Carlos Aguirre-Nuñez
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Research Subjects
Research Interests
Carlos Aguirre-Nuñez has a total of 74 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Francisco Vergara-Perucich
Universidad de las Américas, Santiago, Chile
31 shared publications - Felipe Encinas
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
24 shared publications - Ricardo Truffello
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
17 shared publications - Rodrigo Hidalgo Dattwyler
Instituto de Geografía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
13 shared publications - Carlos Marmolejo-Duarte
Center of Land Policy and Valuations, Barcelona School of Architecture (ETSAB), Polytechnic University of Catalonia, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
9 shared publications - Felipe Ladrón de Guevara
Pontifical Catholic University of Chile
9 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
Screening Municipal Building Permissions for Sustainable Urban Renewal: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach with Temporal Validation
Despite the importance of adaptive reuse for urban renewal, municipal records of changes in property destinations remain an untapped resource for understanding regulatory barriers. This study develops an interpretable machine learning (ML) framework to screen historical administrative non-approval using 42,350 municipal records from a mid-sized city in southern Chile spanning 2010 to 2025. Historical memory features were constructed exclusively from outcomes available before each application, thereby preventing temporal leakage. Records from 2010–2022 were used for training, 2023 was reserved for validation, and 2024–2025 constituted a locked test set. A logistic regression model combining auditable risk flags derived from GIRO (declared economic or functional activity) with historical property, address, and activity category information was selected by maximizing the F1-score (the harmonic mean of precision and recall) subject to a recall ≥ 0.85. At the validation-selected threshold of 0.285, the model achieved a receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC) of 0.778, a precision–recall area under the curve (PR-AUC) of 0.720, an F1-score of 0.719, recall of 0.887, and precision of 0.604. The model flagged 66.8% of applications for prioritized review. The proposed framework supports human-in-the-loop screening and institutional learning; it neither determines regulatory compliance nor automates municipal decisions.
Open AccessScreening Municipal Building Permissions for Sustainable Urban Renewal: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach with Temporal Validation
Despite the importance of adaptive reuse for urban renewal, municipal records of changes in property destinations remain an untapped resource for understanding regulatory barriers. This study develops an interpretable machine learning (ML) framework to screen historical administrative non-approval using 42,350 municipal records from a mid-sized city in southern Chile spanning 2010 to 2025. Historical memory features were constructed exclusively from outcomes available before each application, thereby preventing temporal leakage. Records from 2010–2022 were used for training, 2023 was reserved for validation, and 2024–2025 constituted a locked test set. A logistic regression model combining auditable risk flags derived from GIRO (declared economic or functional activity) with historical property, address, and activity category information was selected by maximizing the F1-score (the harmonic mean of precision and recall) subject to a recall ≥ 0.85. At the validation-selected threshold of 0.285, the model achieved a receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC) of 0.778, a precision–recall area under the curve (PR-AUC) of 0.720, an F1-score of 0.719, recall of 0.887, and precision of 0.604. The model flagged 66.8% of applications for prioritized review. The proposed framework supports human-in-the-loop screening and institutional learning; it neither determines regulatory compliance nor automates municipal decisions.
- Open Access
- 31 August 2026
- Published by Universidad San Sebastián in Materia Arquitectura
- No. 30,p. 134-155
Ecologías domésticas: diversidad multiescalar en la vivienda social metropolitana.
Este artículo propone una lectura multiescalar del microbioma del entorno construido, examinando cómo las comunidades microbianas de las viviendas se relacionan con procesos que abarcan desde la escala metropolitana hasta las prácticas cotidianas. A partir de una revisión interdisciplinaria y del estudio exploratorio de un conjunto de vivienda social incremental en Renca, se analizan las relaciones entre estructura urbana, entorno barrial, transformaciones domésticas y diversidad microbiológica. Viviendas originalmente homogéneas han desarrollado condiciones diferenciadas mediante ampliaciones y formas de ocupación. Mediante la secuenciación de muestras de cocinas y salas de estar-comedor, se caracterizaron comunidades bacterianas y fúngicas. Los resultados muestran una alta variabilidad entre viviendas y recintos, asociada al uso, la ocupación, la ventilación, la humedad y el intercambio con el exterior. La vivienda emerge como una instancia de mediación entre procesos urbanos, ambientales, sociales y biológicos, situando el microbioma doméstico como una condición sociomaterial relevante para la cohabitación multiespecie y los ambientes saludables.
- 31 August 2026
- Published by Universidad San Sebastián in Materia Arquitectura
- No. 30,p. 134-155
Open AccessEcologías domésticas: diversidad multiescalar en la vivienda social metropolitana.
Este artículo propone una lectura multiescalar del microbioma del entorno construido, examinando cómo las comunidades microbianas de las viviendas se relacionan con procesos que abarcan desde la escala metropolitana hasta las prácticas cotidianas. A partir de una revisión interdisciplinaria y del estudio exploratorio de un conjunto de vivienda social incremental en Renca, se analizan las relaciones entre estructura urbana, entorno barrial, transformaciones domésticas y diversidad microbiológica. Viviendas originalmente homogéneas han desarrollado condiciones diferenciadas mediante ampliaciones y formas de ocupación. Mediante la secuenciación de muestras de cocinas y salas de estar-comedor, se caracterizaron comunidades bacterianas y fúngicas. Los resultados muestran una alta variabilidad entre viviendas y recintos, asociada al uso, la ocupación, la ventilación, la humedad y el intercambio con el exterior. La vivienda emerge como una instancia de mediación entre procesos urbanos, ambientales, sociales y biológicos, situando el microbioma doméstico como una condición sociomaterial relevante para la cohabitación multiespecie y los ambientes saludables.
- Open Access
- 31 March 2026
- Published by Ciudad y Territorio Estudios Territoriales in Ciudad Y Territorio Estudios Territoriales
- Vol. 58 (227) , 282-305
¿Por qué suben los precios de la vivienda en Concepción, Chile?: la historia oficial y sus grietas
Este artículo contrasta y refuta empíricamente la explicación neoliberal del alza de los precios de la vivienda en la ciudad de Concepción, Chile entre 2010 y 2021; y adelanta una interpretación acerca de cómo funcionan los mercados de suelo y vivienda – alternativa a la “historia oficial” que se ofrece para explicar dichas alzas. Cierra con tres hipótesis sobre el funcionamiento de los mercados de vivienda en Concepción. El alza de los precios de la vivienda, muy por encima del crecimiento demográfico y a pesar del incremento de viviendas construidas, se atribuye a dos formas en que la promoción inmobiliaria fabrica escasez de suelo y rentas: los ciclos inmobiliarios localizados y la economía urbana del monocultivo.
- 31 March 2026
- Published by Ciudad y Territorio Estudios Territoriales in Ciudad Y Territorio Estudios Territoriales
- Vol. 58 (227) , 282-305
Open Access¿Por qué suben los precios de la vivienda en Concepción, Chile?: la historia oficial y sus grietas
Este artículo contrasta y refuta empíricamente la explicación neoliberal del alza de los precios de la vivienda en la ciudad de Concepción, Chile entre 2010 y 2021; y adelanta una interpretación acerca de cómo funcionan los mercados de suelo y vivienda – alternativa a la “historia oficial” que se ofrece para explicar dichas alzas. Cierra con tres hipótesis sobre el funcionamiento de los mercados de vivienda en Concepción. El alza de los precios de la vivienda, muy por encima del crecimiento demográfico y a pesar del incremento de viviendas construidas, se atribuye a dos formas en que la promoción inmobiliaria fabrica escasez de suelo y rentas: los ciclos inmobiliarios localizados y la economía urbana del monocultivo.
- Open Access
- 10 March 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Epidemiologia
- Vol. 7 (2) , 42
Unveiling Place-Based Effects at Scale: A Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression of Food Deserts and Cardiovascular Risk in Chile
Background/Objectives: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Chile are profoundly shaped by place-based determinants of diet. This study examines the association between food deserts—areas with structurally limited access to nutritious, affordable food—and population-level cardiovascular risk across Chile’s three largest metropolitan areas (Santiago, Valparaíso, Concepción). Methods: We constructed a geospatial food desert index combining OpenStreetMap-derived retail accessibility with census information, and linked it to georeferenced cardiovascular health records. To overcome the limitations of global models that assume spatial stationarity, we applied Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) to allow coefficients to vary across space and to recover variable-specific process scales. Results: The MGWR results indicate pronounced spatial non-stationarity in the food desert–CVD association. The relationship is predominantly positive across Gran Valparaíso, predominantly negative in Gran Concepción, and highly mixed within Gran Santiago, evidencing divergent local mechanisms rather than a single national pattern. Conclusions: The observed heterogeneity undermines “one-size-fits-all” national interventions and supports place-sensitive, equity-oriented strategies. Policy implications include territorially tailored food-retail regulation and primary-care outreach, co-designed with local actors, with MGWR providing a critical analytic basis for actionable, context-specific public health planning.
- 10 March 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Epidemiologia
- Vol. 7 (2) , 42
Open AccessUnveiling Place-Based Effects at Scale: A Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression of Food Deserts and Cardiovascular Risk in Chile
Background/Objectives: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Chile are profoundly shaped by place-based determinants of diet. This study examines the association between food deserts—areas with structurally limited access to nutritious, affordable food—and population-level cardiovascular risk across Chile’s three largest metropolitan areas (Santiago, Valparaíso, Concepción). Methods: We constructed a geospatial food desert index combining OpenStreetMap-derived retail accessibility with census information, and linked it to georeferenced cardiovascular health records. To overcome the limitations of global models that assume spatial stationarity, we applied Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) to allow coefficients to vary across space and to recover variable-specific process scales. Results: The MGWR results indicate pronounced spatial non-stationarity in the food desert–CVD association. The relationship is predominantly positive across Gran Valparaíso, predominantly negative in Gran Concepción, and highly mixed within Gran Santiago, evidencing divergent local mechanisms rather than a single national pattern. Conclusions: The observed heterogeneity undermines “one-size-fits-all” national interventions and supports place-sensitive, equity-oriented strategies. Policy implications include territorially tailored food-retail regulation and primary-care outreach, co-designed with local actors, with MGWR providing a critical analytic basis for actionable, context-specific public health planning.
- Open Access
- 14 January 2026
- Published by Ubiquity Press, Ltd. in Buildings and Cities
- Vol. 7 (1) , 254-272
Urban verticalisation: typologies of high-rise development in Santiago
Urban verticalisation is a defining feature of metropolitan growth, yet its dynamics in Latin American cities remain underexplored, particularly regarding project-level traits and broader urban context. This study analyses verticalisation in Santiago, Chile, identifying spatial patterns, urban drivers, and links to socio-economic and regulatory conditions. Using a mixed-methods approach, 892 high-rise residential permits (2010–19) are grouped into six clusters through principal component and cluster analyses. Logistic and ordered logistic regressions assess the influence of urban attributes on vertical development. Results show that proximity to major public transport hubs significantly increases verticalisation likelihood, aligning with global transit-oriented trends. However, lower land values and regulatory flexibility encourage dense projects in areas such as Estación Central, while wealthier zones resist vertical growth due to high land prices and community opposition. The findings highlight verticalisation’s dual nature: it optimises land use and expands housing supply, but also reinforces existing inequalities, segregation and overcrowding. This challenges the assumption that verticalisation responds primarily to luxury demand, linking it instead to affordability, market dynamics and uneven urban governance. POLICY RELEVANCE Evidence reveals how urban verticalisation in Santiago is shaped by affordability and regulatory flexibility rather than luxury demand. High-rise projects are a spatially uneven urban development: they are concentrated in areas with lower land values and weaker planning instruments, while wealthier municipalities resist vertical growth through higher land prices and organised opposition. For policymakers and practitioners, these findings underline the risks of unbalanced densification: overcrowded micro-apartments, limited access to green areas and reinforced socio-spatial segregation. Opportunities exist to align vertical development with sustainability goals. Strategic interventions include strengthening planning frameworks, integrating transit-oriented development with quality standards, and ensuring equitable access to housing and urban amenities. Yet the extent to which they can reduce segregation and protect vulnerable groups depends on the broader social, economic and political dynamics of Latin American urban governance, where regulatory fragmentation and market power often constrain public action.
- 14 January 2026
- Published by Ubiquity Press, Ltd. in Buildings and Cities
- Vol. 7 (1) , 254-272
Open AccessUrban verticalisation: typologies of high-rise development in Santiago
Urban verticalisation is a defining feature of metropolitan growth, yet its dynamics in Latin American cities remain underexplored, particularly regarding project-level traits and broader urban context. This study analyses verticalisation in Santiago, Chile, identifying spatial patterns, urban drivers, and links to socio-economic and regulatory conditions. Using a mixed-methods approach, 892 high-rise residential permits (2010–19) are grouped into six clusters through principal component and cluster analyses. Logistic and ordered logistic regressions assess the influence of urban attributes on vertical development. Results show that proximity to major public transport hubs significantly increases verticalisation likelihood, aligning with global transit-oriented trends. However, lower land values and regulatory flexibility encourage dense projects in areas such as Estación Central, while wealthier zones resist vertical growth due to high land prices and community opposition. The findings highlight verticalisation’s dual nature: it optimises land use and expands housing supply, but also reinforces existing inequalities, segregation and overcrowding. This challenges the assumption that verticalisation responds primarily to luxury demand, linking it instead to affordability, market dynamics and uneven urban governance. POLICY RELEVANCE Evidence reveals how urban verticalisation in Santiago is shaped by affordability and regulatory flexibility rather than luxury demand. High-rise projects are a spatially uneven urban development: they are concentrated in areas with lower land values and weaker planning instruments, while wealthier municipalities resist vertical growth through higher land prices and organised opposition. For policymakers and practitioners, these findings underline the risks of unbalanced densification: overcrowded micro-apartments, limited access to green areas and reinforced socio-spatial segregation. Opportunities exist to align vertical development with sustainability goals. Strategic interventions include strengthening planning frameworks, integrating transit-oriented development with quality standards, and ensuring equitable access to housing and urban amenities. Yet the extent to which they can reduce segregation and protect vulnerable groups depends on the broader social, economic and political dynamics of Latin American urban governance, where regulatory fragmentation and market power often constrain public action.
- Open Access
- 2 January 2026
- Published by Elsevier in Energy Policy
- Vol. 210
Households’ perceptions of the efficacy of retrofit policies to boost efficient homes in Spain
- 2 January 2026
- Published by Elsevier in Energy Policy
- Vol. 210
Open AccessHouseholds’ perceptions of the efficacy of retrofit policies to boost efficient homes in Spain
- 1 November 2025
- Published by Liverpool University Press in Town Planning Review
- Vol. 96 (6) , 671-696
The 15-minute city and real estate capital: contributions from Chile’s major cities
The COVID-19 pandemic has spurred discussions on reimagining cities based on principles of public health and reducing spatially expressed inequalities. In this context, the concept of the 15-minute city has emerged as a priority for municipal authorities in the case of Chile. However, the implementation of this model faces challenges, including the dominant presence of the market in the production and capitalisation of urban life in Chilean cities. This article was published open access under a CC BY-NC-ND licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ .
- 1 November 2025
- Published by Liverpool University Press in Town Planning Review
- Vol. 96 (6) , 671-696
The 15-minute city and real estate capital: contributions from Chile’s major cities
The COVID-19 pandemic has spurred discussions on reimagining cities based on principles of public health and reducing spatially expressed inequalities. In this context, the concept of the 15-minute city has emerged as a priority for municipal authorities in the case of Chile. However, the implementation of this model faces challenges, including the dominant presence of the market in the production and capitalisation of urban life in Chilean cities. This article was published open access under a CC BY-NC-ND licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ .
- Open Access
Sustainability Meets Society: Public Perceptions of Energy-Efficient Timber Construction and Implications for Chile’s Decarbonisation Policies
Timber construction is increasingly promoted in Chile as a route to low-carbon, energy-efficient housing, yet public acceptance remains decisive for its diffusion. This study reports the first large-scale perception survey of timber buildings in Greater Concepción (N = 200) and contrasts key results with an earlier identical survey in Valdivia. Concepción residents strongly recognise timber’s thermal comfort attributes and associate wood housing with lower winter heating demand, a perception markedly stronger than in Valdivia. Conversely, 73% of Concepción respondents believe timber homes burn easily, but a majority also accept that modern engineering can mitigate this risk, indicating scope for targeted technical communication. Environmental perceptions are more ambivalent: although respondents value wood’s renewable origin, 42% doubt that timber construction reduces climate change, and many equate it with deforestation, echoing controversies around Chile’s plantation model. Cluster analysis reveals a techno-optimist subgroup coupling enthusiasm for energy savings with confidence in fire-safety innovations, suggesting a strategic constituency for demonstration projects. By situating end-user attitudes within national decarbonisation goals, this paper argues that region-specific outreach—emphasising verified energy-efficiency gains, certified sustainable forestry and visible fire-safety performance—can convert passive approval into active demand and accelerate Chile’s transition to a net-zero housing stock.
Open AccessSustainability Meets Society: Public Perceptions of Energy-Efficient Timber Construction and Implications for Chile’s Decarbonisation Policies
Timber construction is increasingly promoted in Chile as a route to low-carbon, energy-efficient housing, yet public acceptance remains decisive for its diffusion. This study reports the first large-scale perception survey of timber buildings in Greater Concepción (N = 200) and contrasts key results with an earlier identical survey in Valdivia. Concepción residents strongly recognise timber’s thermal comfort attributes and associate wood housing with lower winter heating demand, a perception markedly stronger than in Valdivia. Conversely, 73% of Concepción respondents believe timber homes burn easily, but a majority also accept that modern engineering can mitigate this risk, indicating scope for targeted technical communication. Environmental perceptions are more ambivalent: although respondents value wood’s renewable origin, 42% doubt that timber construction reduces climate change, and many equate it with deforestation, echoing controversies around Chile’s plantation model. Cluster analysis reveals a techno-optimist subgroup coupling enthusiasm for energy savings with confidence in fire-safety innovations, suggesting a strategic constituency for demonstration projects. By situating end-user attitudes within national decarbonisation goals, this paper argues that region-specific outreach—emphasising verified energy-efficiency gains, certified sustainable forestry and visible fire-safety performance—can convert passive approval into active demand and accelerate Chile’s transition to a net-zero housing stock.
- Open Access
Ozonation for Low-Load Greywater Treatment: A Review and Experimental Considerations for Small-Scale Systems
The effectiveness of ozone (O3) in eliminating various types of microorganisms, as well as in oxidizing a wide range of contaminants present in wastewater, and drinking water, is extensively documented in the literature, along with the required concentrations, contact times (Ct values), reaction mechanisms for different pollutants, and overall efficiency. This article presents a comprehensive review on the use of aqueous O3 for treatment and disinfection, specifically for low-contaminant domestic greywater (LGW), providing information for its integration into the design of small-scale treatment systems. Additionally, to complement the theoretical findings, experimental tests were conducted using a portable O3 generator in an operational facility treating greywater (GW) from handwashing sinks. The results confirmed that O3 concentration increases over time but decreases as the volume of water to be treated increases. Water analysis results showed significant reductions in BOD5, turbidity, and total suspended solids after treatment. Furthermore, the results demonstrated that the presence of microorganisms in LGW is minimal, as in the case of fecal coliforms, ensuring a 1 Log disinfection level in this type of system. O3, as the sole treatment and disinfection system, with an oxidation potential nearly twice that of chlorine, proved to be highly effective in small-scale treatment systems, promoting sustainable practices, water resource conservation, environmental protection, and public health.
Open AccessOzonation for Low-Load Greywater Treatment: A Review and Experimental Considerations for Small-Scale Systems
The effectiveness of ozone (O3) in eliminating various types of microorganisms, as well as in oxidizing a wide range of contaminants present in wastewater, and drinking water, is extensively documented in the literature, along with the required concentrations, contact times (Ct values), reaction mechanisms for different pollutants, and overall efficiency. This article presents a comprehensive review on the use of aqueous O3 for treatment and disinfection, specifically for low-contaminant domestic greywater (LGW), providing information for its integration into the design of small-scale treatment systems. Additionally, to complement the theoretical findings, experimental tests were conducted using a portable O3 generator in an operational facility treating greywater (GW) from handwashing sinks. The results confirmed that O3 concentration increases over time but decreases as the volume of water to be treated increases. Water analysis results showed significant reductions in BOD5, turbidity, and total suspended solids after treatment. Furthermore, the results demonstrated that the presence of microorganisms in LGW is minimal, as in the case of fecal coliforms, ensuring a 1 Log disinfection level in this type of system. O3, as the sole treatment and disinfection system, with an oxidation potential nearly twice that of chlorine, proved to be highly effective in small-scale treatment systems, promoting sustainable practices, water resource conservation, environmental protection, and public health.