exciting opportunities for comparative exoplanetology. From a planetary habitability standpoint, it is still unclear whether such planets can accrete large quantities of volatiles, grow to sufficent mass, and maintain robust atmospheres and hydrospheres. Previous work predicting the possible water contents in M-dwarf planetary systems used either population synthesis or atmospheric-interior evolution models, but excluded the combined importance of different impact histories and impact ablation of light species. Here, we account for the simultaneous effects of impact delivery, impact erosion, and mantle-atmosphere exchange during secular collision events that are crucial in setting the mass and composition of the growing parent body. Specifically, we use a suite of N-body accretion integrations and a volatile growth model to calculate the accretion timeseries of all seven TRAPPIST-1 planets and their respective gaseous reservoirs. In contrast to previous work that neglected planetesimal impacts, we find much lower surface water inventories for the outer planets (planet e, f, g, h analogs) for both relatively volatile-depleted materials (i.e., down to $10^{-3}-0.1\%$ water mass fraction) and volatile-enriched (i.e., up to 5\%). Interestingly, we find that not all inner planets (planet b, c, d analogs) would remain dry, as around 30\% accretion histories give rise to inner planets with at least 1-10\% of Earth's total oceanic water budget. More generally, our multi-stage modeling framework for tracking volatile accretion can be used to inform exoplanet interior models and to set the initial compositions of exoplanet atmosphere models. Our results, in conjunction with near-term observations of TRAPPIST-1 planets, may be able to help decipher the makeup and formation histories of their supposed planetary building blocks.