Tobias Rolf

Venus' mass and radius are similar to those of Earth. However, Venus' interior structure and chemical composition are poorly constrained. Seemingly small deviations from the Earth might have important impacts in the long-term evolution and dynamics of Venus when compared to our planet and could help to explain the different present-day surface and atmospheric conditions and geophysical activity between these two planets. Shah et al. (ApJ, 2022) presented a range of possible bulk compositions and internal structures for Venus. Their models, designed to fit Venus' moment of inertia and total mass, predict core radii ranging from 2930-4350 km and include substantial variations in mantle and core composition. In this study, we pick ten different Venus models from Shah et al. (ApJ, 2022) that range from a small to a big, and from a S-free to a S-rich core. We run mantle convection evolution models for the different scenarios using the code StagYY (Tackley, PEPI 2008; Armann et al., JGR 2012) and explore how different interior structures and chemical compositions affect the long-term evolution and dynamics of Venus. In our models, the bulk composition of the mantle affects the basalt fraction and the solidus and liquidus temperature profiles. We investigate how the composition and size of the core affects magmatism hence outgassing of water and other volatiles to the atmosphere, the basalt distribution, heat flow, temperature of the mantle and lithosphere, and observables such as the moment of inertia and Love numbers. Since the tectonic regime active on Venus is still unknown, we test different evolution scenarios for a planet covered by a stagnant lid, an episodic lid, and a plutonic-squishy lid. The models produce a range of predictions that can be compared to observations by planned missions to Venus, including EnVision measurements by the VenSpec spectrometers, comprising outgassing of water and other volatiles and surface composition. These can be used to constrain Venus' interior composition and structure, and reveal key information on the differences between Earth and Venus.

Surface geologic features form a detailed record of Venus’ evolution. Venus displays a profusion of volcanic and tectonics features, including both familiar and exotic forms. One challenge to assessing the role of these features in Venus’ evolution is that there are too few impact craters to permit age dates for specific features or regions. Similarly, without surface water, erosion is limited and cannot be used to evaluate age. These same observations indicate Venus has, on average, a very young surface (150–1000 Ma), with the most recent surface deformation and volcanism largely preserved on the surface except where covered by limited impact ejecta. In contrast, most geologic activity on Mars, the Moon, and Mercury occurred in the 1st billion years. Earth’s geologic processes are almost all a result of plate tectonics. Venus’ lacks such a network of connected, large scale plates, leaving the nature of Venus’ dominant geodynamic process up for debate. In this review article, we describe Venus’ key volcanic and tectonic features, models for their origin, and possible links to evolution. We also present current knowledge of the composition and thickness of the crust, lithospheric thickness, and heat flow given their critical role in shaping surface geology and interior evolution. Given Venus’ hot lithosphere, abundant activity and potential analogues of continents, roll-back subduction, and microplates, it may provide insights into early Earth, prior to the onset of true plate tectonics. We explore similarities and differences between Venus and the Proterozoic or Archean Earth. Finally, we describe the future measurements needed to advance our understanding of volcanism, tectonism, and the evolution of Venus.

In this work we discuss various selected mission concepts addressing Venus evolution through time. More specifically, we address investigations and payload instrument concepts supporting scientific goals and open questions presented in the companion articles of this volume. Also included are their related investigations (observations & modeling) and discussion of which measurements and future data products are needed to better constrain Venus’ atmosphere, climate, surface, interior and habitability evolution through time. A new fleet of Venus missions has been selected, and new mission concepts will continue to be considered for future selections. Missions under development include radar-equipped ESA-led EnVision M5 orbiter mission (European Space Agency 2021), NASA-JPL’s VERITAS orbiter mission (Smrekar et al. 2022a), NASA-GSFC’s DAVINCI entry probe/flyby mission (Garvin et al. 2022a). The data acquired with the VERITAS, DAVINCI, and EnVision from the end of this decade will fundamentally improve our understanding of the planet’s long term history, current activity and evolutionary path. We further describe future mission concepts and measurements beyond the current framework of selected missions, as well as the synergies between these mission concepts, ground-based and space-based observatories and facilities, laboratory measurements, and future algorithmic or modeling activities that pave the way for the development of a Venus program that extends into the 2040s (Wilson et al. 2022).

Earth's upper mantle rheology controls lithosphere‐asthenosphere coupling and thus surface tectonics. Rock deformation experiments and seismic anisotropy measurements indicate that composite rheology (co‐existing diffusion and dislocation creep) occurs in the Earth's uppermost mantle, potentially affecting convection and surface tectonics. Here, we investigate how the spatio‐temporal distribution of dislocation creep in an otherwise diffusion‐creep‐controlled mantle impacts the planform of convection and the planetary tectonic regime as a function of the lithospheric yield strength in numerical models of mantle convection self‐generating plate‐like tectonics. The low upper‐mantle viscosities caused by zones of substantial dislocation creep produce contrasting effects on surface dynamics. For strong lithosphere (yield strength > 35 MPa), the large lithosphere‐asthenosphere viscosity contrasts promote stagnant‐lid convection. In contrast, the increase of upper mantle convective vigor enhances plate mobility for lithospheric strength <35 MPa. For the here‐used model assumptions, composite rheology does not facilitate the onset of plate‐like behavior at large lithospheric strength.

Times and rates of planetary surface-modifying processes are crucial for the sequence and correlation of events on planetary bodies. For most planetary surfaces, superposition principles and crater densities are commonly used methods to collect relative age information. Lunar-based cratering-chronology models, which pair crater densities and sample ages from several lunar landing and sampling sites, calibrate the relative age information in absolute time. Here, we propose calibration pairs based on new crater statistics and spectrally supported sample-age assignments for the lunar cratering-chronology model. The resulting model reflects modern high-precision, radiometric ages, compositional and spectral information, and an up-to-date crater-production function. This revision supports a crater-forming projectile flux with monotonic decay, similar to previous standard models, but of distinctively lower flux. This originates from lower crater densities identified in spectrally and morphologically defined reference units, and from assigning more precise sample ages accounting for spectral resemblance between reference unit and sample. The observed maximal values for crater densities and ages provide the oldest and most densely cratered calibration pair. Because of the nature of highland samples, age constraints for the Luna 20 and Apollo 16 sampling sites remain challenging, which restricts the confidence in times for individual basin-formation events older than Orientale Basin. The new cratering-chronology model, when transferred to other planetary bodies, would cause aging of the surfaces, because of the lower overall flux.

Our understanding of Earth's paleogeography relies heavily on paleomagnetic apparent polar wander paths (APWPs), which represent the time‐dependent position of Earth's spin axis relative to a given block of lithosphere. However, conventional approaches to APWP construction have significant limitations. First, the paleomagnetic record contains substantial noise that is not integrated into APWPs. Second, parametric assumptions are adopted to represent spatial and temporal uncertainties even where the underlying data do not conform to the assumed distributions. The consequences of these limitations remain largely unknown. Here, we address these challenges with a bottom‐up Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation scheme that operates on site‐level paleomagnetic data. To demonstrate our methodology, we present an extensive compilation of site‐level Cenozoic paleomagnetic data from North America, which we use to generate a high‐resolution APWP. Our results demonstrate that even in the presence of substantial noise, polar wandering can be assessed with unprecedented temporal and spatial resolution.

Earth’s upper mantle rheology controls lithosphere-asthenosphere coupling and thus its surface tectonics. Although rock deformation experiments and seismic anisotropy measurements indicate that dislocation creep can occur in the Earth's uppermost mantle, the role of composite rheology (including both diffusion and dislocation creep) on global-scale mantle dynamics and surface tectonics remains largely unexplored.Here, we investigate the influence of composite rheology on the planform of convection and on the planetary tectonic regime as a function of the lithospheric yield strength in numerical models of mantle convection with plate-like tectonics. We show that the consideration of composite rheology in the upper mantle leads to the self-generation of a discontinuous asthenosphere evolving fast, with a low-viscosity and a maximal thickness that depend on the rheological parameters for diffusion and dislocation creep. In mobile-lid models, the spatio-temporal evolution of the asthenosphere is mainly controlled by the location of slabs and plumes that generate regions of mantle deforming dominantly through dislocation creep. Moreover, the low upper-mantle viscosities caused by composite rheology produce substantial and contrasting effects on surface dynamics. For a strong lithosphere (high yield stress), the large lithosphere-asthenosphere viscosity contrasts promote stagnant-lid convection, while the increase of upper-mantle convective vigor enhances plate mobility for low lithospheric strength (small yield stress). We further show that composite rheology does not facilitate the onset of plate-like behavior at large lithospheric strength due to decoupling between the asthenosphere and the lithosphere.