Ricardo de Camargo
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Previous Organizations / Institutes
The organizations / institutes from the scholar's other articles in the past ten years
Research Subjects
Ricardo de Camargo has a total of 158 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Carolina Barnez Gramcianinov
Institute for Coastal Systems Analysis and Modeling Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon Max-Planck-Straße 1 21502 Geesthacht Schleswig-Holstein Germany
18 shared publications - Danilo Couto de Souza
Universidade de São Paulo (São Paulo, Brazil)
12 shared publications - Pedro Leite da Silva Dias
Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Instituto de Astronomia, Geofísica e Ciências Atmosféricas (IAG), São Paulo, Brazil
10 shared publications - Ricardo Martins Campos
Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS), University of Miami, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149, USA
10 shared publications Joseph Harari
University of São Paulo
7 shared publications- Natália Pillar da Silva
Universidade de São Paulo, Brasil
7 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 19 October 2026
- Published by Copernicus GmbH in EGUsphere
Compound coastal risk from waves and sea level along the Brazilian coast
- 19 October 2026
- Published by Copernicus GmbH in EGUsphere
Open AccessCompound coastal risk from waves and sea level along the Brazilian coast
- Open Access
- 31 July 2026
- Published by Elsevier in Energy Conversion and Management: X
- Vol. 31
Addressing the large-sample-size effect in wind-speed goodness-of-fit through temporal segmentation and Monte-Carlo simulation
- 31 July 2026
- Published by Elsevier in Energy Conversion and Management: X
- Vol. 31
Open AccessAddressing the large-sample-size effect in wind-speed goodness-of-fit through temporal segmentation and Monte-Carlo simulation
- Open Access
- 25 June 2026
- Published by Elsevier in Applied Ocean Research
- Vol. 173
A vessel-mounted continuous-wave Lidar system for offshore wind surveys
- 25 June 2026
- Published by Elsevier in Applied Ocean Research
- Vol. 173
Open AccessA vessel-mounted continuous-wave Lidar system for offshore wind surveys
- Open Access
- 9 February 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Climate Dynamics
- Vol. 64 (3) , 94
Revisiting the rare transition of a South Atlantic cyclone to tropical storm Akará: energy cycle and stratosphere-troposphere interaction
Cyclone Akará was the third documented tropical cyclone in the South Atlantic, undergoing a rare subtropical-to-tropical transition in February 2024. This study investigates the dynamical, thermodynamical, and energetic evolution of Akará using a diagnostic framework combining the Lorenz Energy Cycle (LEC) and heat and vorticity budgets. Akará originated in a post-frontal, weakly baroclinic environment characterized by warm sea surface temperatures ( $$>28^{\circ } C$$ ), strong ocean–atmosphere thermal contrast, and low vertical wind shear. These conditions favored convective activity and led to the development of a symmetric warm core, initially supported by latent heat release and interaction with an upper-level cutoff low. As the system intensified, it transitioned into a tropical cyclone, exhibiting a deep warm core and organized convection. Stratospheric air intrusions were identified during and after the tropical transition, contributing to upper-tropospheric warming and enhancing cyclone intensification. Heat and vorticity budget analyses revealed how vertical motion, latent heat release, and vortex stretching shaped the storm’s three-dimensional structure and contributed to its deepening. During the mature stage, Akará reached peak intensity while moving over cooler waters. Although convective activity decreased, the warm core was sustained-likely through continued stratosphere-troposphere interactions and strong barotropic energy conversions at low and mid levels. The combined use of LEC and budget diagnostics proved effective in disentangling the physical mechanisms behind Akará’s evolution, offering valuable insight into the dynamics of rare South Atlantic tropical transitions. Expanding such analyses to other events is essential to improve our understanding and forecasting of tropical cyclogenesis in this basin.- 9 February 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Climate Dynamics
- Vol. 64 (3) , 94
Open AccessRevisiting the rare transition of a South Atlantic cyclone to tropical storm Akará: energy cycle and stratosphere-troposphere interaction
Cyclone Akará was the third documented tropical cyclone in the South Atlantic, undergoing a rare subtropical-to-tropical transition in February 2024. This study investigates the dynamical, thermodynamical, and energetic evolution of Akará using a diagnostic framework combining the Lorenz Energy Cycle (LEC) and heat and vorticity budgets. Akará originated in a post-frontal, weakly baroclinic environment characterized by warm sea surface temperatures ( $$>28^{\circ } C$$ ), strong ocean–atmosphere thermal contrast, and low vertical wind shear. These conditions favored convective activity and led to the development of a symmetric warm core, initially supported by latent heat release and interaction with an upper-level cutoff low. As the system intensified, it transitioned into a tropical cyclone, exhibiting a deep warm core and organized convection. Stratospheric air intrusions were identified during and after the tropical transition, contributing to upper-tropospheric warming and enhancing cyclone intensification. Heat and vorticity budget analyses revealed how vertical motion, latent heat release, and vortex stretching shaped the storm’s three-dimensional structure and contributed to its deepening. During the mature stage, Akará reached peak intensity while moving over cooler waters. Although convective activity decreased, the warm core was sustained-likely through continued stratosphere-troposphere interactions and strong barotropic energy conversions at low and mid levels. The combined use of LEC and budget diagnostics proved effective in disentangling the physical mechanisms behind Akará’s evolution, offering valuable insight into the dynamics of rare South Atlantic tropical transitions. Expanding such analyses to other events is essential to improve our understanding and forecasting of tropical cyclogenesis in this basin. - Open Access
- 3 February 2026
- Published by Elsevier in SSRN Electronic Journal
Addressing the Large-Sample-Size Effect in Wind-Speed Goodness-of-Fit through Temporal Segmentation and Monte-Carlo Simulation
Reliable wind-resource assessment hinges on a robust statistical description of the wind-speed frequency distribution, often obtained via a two-parameter Weibull fit. International guidelines routinely require that such fits be accompanied by formal goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests, with acceptance based on p-value thresholds. However, for modern multi-year, high-frequency records, GoF tests become overly sensitive and p-values collapse toward zero, leading to rejections of otherwise satisfactory fits — even though larger samples should, in principle, yield more reliable parameter estimates. This apparent paradox is known as the large-sample-size effect and can bias practical decisions on model adequacy and complexity. Here, we propose an objective framework to mitigate this effect by combining Monte Carlo (MC) subsampling with temporal segmentation. The MC procedure draws repeated subsamples from the original record, fits the target parametric distribution, and evaluates each fit using the $\chi^{2}$ and Kolmogorov--Smirnov (KS) tests and the root-mean-square error (RMSE). While GoF-test p-values systematically decrease with increasing sample size, RMSE stabilizes beyond a characteristic threshold. We detect this stabilization point to define an optimal effective sample size, from which statistically supported parameters are recommended for subsequent use. We apply the method to reanalysis winds and in situ meteorological observations (INMET). Across ERA5 and INMET records, full-sample Weibull fits frequently failed $\chi^{2}$/KS due to inflated test power, whereas temporal segmentation combined with RMSE-stability subsampling restored statistically interpretable p-values and increased “pass-both” rates from $\sim$25\% to $\sim$76\% on average across stations, without distorting the inferred diurnal and seasonal structure of $(k,c)$. Temporal segmentation further indicates that fitted parameters are not intrinsic site constants, but emergent summaries of superimposed weather regimes, with diurnal--seasonal variability in $(k,c)$ reflecting shifts in the relative dominance of distinct atmospheric circulation patterns. Overall, the proposed framework mitigates large-sample-size artefacts while preserving physically meaningful variability, providing a practical, standards-compatible route for reporting parametric wind-speed statistics from modern high-frequency records. Although demonstrated with the Weibull law, the approach is readily transferable to any desired parametric distribution and helps distinguish genuinely non-conforming regimes from purely sample-size-driven rejections.- 3 February 2026
- Published by Elsevier in SSRN Electronic Journal
Open AccessAddressing the Large-Sample-Size Effect in Wind-Speed Goodness-of-Fit through Temporal Segmentation and Monte-Carlo Simulation
Reliable wind-resource assessment hinges on a robust statistical description of the wind-speed frequency distribution, often obtained via a two-parameter Weibull fit. International guidelines routinely require that such fits be accompanied by formal goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests, with acceptance based on p-value thresholds. However, for modern multi-year, high-frequency records, GoF tests become overly sensitive and p-values collapse toward zero, leading to rejections of otherwise satisfactory fits — even though larger samples should, in principle, yield more reliable parameter estimates. This apparent paradox is known as the large-sample-size effect and can bias practical decisions on model adequacy and complexity. Here, we propose an objective framework to mitigate this effect by combining Monte Carlo (MC) subsampling with temporal segmentation. The MC procedure draws repeated subsamples from the original record, fits the target parametric distribution, and evaluates each fit using the $\chi^{2}$ and Kolmogorov--Smirnov (KS) tests and the root-mean-square error (RMSE). While GoF-test p-values systematically decrease with increasing sample size, RMSE stabilizes beyond a characteristic threshold. We detect this stabilization point to define an optimal effective sample size, from which statistically supported parameters are recommended for subsequent use. We apply the method to reanalysis winds and in situ meteorological observations (INMET). Across ERA5 and INMET records, full-sample Weibull fits frequently failed $\chi^{2}$/KS due to inflated test power, whereas temporal segmentation combined with RMSE-stability subsampling restored statistically interpretable p-values and increased “pass-both” rates from $\sim$25\% to $\sim$76\% on average across stations, without distorting the inferred diurnal and seasonal structure of $(k,c)$. Temporal segmentation further indicates that fitted parameters are not intrinsic site constants, but emergent summaries of superimposed weather regimes, with diurnal--seasonal variability in $(k,c)$ reflecting shifts in the relative dominance of distinct atmospheric circulation patterns. Overall, the proposed framework mitigates large-sample-size artefacts while preserving physically meaningful variability, providing a practical, standards-compatible route for reporting parametric wind-speed statistics from modern high-frequency records. Although demonstrated with the Weibull law, the approach is readily transferable to any desired parametric distribution and helps distinguish genuinely non-conforming regimes from purely sample-size-driven rejections. - Open Access
- 23 January 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Ocean Dynamics
- Vol. 76 (2) , 13
Ocean dynamics in 2025: overview and thank you to reviewers
- 23 January 2026
- Published by Springer Nature in Ocean Dynamics
- Vol. 76 (2) , 13
Open AccessOcean dynamics in 2025: overview and thank you to reviewers
- 30 October 2025
- Published by Springer Nature in Climate Dynamics
- Vol. 63 (11) , 1-26
Lorenz Energy Cycle Climatology for the Southwestern Atlantic Cyclones
- 30 October 2025
- Published by Springer Nature in Climate Dynamics
- Vol. 63 (11) , 1-26
Lorenz Energy Cycle Climatology for the Southwestern Atlantic Cyclones
- Open Access
- 14 September 2025
- Published by California Digital Library (CDL) in EarthArXiv
Lorenz Energy Cycle Climatology for the Southwestern Atlantic Cyclones
This study presents a climatological assessment of the Lorenz Energy Cycle (LEC) applied to South Atlantic cyclones, using a Semi-Lagrangian framework. Over 6,700 cyclones were identified from ERA5 reanalysis (1979–2020), and LEC components were computed and averaged across four objectively defined life cycle phases: incipient, intensification, mature, and decay. Results reveal a coherent energy transfer structure: baroclinic conversions dominate during intensification, while barotropic conversions peak during the mature phase and reach magnitudes 2–3 times larger than baroclinic counterparts. Diabatic generation of eddy available potential energy plays a secondary but relevant role, particularly during intensification, occasionally surpassing baroclinic contributions. Eddy kinetic energy imports are most significant during the early phases, reinforcing development. Despite substantial variability among systems, an EOF analysis shows that most cyclones share a common energy structure, with variability manifesting as amplification or suppression of specific pathways. The leading EOFs are linked to differences in cyclone intensity, genesis region, and seasonality. Among the most intense systems, distinct clusters emerge with varying energetic configurations, some dominated by baroclinic processes, others by barotropic conversions or enhanced diabatic generation. These findings demonstrate that South Atlantic cyclones encompass a spectrum of dynamical behaviors and can be classified based on their energy cycle characteristics. This study provides the first large-sample application of the Semi-Lagrangian LEC to extratropical cyclones in the South Atlantic and highlights the importance of barotropic processes in their development. The results offer a robust framework for interpreting cyclone energetics and establish a comprehensive baseline for classifying these systems.
- 14 September 2025
- Published by California Digital Library (CDL) in EarthArXiv
Open AccessLorenz Energy Cycle Climatology for the Southwestern Atlantic Cyclones
This study presents a climatological assessment of the Lorenz Energy Cycle (LEC) applied to South Atlantic cyclones, using a Semi-Lagrangian framework. Over 6,700 cyclones were identified from ERA5 reanalysis (1979–2020), and LEC components were computed and averaged across four objectively defined life cycle phases: incipient, intensification, mature, and decay. Results reveal a coherent energy transfer structure: baroclinic conversions dominate during intensification, while barotropic conversions peak during the mature phase and reach magnitudes 2–3 times larger than baroclinic counterparts. Diabatic generation of eddy available potential energy plays a secondary but relevant role, particularly during intensification, occasionally surpassing baroclinic contributions. Eddy kinetic energy imports are most significant during the early phases, reinforcing development. Despite substantial variability among systems, an EOF analysis shows that most cyclones share a common energy structure, with variability manifesting as amplification or suppression of specific pathways. The leading EOFs are linked to differences in cyclone intensity, genesis region, and seasonality. Among the most intense systems, distinct clusters emerge with varying energetic configurations, some dominated by baroclinic processes, others by barotropic conversions or enhanced diabatic generation. These findings demonstrate that South Atlantic cyclones encompass a spectrum of dynamical behaviors and can be classified based on their energy cycle characteristics. This study provides the first large-sample application of the Semi-Lagrangian LEC to extratropical cyclones in the South Atlantic and highlights the importance of barotropic processes in their development. The results offer a robust framework for interpreting cyclone energetics and establish a comprehensive baseline for classifying these systems.
- Open Access
- 9 June 2025
- Published by Springer Nature in Research Square
Revisiting The Rare Transition of a South Atlantic Cyclone to Tropical Storm Akará: Energy Cycle and Stratosphere-Troposphere Interaction
Cyclone Akará was the third documented tropical cyclone in the South Atlantic, undergoing a rare subtropical-to-tropical transition in February 2024. This study investigates the dynamical, thermodynamical, and energetic evolution of Akará using a diagnostic framework combining the Lorenz Energy Cycle (LEC) and heat and vorticity budgets. Akará originated in a post-frontal, weakly baroclinic environment characterized by warm sea surface temperatures (>28$\circ C$), strong ocean-atmosphere thermal contrast, and low vertical wind shear. These conditions favored convective activity and led to the development of a symmetric warm core, initially supported by latent heat release and interaction with an upper-level cutoff low. As the system intensified, it transitioned into a tropical cyclone, exhibiting a deep warm core and organized convection. Stratospheric air intrusions were identified during and after the tropical transition, contributing to upper-tropospheric warming and enhancing cyclone intensification. Heat and vorticity budget analyses revealed how vertical motion, latent heat release, and vortex stretching shaped the storm’s three-dimensional structure and contributed to its deepening. During the mature stage, Akará reached peak intensity while moving over cooler waters. Although convective activity decreased, the warm core was sustained—likely through continued stratosphere-troposphere interactions and strong barotropic energy conversions at low and mid levels. The combined use of LEC and budget diagnostics proved effective in disentangling the physical mechanisms behind Akará's evolution, offering valuable insight into the dynamics of rare South Atlantic tropical transitions. Expanding such analyses to other events is essential to improve our understanding and forecasting of tropical cyclogenesis in this basin.
- 9 June 2025
- Published by Springer Nature in Research Square
Open AccessRevisiting The Rare Transition of a South Atlantic Cyclone to Tropical Storm Akará: Energy Cycle and Stratosphere-Troposphere Interaction
Cyclone Akará was the third documented tropical cyclone in the South Atlantic, undergoing a rare subtropical-to-tropical transition in February 2024. This study investigates the dynamical, thermodynamical, and energetic evolution of Akará using a diagnostic framework combining the Lorenz Energy Cycle (LEC) and heat and vorticity budgets. Akará originated in a post-frontal, weakly baroclinic environment characterized by warm sea surface temperatures (>28$\circ C$), strong ocean-atmosphere thermal contrast, and low vertical wind shear. These conditions favored convective activity and led to the development of a symmetric warm core, initially supported by latent heat release and interaction with an upper-level cutoff low. As the system intensified, it transitioned into a tropical cyclone, exhibiting a deep warm core and organized convection. Stratospheric air intrusions were identified during and after the tropical transition, contributing to upper-tropospheric warming and enhancing cyclone intensification. Heat and vorticity budget analyses revealed how vertical motion, latent heat release, and vortex stretching shaped the storm’s three-dimensional structure and contributed to its deepening. During the mature stage, Akará reached peak intensity while moving over cooler waters. Although convective activity decreased, the warm core was sustained—likely through continued stratosphere-troposphere interactions and strong barotropic energy conversions at low and mid levels. The combined use of LEC and budget diagnostics proved effective in disentangling the physical mechanisms behind Akará's evolution, offering valuable insight into the dynamics of rare South Atlantic tropical transitions. Expanding such analyses to other events is essential to improve our understanding and forecasting of tropical cyclogenesis in this basin.
- Open Access
- 9 April 2025
- Published by The Open Journal in Journal of Open Source Software
- Vol. 10 (108) , 7363
CycloPhaser: A Python Package for Detecting Extratropical Cyclone Life Cycles
CycloPhaser is a Python package designed to detect and analyze extratropical cyclone life cycles from central relative vorticity data. It enables researchers in meteorology and atmospheric sciences to automatically identify key stages of cyclone development, such as intensification, decay, and mature phases, using the vorticity series and its derivatives. By leveraging vorticity data, CycloPhaser helps scientists study cyclones across various regions and timeframes, contributing to improved understanding of cyclone energetics and behavior.
- 9 April 2025
- Published by The Open Journal in Journal of Open Source Software
- Vol. 10 (108) , 7363
Open AccessCycloPhaser: A Python Package for Detecting Extratropical Cyclone Life Cycles
CycloPhaser is a Python package designed to detect and analyze extratropical cyclone life cycles from central relative vorticity data. It enables researchers in meteorology and atmospheric sciences to automatically identify key stages of cyclone development, such as intensification, decay, and mature phases, using the vorticity series and its derivatives. By leveraging vorticity data, CycloPhaser helps scientists study cyclones across various regions and timeframes, contributing to improved understanding of cyclone energetics and behavior.